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Bitcoin
GameFi Guides

Bitcoin Market Cools Calmly As Realized Profits Stay Within A Safe Range

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Bitcoin’s current bearish movements appear to have intensified as market sentiment wanes, causing the flagship asset to lose the key $104,000 price level. Despite the recent pullback, key metrics such as the BTC Realized Profits are still in a positive range.

Realized Profits On Bitcoin At A Neutral Level

Following Bitcoin’s price decline, on-chain data shows that the Bitcoin market dynamics are seeing a cool-off as BTC Realized profits remain at a key zone. The current levels of realized profit indicate that the market is functioning in a state of sound equilibrium, showing no immediate indications of overheating or undue speculation.

On-chain expert and verified author Darkfost reported the development in a recent post on the X platform. According to the on-chain expert, as Bitcoin stabilizes in the face of economic and geopolitical uncertainties, keeping an eye on on-chain activity becomes essential.

Currently, Darkfost has stated that there are no significant red flags regarding realized profits on Bitcoin within the 7-day timeframe. In the current state of the market, the expert believes that it is crucial to monitor these indicators in order to predict any changes in market structure or attitude.

BTC realized profits, maintaining a neutral zone | Source: Darkfost on X

Even though bearish pressure is building in the sector, this stability suggests that the market may still have the capacity to rise as investors are exercising patience rather than making hasty withdrawals.

After he analyzed the BTC Net Realized Profit/Loss metric, Darkfost revealed that realized profits are still below a $1 billion value. This level is similar to what was captured near the conclusion of the correction in October 2024, as seen on the chart.

Despite a minor increase during the most recent all-time high, realized profits were still far lower than those recorded in January 2025. Such a positioning from the metric implies that investors and traders are not concerned enough or are not seeing enough profit to spark a large-scale sell-off.

A Huge Change In BTC’s Realized Cap

Looking into Bitcoin’s Realized Cap – UTXO Age Bands by percentage, the metric shows a shift in BTC movements. Kyle Doops, a market expert and Crypto Banter Show host, noted that more BTC is currently moving to strong hands or seasoned investors after he examined the key metric.

Data from the key on-chain metric shows that the share of UTXOs held for 6 to 12 months has now doubled. According to the expert, this notable advancement marks a massive shift in market dynamics.

Following the massive shift, Kyle Doops highlighted that conviction is increasing and supply is becoming more scarce. Such a trend was observed in the past, particularly in 2024. Historically, this kind of setup has preceded a rebound in price, which suggests that the ongoing volatility may be the calm before a major run.

BTC trading at $104,750 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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XRP
Crypto Trends

Wave Structure Puts XRP Price In The $18.22-$23.20 Range In The Short Term

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The XRP price may be on the verge of a huge breakout, as a new wave structure points to a potential surge toward the $18.22 to $23.20 price range in the short term. This distinct wave structure has emerged on the weekly chart, echoing historical patterns and well-defined technical frameworks that preceded a significant rally in late 2024. 

Massive XRP Price Rally Incoming

At the core of this short-term price analysis published by crypto analyst Dark Defender on X (formerly Twitter) is the appearance of a unique Elliott Wave structure now visible on the XRP weekly chart. According to the analyst’s forecast, XRP is set to complete its first two waves and is getting ready to enter Wave 3. 

Recently, XRP broke through a long-standing descending resistance line and is now approaching a key mid-level target around the $5.85 to $6.39 range within Wave 3. While reaching this bullish range is important for the altcoin to initiate its next leg up, the main focus is on the upper targets between $18.22 and $23.20. Dark Defender has boldly forecasted that XRP, currently trading at $2.18, could see a massive price surge to $23 by November 2025, which is the anticipated peak of Wave 5.  

Source: Dark Defender on X

A historical reference from November 2024 further reinforces this optimistic outlook. At the time, the crypto analyst notes that XRP displayed a clear technical wave configuration that led to a strong upward move. The same structure appears to be playing out once again, now with stronger technical signals and a decisive resistance break.

Based on XRP’s projected bullish trajectory on the weekly chart, the altcoin is expected to make a minor correction toward the $2.1 – $1.92 range before launching into Wave 3. This next move could see XRP break past the mid-level target and peak around $11 by September. 

After reaching the Wave 3 top, a corrective Wave 4 is anticipated, potentially triggering a major breakdown to the $7 – $8 zone. Once this consolidation phase ends, XRP is likely to progress into the final bullish Wave 5, aiming for the ambitious upside target between $18.22 and $23.20, which represents a rally from 735% to 963%. 

XRP MVRV Golden Cross Signals Big Move Ahead

The broader market sentiment around XRP is shifting bullish, as experts predict a strong rally on the horizon. According to on-chain analyst Ali Martinez, XRP has just printed a rare and potentially significant Golden Cross between its Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio and the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

The emergence of this Golden Cross pattern suggests that long-term sentiment may be aligning with a renewed wave of optimism. Building on this key indicator, Martinez has boldly predicted that this crossover could mark the beginning of the next major leg up for XRP.

XRP trading at $2.18 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Aptos price at range low support could spark major reversal toward $20
Crypto Trends

Aptos price at range low support could spark major reversal toward $20

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Aptos is holding firm at a key long-term support zone near $3.20, a level that has historically preceded strong bullish reversals. A breakout above resistance could ignite a move toward $20.

Aptos (APT) is trading at the lower boundary of a large high time frame range, a zone that has historically acted as a strong support base. This range low, combined with the value area low, forms a technical confluence around the $3.20 region. Price action has respected this level multiple times since 2022, each time preceding a bullish rally toward the $19–$20 resistance zone.

The current structure suggests accumulation is underway, potentially setting the stage for a rounded bottom formation — a classic reversal setup. However, a break above the point of control (POC) is essential to confirm the start of an expansion phase. Until then, Aptos remains range-bound, but the context leans bullish.

Key technical points,

  • Major Support: $3.20 range low in confluence with the value area low
  • Key Resistance: Point of Control (POC) needs to be broken with volume
  • Target Resistance Zone: $19–$20, the long-term range high

APTUSDT (1D) Chart | Source: TradingView

From a structural perspective, Aptos is forming a rounded bottom, which often signals accumulation and the potential for reversal. As price curls up from the support zone, momentum is gradually building. The most critical level to monitor now is the point of control — a horizontal level of heavy volume that has historically acted as a ceiling for price.

A convincing breakout above the POC, backed by a spike in volume, would shift the current structure from consolidation into expansion. Historically, price has accelerated toward the $20 region shortly after breaking above this level. This same setup could be unfolding again, and as long as price holds the current $3.20 support, the probability of upside continuation increases.

Market context also shows that Aptos is trading within a clearly defined range, but with each touch of the lower boundary, bullish responses have followed. The pattern suggests that the current phase is more likely an accumulation rather than distribution, increasing the odds that the next major move will be to the upside.

What to expect in the coming price action

If Aptos continues to hold the $3.20 level and breaks above the point of control with volume, a move toward the $19–$20 range high is likely. Until then, expect consolidation with a bullish bias as accumulation continues beneath resistance.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.



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