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Bitcoin, Ethereum Price Rally ‘Halfway’ as Options Traders Look to Year-End Push

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In brief

  • Bitcoin and Ethereum have risen 6% and 4% this month, defying the usual September slump.
  • Options data show bullish bets outweighing bearish ones, with weighting geared for higher year-end prices.
  • Expectations of multiple Fed rate cuts in 2025 are helping underpin appetite for risk assets.

September’s slump may not be the last, but an expert says the crypto market still has room to rally into year-end.

“There’s been growing speculation that we’ve reached the top of this cycle, but I don’t think that’s the case,” Sean Dawson, head of research at on-chain options platform Derive, told Decrypt. 

He believes the second half of September might see increased volatility and some short-term pain due to the month’s historical seasonality, driven largely by the U.S. financial year-end.



Bitcoin dropped, roughly 1.29% from Saturday’s high of $116,245 to $114,770, CoinGecko data shows.

For Ethereum, the pain could stem from treasuries, whose market-to-net asset value —comparing a company’s stock value to that of its assets — has dropped below one, which may prompt them to sell the underlying asset and repurchase shares instead, Dawson explained. 

Dawson said the market may be only “halfway” through a fourth-quarter upswing, citing supportive macro trends and options data.

The market’s expectation of multiple rate cuts in 2025 aligns with investors’ bullish positioning as seen in options data that shows call open interest for Bitcoin outnumbering puts by nearly 2.5 to 1. 

“Macro is turning extremely favourable. The latest Polymarket data shows the odds of three rate cuts before year-end have jumped from 22% to 49% in just two weeks, Dawson said.

The odds of four rate cuts, or a full percentage point, have climbed above 10%—a sharp change in expectations that typically favors risk assets, such as crypto.

The market’s consensus probability of price outcomes shows “a 40% chance Ethereum closes above $5,000 by year-end, and 20% chance it settles above $6,000.

For Bitcoin, the market gives a 37% probability of $125,000 or higher by the same time.”

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are up nearly 6% and 4%, respectively, this month, going against a historically bearish month for digital assets.

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Experts see strong year-end growth potential for Zexpire
Crypto Trends

Experts see strong year-end growth potential for Zexpire

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Zexpire launches 0DTE DeFi protocol, making crypto options trading simple with one-click.

Summary

  • Zexpire gamifies crypto options with one-click predictions, letting users profit from volatility safely and easily.
  • Its presale at $0.003 offers staking, airdrops, and loyalty rewards, with deflationary burns supporting demand.
  • By simplifying options for retail traders, Zexpire aims to make its native token DeFi’s next breakout token.

As analyst predictions position Ethereum to challenge the $5000 milestone, the rapid ascent of a new contender, Zexpire, is capturing attention with forecasts of it hitting $3 by year’s end. 

This market dynamic has both seasoned traders and new entrants asking: What fundamentals are driving these bold projections, and does this represent a pivotal investment opportunity?

Zexpire introduces one-click simplicity 

The cryptocurrency options market, a rapidly expanding segment of DeFi, sees an average daily trading volume of approximately $3 billion. While traditionally dominated by professional traders, this market is increasingly accessible to a wider audience.

Zexpire, the first 0DTE DeFi protocol, simplifies options trading into a “one-click prediction experience.” Users make a straightforward binary choice: predict whether an asset’s price will remain within a defined range or break out of it within 24 hours. 

Trading with Zexpire is straightforward: correct guesses lead to wins, while incorrect guesses result in a loss capped at the initial stake, eliminating margin calls and cascading liquidations.

ZX serves as the fuel behind simplified options trading with Zexpire

Zexpire’s native token, ZX, is essential for profiting from volatility on the platform. This governance token offers holders discounts on game tickets and cashback on losses.

Currently, ZX is available in a presale at $0.003, which is almost 800% less than its planned listing price of $0.025. 

Presale participants also receive benefits such as staking rewards of up to 5% before a Token Generation Event (TGE), loyalty bonuses, airdrops, and beta access.

Zexpire has also built in a deflationary mechanism. 20% of platform fees will be burned, and a buyback program is designed to support demand. ZX is available across multiple chains, including Base, Solana, TON, and Tron, and can be purchased directly with a card.

Why ZX could be the next breakout token

While BTC options trading volumes regularly reach billions, participation is largely dominated by professionals. Zexpire aims to disrupt this trend by simplifying options trading into a fast, gamified format, making it accessible to a broader retail audience.

