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AI Models Predict Neutral Bitcoin Trend: Warns Of Late-September Shock
NFT Gaming

AI Models Predict Neutral Bitcoin Trend: Warns Of Late-September Shock

by admin September 9, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase after a strong multi-month uptrend that began in April. Following weeks of heightened volatility and selling pressure, BTC has managed to hold steady above critical support levels, keeping the broader bullish narrative alive. Some analysts argue that this resilience highlights the strength of Bitcoin’s current market structure and even suggest that a push beyond all-time highs could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.

Despite uncertainty and cautious sentiment, long-term holders and institutional flows continue to provide a foundation for Bitcoin’s price stability. While short-term corrections remain possible, the broader market remains optimistic that BTC is preparing for another leg higher.

CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Onchain recently shared a Bitcoin TFT AI Forecast, which points to BTC trading in a mostly neutral range for the next month. According to the model, Bitcoin is likely to stay around current levels without a sharp breakout or collapse in the near term. This reinforces the idea that the market is digesting its recent gains before attempting another move.

Bitcoin AI Forecast Suggests Rising Uncertainty

According to the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) AI Forecast, Bitcoin is expected to trade within a mostly neutral range in the coming weeks, though uncertainty is rising sharply. The model places Bitcoin’s current price at $110,669, projecting a 1.1% decline to $109,451 over the next seven days. Looking further ahead, the 30-day forecast anticipates a 1.72% decrease to $108,771, reinforcing the idea of consolidation rather than a clear bullish or bearish breakout.

Bitcoin Price Prediction (30 Days Forecast) | Source: CryptoQuant

The most important signal, however, is not the modest downside forecast, but the sharp opening of confidence intervals. Model uncertainty climbs above 50% by the end of the forecast period, signaling elevated risk and the potential for severe volatility. This uncertainty opens the door to multiple scenarios.

The main scenario, combining both the WaveNet and TFT models, suggests Bitcoin will hold within the $108,000–$120,000 channel, a range-bound movement likely to dominate the first three weeks of September. A surprise scenario, however, could emerge in the final week. If a strong catalyst or sudden sentiment shift occurs, the elevated uncertainty could translate into an explosive move—either a breakout to fresh highs or a sharp retrace.

While the market faces slight selling pressure short term, the last week of September may prove decisive, with volatility set to define Bitcoin’s next big move.

Testing Support Within Ongoing Consolidation

The 3-day Bitcoin chart shows BTC trading at $112,146, rebounding 1.77% after recent volatility. The price remains in a consolidation phase following the rejection from the all-time high near $124,500. Notably, Bitcoin has so far defended the $110,000 support zone, which has acted as a floor during recent pullbacks.

BTC consolidates around key price level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The moving averages highlight the structure: the 50-day SMA at $107,765 and the 100-day SMA at $100,647 provide strong medium-term support. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA at $81,576 remains far below, reflecting Bitcoin’s broader bullish cycle despite short-term weakness. Holding above the 50-day average is key for confirming the resilience of this uptrend.

Immediate resistance lies at $115,000, a level Bitcoin failed to reclaim in its last attempts. A successful breakout above this region could open the path toward $120,000–123,000, where the ATH sits. Conversely, failure to maintain $110,000 could trigger further downside, potentially targeting the $107,000–105,000 range.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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September 9, 2025 0 comments
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Ether price chart on a smartphone screen (Cedrik Wesche/Unsplash)
Crypto Trends

Flashes Bullish Signal as RSI Holds Neutral and Volume Surges

by admin September 7, 2025



Dogecoin staged sharp price swings during the September 5–6 trading window, rising nearly 1% as volume jumped 29% above weekly averages. A midday selloff to $0.213 was quickly absorbed by buyers, underscoring institutional support and ETF-driven speculation. Traders now view $0.22 as the key breakout threshold that could define near-term momentum.

News Background

• Dogecoin reached a local high of $0.2157, its strongest level in weeks, with trading volume 29.19% above weekly benchmarks.
• Reports surfaced of a $200 million Dogecoin treasury initiative, led by Elon Musk’s legal counsel, boosting institutional credibility.
• REX Shares and Osprey Funds reportedly filed the first U.S. Dogecoin ETF applications, with decisions expected in October.
• Futures activity surged 119% in August, reflecting heightened institutional positioning around meme-based digital assets.

Price Action Summary

• DOGE traded in a $0.008 range (3.6%) between $0.213 and $0.221.
• The steepest move hit at 14:00, when price fell from $0.220 to $0.213 on 1.31B volume, establishing robust support.
• Recovery lifted DOGE back toward $0.216 by session close, with buyers consistently defending the $0.213–$0.214 zone.
• The one-hour window from 05:13–06:12 saw a resistance break above $0.2157 on 3.06M volume, hinting at renewed bullish pressure.

Technical Analysis

• Support: Strong base at $0.213–$0.214, validated by 1.3B volume during the selloff.
• Resistance: Clear ceiling at $0.220–$0.221, with multiple rejections.
• Momentum: Breakout attempt at $0.2157 suggests bullish continuation if $0.22 clears.
• Patterns: Accumulation signs within a tight consolidation band; descending triangle on DOGE/BTC pairs broke upward (flagged by CryptoKaleo).
• Indicators: RSI steady near mid-50s (neutral-bullish); MACD histogram converging toward potential bullish crossover.

What Traders Are Watching

• Whether DOGE can sustain closes above $0.22 to trigger an extended rally.
• Institutional flows tied to the $200M treasury initiative and potential ETF approval.
• Breakout targets projected between $0.30–$0.35 if resistance clears; downside risk remains toward $0.21 support.



