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Risks

Rothschild Upgrades Coinbase to “Buy,” Flags Risks for Circle and Robinhood

by admin October 3, 2025

Rothschild & Co Redburn shifted its outlook on Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) to “Buy” on October 3, 2025, raising the price target to $417. The bank’s analysts pointed to stronger revenue diversification and the projected expansion of USDC’s market capitalization as the main factors supporting the upgrade.

According to the reports, lower U.S. interest rates could weigh on short-term revenue, but this is expected to be offset by the expansion of USDC.

Why Coinbase?

Coinbase’s role in the stablecoin’s ecosystem, combined with its broader shift toward subscription and service revenue, was described as a key driver for the stock’s long-term outlook.

Rothschild also provided updated data points for investors. The bank adjusted its Coinbase price target from $372 to $417, estimating an upside of 12.1%.

At the time of writing, Coinbase stock (COIN) was trading at $378. The firm also initiated coverage of Circle Internet Group (CRCL) with a “Neutral” rating and a $136 target price, compared with its current trading level of $155.79, according to TradingView.

Risks flagged for Circle and Robinhood

Alongside its positive assessment of Coinbase, Rothschild highlighted concerns about Circle, pointing to its revenue-sharing model as a possible vulnerability. The bank also reiterated a “Sell” rating on Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD), arguing the stock is “priced for perfection” and may not reflect potential downside risks.

Broader market context

The diverging ratings reflect how traditional financial analysts are assessing varying strategies in the crypto sector. Coinbase is viewed as having revenue support from USDC growth, while Circle and Robinhood face questions tied to their business models.

The mixed outlook highlights that investor sentiment toward publicly traded crypto firms remains shaped by both opportunities around stablecoins and ongoing risks from regulation and market conditions.

Also read: Coinbase Hits $1B Milestone in Bitcoin-Backed Onchain Loans

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October 3, 2025 0 comments

Wall Street’s RWA bet could break on crypto infrastructure

Crypto Trends

but experts warn of risks

by admin September 30, 2025

The IPO wave is sweeping through crypto. However, experts warn that Wall Street exposure brings both opportunities and risks.

Summary

Wall Street exposure brings potential centralization risks
Stablecoins are becoming a core part of the financial infrastructure
Firms will have to navigate increased regulatory scrutiny

The crypto industry no longer operates on the fringes. The latest fundraising efforts and IPOs have shown an increasing appetite for systemic players that benefit from favorable regulation. This includes Circle’s blockbuster IPO, Tether’s reported fundraising at a staggering $500 billion valuation, and Kraken’s pre-IPO bid to secure $500 million in funding.

For some, this is a sign of the industry’s legitimacy. However, some experts warn about questions of decentralization and governance as crypto meets Wall Street’s standards.

“Circle’s USDC IPO earlier this year demonstrated that mainstream investors are now willing to pay a premium for exposure to regulated digital assets platforms when its stock climbed tenfold from $30 to $300,” said Farzam Ehsani, CEO and co-founder of VALR told crypto.news.

Ehsani added that similar moves by Tether and Kraken show investor appetite for well-regulated crypto firms that provide critical infrastructure. However, he also noted that Wall Street’s involvement creates added risks of centralization, which can impact innovation as shareholders pursue narrow interests.

Crypto is becoming core financial infrastructure

According to Shawn Young, chief analyst at MEXC Research, the IPO wave shows that the crypto industry is becoming a core part of financial infrastructure, especially for stablecoins.

“The macro narrative is equally compelling. Stablecoins in circulation are already collectively valued at over $296 billion and now account for over 1% of the U.S M2 money liquidity supply,” Young said. “CITI projects stablecoins to hit $4 trillion in a bull market scenario by 2030,” he added.

Lionel Iruk, senior advisor to Nav Markets and managing partner at Empire Legal, points out that further integration with Wall Street will bring both legitimacy and scrutiny. Under these conditions, firms will have to balance innovation with transparency.

