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MSTR

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Crypto Trends

Peter Schiff Explains Why Strategy (MSTR) Should Have Bought Gold Instead of Bitcoin

by admin September 28, 2025



Analysts mapped a slow-grind path for bitcoin and flagged $112,000 as the trigger while gold advocate Peter Schiff revived the gold-versus-bitcoin debate by challenging Michael Saylor’s BTC treasury bet for his firm.

CoinDesk Senior Analyst James van Straten said bitcoin’s market structure has shifted alongside gold’s repricing.

He expects a slow, stair-step advance supported by steady ETF inflows, with 10–20% pullbacks along the way. He compared the setup to gold in the early 2000s, when prices climbed for years but often paused for healthy corrections.

In his framing, bitcoin may sometimes lag gold and sometimes outperform it, yet he still sees bitcoin leading on total returns over a full cycle.

Read More: Bitcoin Trails Equities, Metals, and USD in Q3. Here Is a Key Level to Watch for Next Move

Michaël van de Poppe focused on near-term levels.

He called sub-$107,000 a buy zone, signaling where he thinks dip buyers are likely to step in. He also pointed to $112,000 as the ceiling to beat. A clean break and hold above $112,000 on UTC closes would, in his view, confirm strength and broaden risk appetite, the point at which flows often rotate into large altcoins. That is what he means by “altcoin mode.”

Euro Capital CEO Peter Schiff, meanwhile, challenged Michael Saylor’s strategy by contrasting Strategy’s bitcoin exposure with a hypothetical gold program.

His core claim is liquidity. He argued that tens of billions of dollars in gold could be sold with limited market impact, while trying to exit a similar bitcoin position could hit prices hard and set off copycat selling.

Supporters of bitcoin would counter that any large seller could stage exits over time and use over-the-counter channels, but Schiff’s point is that gold’s market depth offers more flexibility to very large holders.

CoinDesk Research analysis

  • Window: Sept. 27, 09:00 UTC to Sept. 28, 08:00 UTC.
  • What happened: According to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model, bitcoin consolidated in about a $692 band (~1%), between $109,156.82 and $109,849.28.
  • Support showed up: repeated holds near ~$109,400 late on Sept. 27 (UTC).
  • Resistance formed: ~$109,750 capped rebounds in that same late-evening window.
  • Final 60 minutes: between 07:09 UTC and 08:08 UTC on Sept. 28, price popped to $109,663.84 at 08:03 UTC, then settled near ~$109,580, turning ~$109,575 into fresh, short-term support.
  • Read-through: Support ~$109,400–$109,575; resistance ~$109,750. A UTC close above ~$109,750 sets up $110,000–$111,000. Lose ~$109,400, and ~$109,150 is next.

Latest 24-hour and one-month chart read

  • 24-hour context (as of Sept. 28, 14:41 UTC): price near $109,724 sits above ~$109,400/109,575 support and below ~$109,750 resistance. A break and hold above ~$109,750 (UTC) points to $110,000–$111,000, with $112,000 the broader momentum trigger many traders watch. A slip back under ~$109,400 risks a retest of ~$109,150, then ~$108,500.
  • One-month context: after mid-September highs near ~$117,000, bitcoin has compressed into the $109,000–$112,000 area. Reclaiming and holding $112,000 would likely reignite upside momentum. Failing that, more sideways consolidation is the base case rather than a trend break on its own.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.



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September 28, 2025 0 comments
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Seasonality, Strategy (MSTR), Nvidia (NVDA) And Others Offer Mixed Signals
NFT Gaming

Seasonality, Strategy (MSTR), Nvidia (NVDA) And Others Offer Mixed Signals

by admin September 27, 2025



This is an analysis post by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

As we approach the final quarter of 2025, the following key charts provide valuable insights to help crypto traders navigate the evolving market landscape.

Bullish seasonality

Seasonal trends suggest a bullish Q4 outlook for both BTC$109,398.64 and ETH$4,010.26, the top two cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

Since 2013, BTC$109,398.64 has delivered an average return of 85% in the final quarter, according to data from Coinglass, making Q4 historically the strongest period for bulls.

Seasonality leans bullish for BTC and ETH. (Coinglass)

November stands out as the most bullish month, with an average gain of 46%, followed by October, which typically sees a 21% increase.