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September 7, 2025 0 comments
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Compass Point Starts Coverage at Neutral
NFT Gaming

Compass Point Starts Coverage at Neutral

by admin September 3, 2025



Wall Street banking and research firm Compass Point has initiated coverage of crypto platform Bullish (BLSH), the parent company of CoinDesk, with a neutral rating and a $45 price target.

Despite a belief that Bullish’s lower fee structure could help it chip away at Coinbase’s (COIN) U.S. market share in the future, the analyst Ed Engel cited concerns about the timing as well as the stock’s valuation.

“We have a hard time seeing Bullish entering U.S. markets until Congress passes market structure legislation (i.e. the CLARITY Act),” Engel wrote. The CLARITY ACT, a bill aiming to clarify jurisdiction between the CFTC and SEC, however, might not be passed until the first half of 2026.

Even then, New York’s notoriously strict BitLicense regime could pose a hurdle, according to Engel. Regulators may be wary of Bullish’s model, which allows the company to act as its own market maker via its automated market maker (AMM) — a setup that could raise conflict-of-interest concerns, he said.

“We think there could be a better buying opportunity within 1-2 quarters,” wrote Engel, pointing to the stock’s current 110x multiple on 2026 projected EBITDA.

Bullish also holds a $2.7 billion crypto treasury, mostly in bitcoin BTC$108,783.53, which ties the stock’s performance closely to BTC price swings. That can be a double-edged sword, said Engel, reminding of bitcoin’s notorious volatility.

Engel’s $45 target assumes bitcoin hits $160,000 and includes a 50% probability that Bullish will break into the U.S. market. That potential expansion alone could add an estimated $12 per share in value, according to Engel.

Bullish went public in August at $37 per share and shot sharply higher before closing at $68 on its opening day.

Shares were down 4.6% Wednesday to $59.20.



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September 3, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin Market Shifts To Neutral As Adjusted MVRV Reads 39%
NFT Gaming

Bitcoin Market Shifts To Neutral As Adjusted MVRV Reads 39%

by admin August 31, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has entered a clear consolidation phase after breaking above its all-time highs two weeks ago, and the market is now at a critical juncture. While the rally to new records fueled optimism, the momentum has since slowed, with bulls struggling to hold key support levels. Analysts warn that if buying pressure does not strengthen soon, BTC could correct below the $105,000 mark, a level many are watching as the next decisive test.

According to fresh data from CryptoQuant, the cycle and volatility-adjusted MVRV currently stands at 39%. This metric, which compares Bitcoin’s market value relative to realized value while accounting for volatility, reflects a neutral balance between risk and reward. Historically, readings near this zone suggest the market has cooled from overheated extremes and entered a consolidation period, rather than signaling either full capitulation or euphoria.

This places Bitcoin in a delicate position. On one hand, the lack of extremes provides stability, suggesting the asset is not overextended. On the other hand, it highlights a market that is searching for direction, vulnerable to swings as liquidity shifts. With volatility persisting, the coming weeks could decide whether Bitcoin stabilizes for another leg higher or slips into its first deeper correction of the cycle.

Bitcoin Market Cools As MVRV Signals Neutral Risk

According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s cycle and volatility-adjusted MVRV offers a clear picture of where the market currently stands. On this metric, a reading near 100% has historically aligned with overheated extremes, often signaling euphoric tops. Conversely, a reading closer to 0% tends to correspond with complete capitulation, when investors have largely exited in panic and selling pressure exhausts itself.

Bitcoin MVRV Percentile | Source: Axel Adler

At present, the metric sits at 39%, placing Bitcoin in what Adler describes as a neutral risk/reward zone. This level is neither overly bullish nor outright bearish, and it implies that the market has cooled significantly from prior overheating. In other words, the explosive upward momentum that pushed BTC to fresh all-time highs two weeks ago has now transitioned into a phase of consolidation without extremes.

This neutrality brings both opportunity and uncertainty. On one side, the lack of overheated signals reduces the likelihood of an imminent crash fueled by speculative excess. On the other, the absence of a strong bullish signal means that Bitcoin lacks a clear catalyst to surge higher in the short term.

Adler notes that the coming weeks will be critical in shaping Bitcoin’s direction. If support holds and accumulation strengthens, BTC could stabilize before another push toward record levels. However, should bearish sentiment build, the market risks sliding below key levels such as $105,000, setting the stage for a deeper correction.

BTC Struggles Below Key Resistance

Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,845, showing signs of fragility after days of sustained selling pressure. The chart highlights how BTC has struggled to reclaim momentum following its rejection near $123,200, where a major resistance level continues to cap upside potential. Since mid-August, the price action has been marked by a clear downward trend, with lower highs and lower lows reinforcing bearish sentiment.

BTC testing fresh lows | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The moving averages confirm this weakness. The 50, 100, and 200-period SMAs are now stacked bearishly, with the short-term averages trending below the longer-term ones. This alignment signals continued downward momentum unless bulls manage to stage a convincing rebound. For the moment, Bitcoin’s attempts to recover have been muted, and the current bounce looks more like consolidation than the start of a new uptrend.

Key support lies just above $105,000, where buyers previously stepped in to prevent deeper losses. A decisive breakdown below this level could expose Bitcoin to further downside, possibly toward the psychological $100,000 threshold. On the other hand, reclaiming the $112K–$115K zone would be critical for shifting momentum back toward the upside.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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August 31, 2025 0 comments
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