“Public listing and fundraising bring heightened shareholder operational scrutiny, demanding rigorous reporting, governance, and adherence to securities laws across multiple jurisdictions,” Lionel Iruk, Nav Markets.

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September 30, 2025 0 comments

GameFi Guides

Bitcoin Risks $94,000 Drop: Pricing Bands Signal Potential Downturn

by admin September 27, 2025

Bitcoin continues in dull trading, ranging between $108,645 and $110,369 following a sharp drop to a low of $108,623 on Thursday.

Bitcoin slightly rebounded on Friday, coinciding with the release of PCE data and a major options expiry; however, its gains could not be sustained.

Bitcoin erased its daily gains early Saturday, just up 0.3% in the last 24 hours to $109,330, but down 5.78% in the last week.

While the market awaits Bitcoin’s next move, analysts and indicators point to a critical line in the sand, a drop below which might result in a further decline, possibly below $100,000, returning Bitcoin to five figures.

According to Ali, a crypto analyst, who cited MVRV pricing bands, $116,354 remains a line in the sand for Bitcoin. This is because a failure to reclaim $116,354 puts Bitcoin (BTC) at risk of a drop to $94,334.

Bitcoin market faces clean slate

According to Glassnode, the largest options expiry on Deribit has reset positioning, with BTC settling at $109,000 versus a $110,000 max pain. The market now faces a clean slate as expiries already happened. Now it might be crucial to watch open interest (OI), term structure, skew, vol spreads and flows to gauge sentiment.

BTC options open interest fell from 515,000 BTC to 355,000 positions rolled off with expiry, triggering a reset.

A climb in open interest in the coming days might be crucial to know where traders seek new exposure and their sentiment as BTC options point to short-term caution.

The market is discounting near-term moves, while long-term indicators suggest otherwise, indicating that there seems to be calm now but bigger swings might come later.

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September 27, 2025 0 comments

Crypto Trends

‘Cryptoization’ of Emerging Markets Poses Risks to Financial Resilience: Moody’s

by admin September 27, 2025

Cryptocurrency adoption in emerging markets poses risks to monetary sovereignty and financial resilience, credit ratings giant Moody’s Ratings said in a report on Thursday.

The risks are most acute in areas where crypto’s use extends beyond investment into savings and remittances, according to the report. Moody’s suggests that higher penetration of stablecoins pegged to the U.S. dollar weaken monetary transmission when it leads to pricing and settlement increasingly occurring outside a market’s domestic currency.

Stablecoins are crypto tokens pegged to the value of a traditional financial asset, such as a fiat currency, with the U.S. dollar comfortably the most prevalent.

“This creates ‘cryptoization’ pressures analogous to unofficial dollarization, but withgreater opacity and less regulatory visibility,” Moody’s said.

Cryptocurrency can also provide new ways of for capital flight, through pseudonymous wallets and offshore exchange, allowing individuals to move wealth abroad discreetly, undermining exchange rate stability, according to the report.

Moody’s also highlighted how increased ownership of cryptocurrency has been concentrated in emerging markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa and parts of Latin America. Here, adoption is often driven by inflationary pressure, currency pressured and limited access to banking services. In contrast, adoption in more advanced economies, adoption is driven by institutional integration and regulatory clarity.

Crypto ownership expanded to an estimated 562 million people by 2024, an increase of 33% from 2023, the report said.

Read More: Stablecoin Adoption Set to Surge After GENIUS Act, Hit $4T in Cross-Border Volume: EY Survey

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September 27, 2025 0 comments

Crypto Trends

BNB price dips below $1K after ATH, risks deeper correction

by admin September 25, 2025

BNB price has fallen back under $1,000 after hitting a record high, with cooling volumes and overheated trading leaving the token exposed to further correction.

Summary

BNB fell 7.8% from its $1,079 peak, now under $1,000 with weaker volume.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost sees strong growth but warns of overheated trading.
Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with short-term risk unfolding but long-term trend still bullish.