ETH$4,010.26 also tends to perform well in the last three months of the year, although its strongest historical returns have been in the first quarter since inception.

BTC’s 50-week SMA support

Bitcoin’s price has dropped by 5% this week, consistent with the bearish technical signals and looks set to extend losses to late August lows near $107,300. If bulls fail to defend that, the focus will shift to the 200-day simple moving average at $104,200.

The ongoing price decline, combined with bitcoin’s historical pattern of peaking approximately 16 to 18 months after a halving event, may scare bulls.

However, such concerns may be premature as long as prices remain above the 50-week simple moving average (SMA). This moving average has consistently acted as a support level, marking the end of corrective price pullbacks during the current bull run that began in early 2023.

BTC’s weekly chart in candlesticks format. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

Traders, therefore, should closely watch the 50-week SMA, which is currently positioned around $98,900, as a key level for broader market direction.

XRP/BTC compression

XRP, often called the “U.S. government coin” by firms like Arca, has surged 32% this year. However, despite this strong rally, the payments-focused cryptocurrency remains confined within a prolonged sideways trading range against Bitcoin (XRP/BTC), showing limited relative strength.

The XRP/BTC pair has been confined within a narrow trading range since early 2021, resulting in over four years of low-volatility compression.

Prolonged range play in XRP/BTC. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

Recent price action near the upper boundary of this channel suggests that bulls are gradually gaining control. A breakout from such a prolonged consolidation could trigger a powerful rally in XRP relative to BTC, as the accumulated energy from this squeeze is released.

Now, let’s turn to charts that call for caution.

Breakout in Defiance Daily Target 2x Short MSTR ETF (SMST)

The leveraged anti-Strategy ETF (SMST), which seeks to deliver daily investment results that are -200%, or minus 2x, the daily percentage change in bitcoin-holder Strategy’s (MSTR) share price, is flashing bullish signals.

The ETF’s price climbed to a five-month high of $35.65, forming what appears to be an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, characterized by a prominent trough (the head) flanked by two smaller, roughly equal troughs (the shoulders).

Defiance Daily Target 2x Short MSTR ETF (SMST). (TradingView/CoinDesk)

This pattern often signals a potential bullish reversal, suggesting the ETF may be gearing up for a significant upward move.

In other words, it’s flashing a bearish signal for both BTC and Strategy, which is the largest publicly listed BTC holder with a coin stash of 639,835 BTC.

Dollar Index’s double bottom

Last week, I discussed the dollar’s post-Fed rate cut resilience as a potential headwind for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

The dollar index has since gained ground, establishing a double bottom at around 96.30. It’s a sign that bulls have successfully established the path of least resistance on the higher side.

Dollar Index. (DXY). (CoinDesk/TradingView)

A continued move beyond 100.26, the high of the interim recovery between the twin bottoms around 96.30, would confirm the so-called double bottom breakout, opening the door for a move to 104.00.

Watch out for the pattern failure below 96.00, as that could lead to increased risk-taking in financial markets.

NVDA topping?

Nvidia (NVDA), the world’s largest listed company by market value, and a bellwether for risk assets, continues to flirt with the upper end of the broadening channel identified by June 2024 and November 2024 highs and lows hit in August 2024 and April 2025.

NVDA’s bull run has stalled at key resistance. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The rally has stalled at the upper trendline since late July in a sign of bullish exhaustion. Should it decline from here, it could signal the onset of a risk-off period in global markets, including cryptocurrencies.



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September 27, 2025 0 comments
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MSTR stock plot thickens as Strategy’s mNAV and Bitcoin price crash
Crypto Trends

MSTR stock plot thickens as Strategy’s mNAV and Bitcoin price crash

by admin September 26, 2025



Strategy stock price crashed below an important support level as Bitcoin fell below $110,000 and as its mNAV multiple reached its year-to-date low. 

Summary

  • MSTR stock price has crashed below an important support level.
  • There is a risk that it will form a death cross pattern soon.
  • Bitcoin price has formed a head-and-shoulders on the daily chart and a rising wedge on the weekly.

Strategy stock price traded $297 on Thursday, its lowest level since April, and 35% below its all time high. This crash has brought its market capitalization from the year-to-date high of $129 billion to now $84 billion.