HYPE gained significant traction by leveraging the derivatives boom on Hyperliquid. Zexpire seeks to replicate this success in the options niche with an even stronger retail focus, offering fixed-risk mechanics and gameplay simplicity. If Zexpire can capture even a fraction of HYPE’s momentum, ZX has the potential to become DeFi’s next breakout token.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s trajectory towards the $5000 zone underscores its established strength as the 2025 bull run matures. While its momentum is clear, the potential for exponential gains may be more modest compared to emerging projects. In contrast, Zexpire (ZX) is engineered as a next-generation utility token focused on tangible value. 

Its ecosystem is supported by governance rights, incentive programs, and staking to drive real application. The tiered presale structure provides a strategic entry for early adopters, creating potential for significant growth. While ETH offers portfolio stability, ZX introduces a high-growth opportunity built on practical utility and an engaged community.

For more information, visit the official website, Telegram, or X.

Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.



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Bitcoin
Crypto Trends

Bitcoin’s Year-End Destination: SkyBridge Founder Stands By Bold Prediction, Here’s The Target

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Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin seems to have shifted into a bearish mood as it retests the $113,000 price level, raising questions about a potential bear market phase. However, Anthony Scaramucci remains confident that BTC will recover from the ongoing downtrend and surge to a new high of $180,000 and beyond in 2025.

Scaramucci Keeps $200,000 Bitcoin Year-End Target Alive

Despite the robust downward movement in price, many analysts are still optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential in the short term, predicting a move to new all-time highs. Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital and a long-time Bitcoin advocate, has reignited bullish hopes as he recalled his end-of-year BTC prediction.

During an interview on CBNC posted by Altcoin Daily on the X platform, Anthony Scaramucci maintains that BTC is on track to reach between $180,000 and $200,000 by year-end. The founder’s prediction is backed by tightening supply dynamics, boosting institutional adoption, and growing global recognition of Bitcoin as a hedge asset.

According to Scamaracci, Bitcoin remains bullish in any scenario, expressing his hopes that United States President Donald Trump will pick the mama bear fed. His belief reflects an increasing number of well-known investors who think that Bitcoin’s next leg higher could be much more explosive than prior cycles.

When asked about the base and most bullish case for BTC, Scaramucci started by highlighting the current state of the market. “I think what is happening now is lots of consolidation and institutional adoption,” he stated. 

Years ago, BTC’s price action was mostly driven by retail adoption and CEOs working in the layer 1 blockchain space. However, this trend has started to shift towards the institutional level over time, as large corporations accumulate the crypto king at a substantial rate.

A Transition Of BTC Ownership Ongoing In The Market

The founder has pointed to the robust performance of BlackRock’s Bitcoin Spot ETF, the IBIT, which has attracted a wide range of retail and institutional investors. While institutional adoption is increasing, Bitcoin whales continue to offload their holdings. 

Scaramucci considers this pattern a crucial development, declaring it a shift in ownership. “I just think it is a function of buying in only 450 Bitcoin being made by the network per day,” he added. During this shift in ownership, the founder noted that demand for the flagship asset has surpassed issued supply or the overall available supply of BTC in the market. 

Considering these developments, the founder is confident that BTC still has room for more growth, potentially reaching his bullish target between $180,000 and $200,000 this year. This bold prediction suggests the current pullback is likely a healthy correction before another explosive move.

Even though many other companies and analysts foresee a much higher target for Bitcoin by this year’s end, Scaramucci remains firm with his prediction, calling it a cautious price target.

BTC trading at $113,707 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Bitcoin price will hit $180,000 by the year-end, VanEck report suggests
GameFi Guides

Bitcoin price will hit $180,000 by the year-end, VanEck report suggests

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On Aug. 18, 2025, ETF and mutual fund manager VanEck released a new report studying Bitcoin price trends between mid-July and mid-August. VanEck analyst Nathan Frankovitz and Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel predict that BTC will reach $180,000 by the end of the year, while noting discrepancies in Bitcoin mining companies’ market performance and declining mNAV of Digital Asset Treasuries.