BNB was trading at $991 at the time of writing, down 2.6% over the previous day. Although the token is still 17% higher over the last 30 days, the move is a 7.8% retracement from its peak of $1,083 on Sept. 3.

Binance Coin’s (BNB) 24-hour trading volume came in at $2.40 billion, a 17% decline from the previous day, reflecting cooling spot activity. Derivatives markets are also cooling, as per CoinGlass data, with open interest falling 4% to $1.86 billion and futures volume down 24.7% to $2.85 billion.

This suggests less speculative leverage, which is often an indication of declining short-term momentum.

BNB rally meets resistance

BNB has been one of the standout performers this cycle, outpacing most major altcoins. According to a Sept. 25 analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, the token’s breakout above its former peak of $793 in August marked a decisive shift, putting it into price discovery. The subsequent rally pushed BNB past $1,000 and to a new record at $1,083, a year-to-date gain of more than 50%.

This strength, according to Darkfost, contrasts with the altcoin market as a whole, which has had difficulty regaining traction. The analyst also noted that a major driver of demand and market confidence is the expanding relationship between Binance and Aster (ASTER), a new perpetual decentralized exchange supported by CZ.

At the same time, Darkfost cautioned that spot volume data indicates overheated conditions. FOMO-driven trades, which often leave rallies vulnerable, have had a significant impact on the recent buying wave. The same momentum that drove the price higher can swiftly reverse when liquidity slows, leaving the market vulnerable to steep declines.

BNB price technical analysis

BNB is currently testing the lower band support around $980 after breaking below its middle Bollinger Band at $1,010. At 38, the relative strength index is in neutral-to-oversold territory, indicating that bearish pressure is increasing but has not yet reached its peak.

BNB daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

Key moving averages present a mixed picture. Medium- and long-term MAs are still firmly bullish, while the short-term MAs are flashing sell signals. A cooling short-term trend within a broader uptrend is indicated by this divergence.

A deeper correction might aim for the $950–$935 range, with $980 providing immediate support. If buyers defend $980 and reclaim $1,010, momentum could recover toward $1,050.

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September 25, 2025 0 comments

NFT Gaming

Ether (ETH) Dips Below $4K, BTC, XRP Slide as U.S. Government Shutdown Risks Mount

by admin September 25, 2025

ETH$4 009,26 led major cryptocurrencies lower during Thursday’s Asian trading hours, as odds of a U.S. government shutdown hit record highs on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket.

The price of Yes-side shares for the betting contract “U.S. government shutdown in 2025?” rose to 77%, the highest since the contract’s launch in January. Traders are essentially pricing a 77% probability that the U.S. Office of Personnel Management will announce a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by Dec. 31. Meanwhile, the likelihood of a shutdown by Oct. 1 stood at 63%.

According to media reports, the White House is preparing for large-scale job cuts in the event of a shutdown. On Wednesday, the Office of Management and Budget issued a memo asking agencies to prepare plans for staff reductions and furloughs if a spending bill is not passed next week.

The government is reportedly expected to run out of money by the end of September. To prevent the resulting shutdown, Congress must either approve a short-term funding measure, known as a continuing resolution, or pass 12 full-year funding bills. Since lawmakers won’t finish the full-year bills before the deadline, a temporary funding stopgap is needed.

More importantly, to reach the 60-vote threshold needed to pass funding bills, support from both parties is usually necessary.

BTC, ETH under pressure

Ether fell over 3% in Asia, almost testing $4,000 for the first time Aug. 8, with BTC$111 642,89 falling over 1% to under $112,000. Other major tokens such as XRP$2,8586, SOL$204,35 and DOGE$0.2340 fell by 2.6% to 3%. Solana’s SOL appeared set to break below $200.

The CoinDesk 20 Index was down 2% at 3,940 points. Meanwhile, futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, traded flat to positive.