MSTR stock plunged amid the ongoing crypto market crash. Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $110,000 for the first time since Sep. 1. Worse, as the chart below shows, it has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern, pointing to more downside in the near term.

BTC price has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern | Source: crypto.news 

Bitcoin has also formed a giant rising wedge on the weekly chart, meaning that this could be the start of a prolonged bear market.

A prolonged Bitcoin price crash would be negative for Strategy, a company that has become the biggest holder globally. It holds 639,835 coins, currently worth $69 billion. The same coins would be worth $80 billion if it was at its all-time high of $124,200.

Most importantly, the falling BTC price means that the company’s premium has plunged. The closely-watched mNAV multiple has dropped to the year-to-date low of 1.195, down from the November high of 3.4.

The falling mNAV multiple is risky for the company because it uses its premium to raise capital, which it uses to buy Bitcoin. For a long time, Saylor’s rule was that he would not issue shares if the mNAV moved below 2.5. He changed it in August, opening the door for more dilution.

MSTR stock price technical analysis 

Strategy stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily timeframe chart shows that the MSTR stock price has crashed from a high of $457 in July to $295 today.

It dropped below the important support level at $318, where it failed to move below several times this month.

Worse, the stock is about to form the risky death cross pattern as the spread between the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages has narrowed.

A death cross would lead to more downside, potentially to the important support level at $230, its lowest level in April this year. This target is about 25% below the current level. 



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September 26, 2025 0 comments
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S&P 500 Changes Send HOOD Higher, MSTR Lower
GameFi Guides

S&P 500 Changes Send HOOD Higher, MSTR Lower

by admin September 8, 2025



Robinhood (HOOD) stock soared 15% on Monday following the company’s inclusion in the S&P 500, the widely tracked benchmark for U.S. equities. The announcement was made after markets closed on Friday and takes effect with the index’s September 22 rebalance.

The trading platform, which has seen its stock price nearly triple this year, has long been considered a frontrunner for inclusion. It was one of the three largest eligible companies yet to be added to the index.

Meanwhile, shares of Strategy (MSTR) slipped lower after the bitcoin BTC$112,550.55 development company was passed over,despite qualifying for inclusion for the first time this quarter. Strategy posted $14 billion in operating income and $10 billion in net income for the second quarter 2025 — eye-popping figures that met the S&P’s requirements. The source of the profit — a sharp rise in the price of bitcoin — likely didn’t set well with the selection committee, which surely was aware that BTC can also move in the opposite direction.

MSTR was down 1.5% in late morning U.S. action.

Appearing on CNBC Monday morning, Strategy CEO Michael Saylor said he hadn’t expected immediate inclusion. “I don’t think we expected to be selected on our first quarter of eligibility,” he said. “We figured it’ll happen at some time.”

Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer echoed that sentiment, writing that Strategy “does not need S&P’s approval as validation of its operating model, as the market scoreboard has already provided it in emphatic fashion.”

TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanca called the committee’s decision unsurprising. “Inclusion was never central to our investment thesis, though it remains a potential positive catalyst,” he wrote.

Some observers speculate that the committee may be hesitant to include a company so heavily tied to bitcoin. Vitanca addressed the possibility directly, writing: “To the extent the Committee is instead acting on deeper, philosophical, political, or economic concerns, these may be assuaged over time.”



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September 8, 2025 0 comments
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Strategy's Saylor Reacts to Stunning MSTR S&P 500 Rejection
Crypto Trends

Strategy’s Saylor Reacts to Stunning MSTR S&P 500 Rejection

by admin September 6, 2025


Michael Saylor, the renowned Bitcoin advocate and the co-founder of the Bitcoin treasury company Strategy, has issued a tweet showing his reaction to the rejection of his company from being included in the S&P 500 index.

He has posted data that shows that the only thing Strategy needs to be part of S&P 500 is merely a formal recognition, basically, since MSTR has already left SPY lying in the dust in terms of market performance.

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Saylor reacts to Strategy’s stunning SPY rejection

On Friday, Sept. 5, the official decision was made on whether or not to add Strategy to the S&P 500 index. The decision was negative, while another large company, also directly related to crypto, but through trading and investment, was included in it — the Robinhood platform, which allows retail users to invest in both traditional stocks and crypto as well as crypto-related products.