Summary

  • VanEck report suggests that Bitcoin price will reach $180,000 by the end of 2025.
  • The report attributes the decline in Bitcoin treasury companies’ mNAV to lower Bitcoin volatility and claims mNAV will continue to drop in the future.
  • The U.S. dominance in Bitcoin mining reaches a record high at 31%.
  • Bitcoin ordinals minting doubles if compared to 2024, while Bitcoin Core is removing the arbitrary data limit from the block, clearing the way for more ordinals.

30-day market trends

On Aug. 13, 2025, Bitcoin reached a new record-breaking price. While it was only several hundred dollars above July’s peak price, VanEck notes that the signals coming from the Bitcoin futures markets were more bullish. The CME basis funding rates reached 9%, the highest figure in six months. 

The options market saw a notable increase in the call/put ratio, which reached 3.21x, signaling the growing demand for BTC. According to VanEck, 3.21x is the highest call/put rate since June 2024. Call premiums reached $792 million, which is a 37% rise compared to the previous 30-day period.

One of the factors shaping the uptrend was growing demand from corporations. According to VanEck, in July, Exchange-traded products (mostly ETFs) and DATs acquired 54,000 BTC and 72,000 BTC, respectively. In the three months of 2025 Q2, DATs purchased only 131,355 BTC, which indicates July’s increase in buying pressure coming from digital asset treasuries.

For the same crypto asset, which would you rather own?

— VanEck (@vaneck_us) August 13, 2025

VanEck named Ethereum’s popularity spike as the main reason for the decline in Bitcoin’s market dominance from 64.5% to 59.7%. Bitcoin network transactions reached 12.9 million, which is the highest rate since November 2024. Median fees dropped by 13%.

The graph attached to the VanEck report showcases a spike in total transfer volume. It reached $77,727,657,201, making a 34% increase compared to the previous 30-day period or a 60% change over 365 days.

Bitcoin mining

In August, mining hashrate reached a record-high rate of 902 EH/s. The revenue per EH/s is $59,400, the highest in eight months. The volume of BTC sent by miners to exchanges has nearly doubled since August 2024, but grew only 16% compared to mid-July of this year.

As for mining companies’ equities, the results are split. Applied Digital Corporation’s equity (APLD) is up 54%, Bitfarms (BITF) is up 16%, while most of their competitors saw growth below 10% or dropped in price. VanEck names a 22% drop in Cipher Mining Inc.’s stock (CIFR) price and a 4% decline in the 13-mining-company index tracked by the report authors. In August, U.S.-based mining operations reached a record share of 31%.

Bitcoin treasuries

VanEck evaluated the amount of Bitcoin held on public treasury companies’ balance sheets at 951,000. The authors of the report point to the decline in DATs’ stock performance. They point out that in July, the mNAVs of these companies have been going down. 

Saylor once said he’d never issue below 2.5x mNAV.

Now, he’s changed course.

He’s signaling a willingness to sell $MSTR even under that threshold.

A real risk of dilution is now on the table.

— Oz Sultan (@OzForNY) August 19, 2025

It means that for these companies, the share of net asset value declines relative to their liabilities. VanEck gives three examples: mNAVs are down for MSTR (-16%), for MTPLF (-62%), and for SMLR (-12%). As Bitcoin volatility settles, it becomes harder for DATs to issue convertible debt to acquire more BTC.

Bitcoin ordinals spike

Another notable trend is the 43% 30-day growth of ordinals minted on the Bitcoin blockchain. The total amount of ordinals minted in 30 days amounts to 109,779. Compared to August of 2024, this amount has grown by 120%. 

This surge in minting Bitcoin blockchain-based images and other non-monetary data reflects the ongoing debate over the idea of removing the 83-byte-per-block limit for arbitrary information. The implementation removing the limit will come into effect for Bitcoin Core nodes in October, allowing for more ordinals per block, which can possibly slow down monetary transactions.

Predictions

Looking at the near future, VanEck points to the possibility of a volatility spike, which in turn can amplify price swings via dealer hedging. VanEck expects a further decline in DATs’ mNAVs as they will have limited ability to raise capital due to a long period of low volatility. While the report authors provide both bearish and bullish scenarios, they claim that by year-end, Bitcoin will reach $180,000.

In December 2024, Matt Sigel was predicting that Bitcoin would reach $180,000 in the first quarter of 2025 before going through a 30% correction. In fact, the Q1 peak was well below $110,000. April saw a short-term 25% drop. Given that the current Bitcoin price is much higher than the December 2024 price, the $180,000 bet is considerably less bullish.





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