Although the exact cause of the cautious crypto market sentiment was not clear at the time of writing, growing concerns about a potential government shutdown may have contributed to the risk-averse mood among investors.

Furthermore, overnight comments from San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly reiterated her support for further rate cuts, but declined to provide a timeline, instead stressing data dependence, which may have hurt sentiment.

The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points on Sept. 17 while hinting at two more rate cuts by the year’s end. Since then, policymakers, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have signaled a cautious approach to future rate cuts.

Seven Fed officials, including the New York Fed’s Williams, are scheduled to speak on Thursday. Meanwhile, traders are awaiting Friday’s PCE data, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.

“If inflation pressures appear contained, markets may interpret this as room for further Fed cuts, providing liquidity tailwinds into Q4. That could be the catalyst for BTC to attempt a long-anticipated breakout,” the market insights team at Singapore-based QCP Capital said.

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September 25, 2025 0 comments

Etherex price gains 40% amid Linea rewards program launch

GameFi Guides

AVAX price risks pullback but whale demand drives upside

by admin September 23, 2025

AVAX trades near $34 after a sharp rally, with whales and institutions driving momentum despite overbought signals.

Summary

AVAX price is up despite crypto market downturn, with a 200% surge in trading volumes.
AgriFORCE pivots to AVAX One, targeting $700M in token holdings.
Whales open leveraged longs, but RSI at 70 signals overbought risks.

Avalanche traded at $34.42 at press time, up 8% in the past 24 hours. The token has gained 17% over the last seven days and 32% in the past month, moving within a $29.40–$35.55 range over the week.

Spot trading volume jumped to $2.62 billion in the last 24 hours, a 198.8% rise from the previous day. Derivatives activity also surged, according to CoinGlass data, with open interest rising 18% to $1.77 billion and volumes rising 140% to $5 billion.

This mix of rising spot demand and leveraged exposure points to aggressive positioning, a setup that often fuels sharp moves in either direction.

Institutional and whale flows

Institutional appetite for Avalanche (AVAX) is building momentum. On Sep. 22, AgriFORCE Growing Systems Ltd. announced plans to rebrand as AVAX One, pivoting away from agricultural technology to become the first publicly traded Avalanche-focused entity on Nasdaq.

The company intends to raise about $550 million through a mix of PIPE financing and equity-linked instruments, with the long-term goal of acquiring more than $700 million worth of AVAX tokens. Over 50 institutional investors, including Galaxy Digital and Kraken, are reportedly exploring allocations.

At the same time, whales are taking on leveraged bets. Blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain flagged two significant long positions on Sept. 23. One wallet opened a 5x leveraged long worth 514,906 AVAX ($17.2 million), already showing close to $1 million in unrealized profit.

Another account, tied to Ogle, an advisor to World Liberty Financial, opened a 10x long on 66,479 AVAX ($2.2 million). These moves suggest that well-capitalized players remain confident in Avalanche’s trajectory, despite the recent rally.

AVAX price technical analysis

From a technical standpoint, AVAX is pressing against the upper band of its Bollinger channel near $36.80, a level that now acts as resistance. With a relative strength index of 70.7, the token is on the verge of overbought territory. The stochastic oscillator is also high, suggesting short-term exhaustion.

AVAX daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

Even so, trend strength remains intact. All major moving averages, from the 10-day EMA to the 200-day SMA, are flashing buy signals, confirming a broad-based bullish structure. The MACD is still in positive territory, which indicates that the bulls are still in control.

A break above $36.80 might clear the way toward $38 and possibly $40, while immediate support is located at $32.40 and $29.50.

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September 23, 2025 0 comments

Gaming Gear

Tesla exec says the company will redesign door handles that reportedly pose safety risks

by admin September 17, 2025

Yesterday, the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration opened an investigation into Tesla following a report by Bloomberg that its electric door handles could stop working when a vehicle’s low-voltage battery fails. That created a safety hazard that the publication found could trap passengers when a Tesla car was in an emergency situation, such as a crash. Now, Bloomberg is back with the news that Tesla plans to redesign those problematic handles.