Saylor reacted to this decision by posting a tweet with an infographic showing that MSTR has long left the S&P 500 (SPY) behind thanks to its Bitcoin strategy. What is even more curious and notable — the infographic shows that MSTR has outperformed Bitcoin itself, too. MSTR shows a 92% surge on the chart, while SPY lags with a 14% increase, and Bitcoin shows 55% annualized growth in terms of “Bitcoin Standard Era Return.”

As the rejection from the S&P 500 inclusion news made its way into news reports, MSTR immediately dropped 2%. However, the official X account of the company tweeted that despite this unfortunate event, Strategy will certainly maintain its course and will not be deterred from the Bitcoin path.



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September 6, 2025 0 comments
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MSTR, NAKA, BMNR Punished as Crypto Treasury Bubble Further Deflates
NFT Gaming

MSTR, NAKA, BMNR Punished as Crypto Treasury Bubble Further Deflates

by admin September 4, 2025



The purchase announcements are still coming at a fast clip, but the bubble in crypto treasury companies popped some time ago and is deflating even further on Thursday as the Nasdaq reportedly has seen enough.

That major U.S. stock exchange — where many of these treasury companies trade — is upping scrutiny of firms aiming for big pops on their stock prices by raising money to by crypto, according to The Information.

New Nasdaq requirements, according to the report, would include requiring some companies to get shareholder approval prior to selling shares for the funds necessary to buy crypto. The exchange, the story continued, could de-list or suspend trading in the stocks if firms fail to comply.

Combined with 2%-4% declines in the price of major cryptos like bitcoin BTC$108,783.53, ether (ETH) and solana SOL$202.61, the news is sending already roughed-up treasury names even lower.

Read more: Bitcoin Slips Below $110K as Analysts Weigh Risk of Deeper Pullback

KindlyMD (NAKA) — which only days ago completed its merger with bitcoin-holding company Nakamoto Holdings — is down 16% on Thursday and now lower by about 80% since that Aug. 15 merger date. At the current $3.46, it’s also down by more than 90% since its late-May peak, which one could more or less say may have been the peak of the crypto treasury bubble.

The Eric and Donald Trump Jr.-led American Bitcoin (ABTC) is lower by 20% just one day after its shares began trading on the Nasdaq.

Japanese hotelier turned bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet (MTPLF) is down 8.6% today and off about 70% from its late-May peak.

Checking some ether treasury names, Bitmine Immersion (BMNR) is off 8.6% today and 70% from its early July record, and Sharplink Gaming is down 10.5% Thursday and nearly 90% from its late-May top.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) — by a very wide margin the first-mover in bitcoin treasury names — is holding up far better than the group as a whole, lower by just 1.8% Thursday and “only” down by about 30% from its 2025 high touched in mid-July.



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September 4, 2025 0 comments
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Strategy’s Preferred Shares Form a Bullish Circle Around BTC
NFT Gaming

MSTR Qualifies for S&P 500, Inclusion Decision Awaits Friday

by admin September 1, 2025



MicroStrategy, now doing business as Strategy (MSTR), has officially qualified for potential inclusion in the S&P 500 after posting one of the strongest quarters in its history.

In the second quarter of 2025, the company reported $14 billion in operating income and $10 billion in net income, equal to $32.6 in diluted earnings per share. Quarterly revenue came in at $114.5 million, a modest 2.7% increase year-over-year, with subscription services rising nearly 70%.

The results mark a dramatic turnaround from prior years, when impairment charges tied to bitcoin BTC$109,276.44 depressed reported earnings. The adoption of new fair-value accounting standards in January 2025 allowed Strategy to recognize unrealized gains on its digital asset holdings, directly boosting profitability. With bitcoin trading above $100,000 during the period, the company booked massive paper gains that transformed its balance sheet.

As of June 30, Strategy held 597,325 bitcoin. The firm highlighted a BTC Yield of 19.7% year-to-date, a key performance indicator measuring the percentage change in the ratio between its bitcoin count and assumed diluted shares outstanding.

Management raised guidance for full-year 2025 to $34 billion in operating income, $24 billion in net income, and $80 in diluted EPS, assuming a year-end bitcoin price of $150,000.

