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Ethereum Sharp Exchange Outflows Sparks A Historic Supply Squeeze, Here’s What It Means

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In a sudden upside move, Ethereum has strongly reclaimed above the $4,300 price mark as bullish sentiment gradually returns to the crypto market. At the same time, a massive amount of ETH has been observed leaving centralized crypto exchanges, which has led to one of the most crucial moments for the leading altcoin in the ongoing bull market cycle.

Unprecedented Supply Shock For Ethereum Looms

With the price of Ethereum recovering sharply once again, the bullish sentiment and action of investors on crypto exchanges have intensified. Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data analytics platform, revealed that Ethereum is undergoing one of its most dramatic supply movements to date, as large quantities of ETH continue to flee centralized exchanges at an accelerating pace.

According to the on-chain platform, the persistent withdrawal of ETH has created a historic supply squeeze. This is due to the fact that the quantity of ETH leaving crypto exchanges is now above the ability to accumulate more for the first time in history.

The record-breaking supply squeeze demonstrates an increasing tendency among investors to prioritize long-term holding and staking over active trading. As a result, there is a decrease in the available liquidity in the market.

In recent months, the data shows that billions of dollars worth of ETH have been withdrawn from crypto exchanges, regardless of whether you look at Netflow in ETH or USD value. 

Despite the massive withdrawal, Alphractal highlighted that the Exchange Flux Balance is what truly sticks out. The Exchange Flux Balance is a crucial metric that gauges the cumulative net flow of exchanges.

Source: Chart from Alphractal on X

It is worth noting that high values on this metric suggest that inflows are outperforming outflows and that exchanges are increasing their reserves. Meanwhile, low or negative values indicate that exchanges do not have the capacity to accumulate enough, hence creating a supply squeeze.

Currently, this metric has gone negative for the first time ever, indicating strong institutional and public demand for ETH. Simply put, Ethereum is experiencing the strongest market maker interest since its launch, a structure that might flare up the market soon.

ETH Closed Q3 On A Very Bullish Note

As Q4 of 2025 kicks off, speculations are whether this quarter will be just as bullish as the recently finished Q3. Data from leading crypto researcher and analytics platform CryptoRank reveals that ETH experienced a very positive Q3, recording about 66.7% price gain.

According to the platform, Q3 of 2025 was a breakout quarter for the altcoin, as it finally broke past its previous all-time high and exhibited strong upside action. One of the major factors that fueled this surge is the US legislative moves, which consistently pushed stablecoins and DeFi into the mainstream.

Naturally, Ethereum became one of the major beneficiaries of this regulation change because the leading blockchain continues to be the foundation layer for both stablecoins and DeFi activity. With ETH witnessing a more bullish Q4 in the last 10 years, it is possible that this quarter could end on a positive note.

ETH trading at $4,373 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Bitcoin Sharks Add 65K BTC In 7 Days: Supply Squeeze Setup Strengthens
Crypto Trends

Bitcoin Sharks Add 65K BTC In 7 Days: Supply Squeeze Setup Strengthens

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Bitcoin is navigating a volatile phase where bulls are struggling to drive the price higher, yet bears have also failed to push BTC below the $110,000 mark. This tight range signals a standoff, but beneath the surface, the market appears to be shifting into a new phase. For the first time in months, Ethereum and several altcoins are showing relative strength against Bitcoin, raising questions about capital rotation and changing market dynamics.

Fresh data from CryptoQuant sheds light on the divergence between short-term traders and larger conviction-driven buyers. According to their report, addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC—often referred to as “sharks”—have added a staggering 65,000 BTC in just seven days. This aggressive accumulation has lifted their total holdings to a record 3.65 million BTC.

What makes this development notable is that it has occurred even as spot prices hovered near $112,000. While retail-driven volatility has kept price action choppy, structural demand from larger buyers remains strong.

The disconnect suggests that long-term players are preparing for the next leg of the cycle, absorbing supply while short-term traders hesitate. In this environment, Bitcoin’s resilience above $110K underscores its strength despite ongoing market turbulence.

Bitcoin Onchain Data Points To Supply Squeeze

According to a report from XWIN Finance shared by CryptoQuant, two core onchain datasets confirm that Bitcoin’s current market behavior is driven by deep structural demand rather than short-term speculation. These indicators—Long-Term Holder (LTH) Net Position Change and Exchange Netflow—highlight a steady absorption of supply, setting the stage for potential upward pressure on price.