Tesla design head Franz von Holzhausen appeared on Bloomberg‘s Hot Pursuit! podcast and said the company is considering a new approach that combines the electric and manual release mechanisms. “The idea of combining the electronic one and the manual one together into one button, I think, makes a lot of sense,” he said. “That’s something that we’re working on.” He didn’t specify why Tesla was working on a redesign, but it’s hard to imagine the timing of the federal probe isn’t relevant.

The company has already been in the NHTSA’s sights this year. Last month, the regulator opened an investigation into how Tesla was reporting crashes with its Autopilot and Full Self-Driving systems. Although Tesla claimed the inconsistencies in reports were due to a system error that it has fixed, the NHTSA said it would continue the probe.

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September 17, 2025 0 comments

GameFi Guides

Crypto Market Prediction: Bitcoin Risks Losing $100,000? Shiba Inu (SHIB): Massive Fakeout Ends $0.00002 Rally, Ethereum’s (ETH) Dangerous Pattern at $4,800

by admin September 15, 2025

The market keeps pursuing local highs on Sept. 15, just as we have covered in our previous crypto market prediction, but unfortunately bears are still fighting and not letting Bitcoin break toward $120,000, which is causing a struggle for smaller markets like Shiba Inu. Ethereum, on the other side, is not seeing enough institutional inflows to make it further.

Bitcoin not breaking it

Despite numerous unsuccessful attempts to break higher, Bitcoin continues to encounter strong resistance around $115,000. Because the market is unable to break through this critical level, there are worries that momentum may be waning and that Bitcoin may be at risk of a more severe retracement that would ultimately put the psychological $100,000 support to the test.

BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView

The absence of clear buying pressure suggests that institutions, which are typically the catalysts for significant breakouts, are not yet bringing in sizable inflows into the market, even though the price has held comparatively well above $110,000 in recent sessions. Although the spot ETF data indicates a positive dynamic with steady but modest inflows, the amount of capital is far from sufficient to drive Bitcoin into a long-term run toward $120,000 and beyond. Price action runs the risk of stagnation in the absence of greater commitments from funds and institutions.

There are indications of fatigue in the technical picture as well. Even though the 50-day moving average continues to support Bitcoin, and it is still on the rise, generally trading volume has decreased in comparison to earlier rallies, indicating that buyers are hesitant at these levels. Bitcoin is not overbought, but it also lacks the momentum usually needed for a breakout, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stays neutral.

If Bitcoin keeps losing ground at $115,000, a pullback is more likely. If sellers regain control, it would make sense to target a decline toward $112,000 and $106,000. However, current data indicates that there is little demand at the top end, even though a strong institutional bid or macro-driven catalyst could still turn the tide and push Bitcoin toward $120,000.

For the time being, Bitcoin investors should brace themselves for possible volatility. Until it is broken with conviction, the risk of losing the $100,000 mark is still very much in play. The $115,000 ceiling has turned into a defining battleground.

Shiba Inu can’t hold it

The price action of Shiba Inu swiftly reversed after failing to establish a hold above the crucial resistance of $0.000015, resulting in what many investors now refer to as a fakeout breakout. The asset gave the appearance of a persistent bullish trend at first by displaying strong momentum and rising out of a consolidation triangle with high volume.

SHIB experienced a sharp rejection and reversal, though, as selling pressure increased as soon as it touched resistance levels. Given the strong rally before the move, this reversal was surprising. When buyers tried to push the price higher, sellers overloaded the order books around $0.000015, causing a sharp pullback, according to the candlestick structure’s notable upward wick.

Ethereum forms key pattern

Ethereum is forming what looks to be a cup pattern on the daily chart as it tests the $4,800 resistance level once more. The larger context presents a more cautious picture, even though such formations frequently imply a possible bullish continuation.

Slow and hesitant, ETH has been unable to gather the momentum necessary for a clear breakout during the attempted recovery toward $5,000. Ethereum has fluctuated between $4,200 and $4,800 for weeks, displaying strength but lacking the institutional inflows conviction to support the next significant leg higher.

The absence of capital flows driven by ETFs is a major worry. While ETF narratives and institutional adoption continue to help Bitcoin, Ethereum has not seen nearly as much activity. ETH’s capacity to maintain its upward momentum is in doubt if new liquidity does not enter the market.

Bullish patterns in Trump Coin face whale-sized risks

by admin September 15, 2025

Trump Coin faces serious headwinds that could limit its upside in the near term. Here’s the breakdown.

Summary

Trump meme coin price has formed numerous bullish chart patterns.
The risk is that whale investors continue to dump their tokens.
Another risk is that the supply of TRUMP on exchanges is rising.

Trump Coin bulls beware

The Official Trump (TRUMP) meme coin price has remained in a tight range in the past few months. On the positive side, it has formed a double-bottom pattern at $8 and a neckline at $11.90. This pattern often leads to a strong bullish breakout as it signals that bears are afraid of shorting it below that price.

Trump Coin price has also formed a falling wedge pattern whose two lines are about to converge. This pattern typically leads to more gains over time. Most importantly, the Relative Strength Index and the MACD indicators have formed a bullish divergence pattern.

Therefore, technicals suggest that the Trump meme coin will rebound in the near term. If this happens, the next important level to watch will be the double-bottom neckline at $11.90.

Trump Coin price chart | Source: crypto.news

Whale dumping could spoil the momentum

The strong technicals, however, may not be enough to boost the Trump Coin price amid weak fundamentals. First, Nansen data shows that whale investors have been selling the tokens in the past few months. These investors now hold 4.96 million coins, down from the August high of 5.87 million.

Second, the number of Trump coins on exchanges has continued to rise in the past few months. There are now 128.4 million coins in exchanges, mostly in Binance, Robinhood, and OKX. The supply has increased from the June low of 118 million. Soaring exchange outflows is risky because it sends a signal that many investors are selling their tokens.

The other risk is that there is an increased supply of the token, with most of them going to the Trump family. There are 199 million TRUMP tokens in circulation, meaning that 800 million more will be unlocked in the next few years. Token unlocks often lead to lower prices by increasing the supply.

How Trump Coin became a thing

The Official Trump meme coin was launched on Jan. 17, just days before Donald Trump’s inauguration as the 47th U.S. president. The coin debuted on the Solana blockchain, with 200 million tokens released to the public in an initial coin offering (ICO) and the remaining 800 million held by Trump-affiliated entities, CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC.

This strategic timing leveraged the heightened media attention surrounding the inauguration, contributing to the coin’s rapid rise in value.

Since then, Trump’s meme coin has generated substantial profits, combining trading fees and the value of his personal holdings. Estimates from financial outlets such as the Financial Times and the New Yorker put his gains at around $350 million in March, rising to $385 million by August.

Overall, the Trump family has gained an estimated $5 billion from their holdings in a separate crypto venture called World Liberty Financial. The firm’s WLFI token began trading on Sept. 1. The family’s stake is sizable—but subject to the usual cryptocurrency volatility.

What critics say

Trump’s critics claim that the family’s WLFI venture and its Trump Coin venture operate like “pay-to-play” schemes. Key concerns include:

Pay-for-access dinner: In May, Trump hosted a Virginia golf club dinner for top $TRUMP investors, offering personal access in exchange for investment.
Foreign investment and policy influence: In May, an Abu Dhabi-backed fund used the WLFI stablecoin to invest $2 billion in Binance, while the Trump administration maintained a hands-off stance on crypto regulation, raising conflict-of-interest concerns.
Favored treatment for major investors: Regulators reportedly paused a fraud investigation into TRUMP investor Justin Sun shortly after his significant investments in Trump’s crypto ventures.

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September 15, 2025 0 comments