The LTH Net Position Change, which tracks 30-day balance shifts among experienced holders, has turned strongly positive. These green spikes suggest that long-term players are actively accumulating Bitcoin rather than distributing it. Historically, such accumulation phases often precede major bull runs, as coins move into “strong hands” less likely to sell during short-term volatility. This transition of supply into longer-term storage reduces available liquidity, tightening conditions for future rallies.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Net Position Change | Source: CryptoQuant

Exchange Netflow data provides another layer of evidence. Net outflows—BTC being withdrawn from exchanges—have dominated in recent weeks. This indicates that investors prefer cold storage over keeping assets liquid for immediate trading. Combined with LTH absorption, this confirms that recent shark buying is not speculative churn but actual supply removal from circulation.

The alignment of shark accumulation, LTH buying, and sustained exchange outflows builds the conditions for a potential supply squeeze. While short-term corrections remain possible if leverage in derivatives overheats, the structural picture favors higher prices as soon as demand accelerates. Beneath the current volatility, the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next major leg higher appears to be quietly forming.

Price Analysis: Quiet Consolidation

Bitcoin is trading at $115,019 after a steady recovery from early September lows near $110,000. The daily chart shows BTC building momentum as it pushes into a key resistance zone. The 50-day SMA at $114,562 has been reclaimed, and the 100-day SMA at $112,323 is now acting as solid support, reinforcing the bullish setup. The 200-day SMA at $102,202 continues to anchor the long-term trend, confirming that Bitcoin remains structurally healthy despite recent volatility.

BTC consolidates in a range | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The next challenge lies at $116,000–$118,000, a resistance area that has capped rallies in recent weeks. A successful breakout and close above this zone could clear the path toward the major barrier at $123,217, which remains the cycle’s key level to watch.

On the downside, immediate support is established near $114,000, followed by stronger backing around $112,000. As long as BTC holds these levels, buyers are likely to maintain control. A breakdown below $112,000, however, could shift momentum back in favor of sellers and potentially bring $110,000 back into focus.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Crypto Trends

Belarus Banks Ordered to Adopt Crypto, Tokenization as Sanctions Squeeze Economy

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In brief

  • President Lukashenko said tokenization can cut intermediaries, automate deals, and boost user control.
  • Belarus has seen $1.7 billion in crypto payments this year, with $3 billion projected, according to Lukashenko.
  • Russia-aligned states like Kyrgyzstan have shown similar sanction-driven patterns.

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko is urging the nation’s banks to ramp up their use of digital assets in a bid to blunt the impact of Western sanctions.

“Today, cryptocurrency-based transactions are more active than ever, and their role in facilitating payments is growing,” Lukashenko said in a meeting held on Tuesday with officials from the country’s National Bank, including heads of the country’s top commercial banks.

External payments through exchanges have racked up $1.7 billion in the first seven months of the year, with estimates suggesting volumes could reach $3 billion by December, President Lukashenko said.

He also discussed tokenization for the financial sector, which he said could help “minimize the presence of intermediaries, automate transactions through smart contracts, and enhance user control over assets,” according to a rough translation of an official transcript.

The head of state later urged the country’s banks to expand the use of digital assets, framing it as a response to sanctions and a way to sustain external payments.

“Digitalization here is not for the sake of digitalization, but for real economic effect,” he added.

Skirting sanctions

The push in Minsk comes as other Moscow-aligned states face similar scrutiny, with reports detailing how Russian entities have exploited Kyrgyzstan’s crypto industry to skirt sanctions.

The country’s crypto industry, which barely existed before 2022, has grown rapidly as Russian entities continued to use it to evade sanctions.

Links have been traced back to the shuttered Russian exchange Garantex, with Kyrgyz platforms appearing to operate like shell companies, according to a report from blockchain intelligence firm TRM Labs.

While a 2022 law encouraged growth, volumes reaching $4.2 billion by mid-2024 are seen as driven by demand from Russian users, not locals.

The European Union has imposed sweeping sanctions on Belarus since the disputed 2020 elections, citing systemic repression and rights abuses under Lukashenko’s rule.

Measures now cover 310 individuals and 46 entities, including top officials, state institutions, and businesses tied to the regime. These include travel bans, asset freezes, and restrictions on providing funds, and were broadened in 2022 to target Belarus’s role in Russia’s war against Ukraine.

The sanctions, extended until February 2026, are aimed at curbing violence, freeing political prisoners, and pressuring the government into genuine dialogue.

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