With consistent profitability now established, Strategy meets all S&P 500 requirements: U.S. listing, market capitalization far above the $8.2 billion threshold, daily trading volumes exceeding 250,000 shares, more than 50% public float, and positive earnings both in the latest quarter and on a trailing twelve-month basis.

The next potential window for inclusion is the September 2025 rebalance, with announcements expected Sept. 5 and changes taking effect Sept. 19. While the S&P Dow Jones Indices committee retains discretion, Strategy’s qualification underscores the growing role of bitcoin in mainstream financial markets.

If admitted, it would be the first bitcoin-treasury company to enter the benchmark index, symbolizing a landmark moment for the integration of digital assets into U.S. equities.

Read more: Bitcoin Hovers Around $107K as Weakest Month for Crypto Begins



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September 1, 2025 0 comments
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MSTR, COIN, CRCL Hit by Post-Rally Sell-Off
GameFi Guides

MSTR, COIN, CRCL Hit by Post-Rally Sell-Off

by admin August 26, 2025



Crypto stocks opened the week under pressure as traders took profits following a sharp Friday rally across digital assets and broader financial markets.

MARA Holdings (MARA) and Circle (CRCL) led the losses, falling about 6% in early trading. Bullish (BLSH) was down 5%, while Strategy (MSTR) slipped 3%. Other publicly traded platforms with crypto exposure, including Coinbase (COIN), eToro (ETOR), and Robinhood (HOOD), also traded lower.

The moves mirrored a broader pullback in digital asset prices. Bitcoin BTC$110,020.53 and ether (ETH) were both down significantly from their weekend highs, falling roughly 4% and 5.5%, respectively, over the past 24 hours.

That Friday rally followed dovish comments by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday morning, which briefly boosted risk appetite across markets. Crypto surged alongside stocks as investors interpreted Powell’s remarks as a signal that the Fed may be lowering interest rates next month.

In traditional markets, the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed on the day, as was the price of gold and the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury Note.

“The crypto market is grappling with macro pressures: shifting Fed signals, dollar strength, and risk reduction,” LMAX market strategist Joel Kruger said in a note. “While [Powell] hinted at rate cuts, the nuance and less dovish undertone left markets jittery.”

Nvidia’s upcoming earnings on Wednesday will be a key sentiment check for the broader stock market, with further focus on Thursday’s GDP and jobless claims data and Friday’s core PCE, said Jake Ostrovskis, OTC trader at crypto trading firm Wintermute.



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August 26, 2025 0 comments
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CRCL, COIN, MSTR Among Crypto Stock Rally as Powell Signals Possible September Rate Cuts
GameFi Guides

CRCL, COIN, MSTR Among Crypto Stock Rally as Powell Signals Possible September Rate Cuts

by admin August 23, 2025



Crypto-linked stocks and digital assets surged on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that the central bank could begin cutting interest rates as soon as September.

The tone marked a shift after weeks of growing investor doubt that the Fed would act before year-end.

Bitcoin BTC$115,897.19 and ether (ETH) both moved higher following Powell’s remarks, as did the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Shares tied directly to the crypto sector posted some of the sharpest moves of the day.

At the time of writing, Circle (CRCL) led the pack with a 7% jump. eToro (ETOR) and Marathon Digital (MARA) each climbed 6%, while Coinbase (COIN) rose 5%. MicroStrategy (MSTR), which holds billions in bitcoin, gained 4%, and Robinhood (HOOD) advanced 3%.

The moves underscored how tightly crypto assets and equities remain linked to expectations for U.S. monetary policy. Lower interest rates typically ease financial conditions, encouraging risk-taking and increasing the appeal of speculative assets.

U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly called on the Fed to ease borrowing costs. Powell, however, emphasized that inflation risks remain and the labor market continues to show signs of strain.

Still, he suggested the calculus is evolving. “The balance of risks appears to be shifting,” Powell said, adding that while the jobs picture looks stable on the surface, “it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers.”

That cautious framing helped reassure markets that the Fed is potentially preparing to move to cut rates but not rushing into a decision. Investors had grown less confident about a September cut after a series of firmer-than-expected economic readings. Friday’s comments put the possibility back in play.

Read more: Powell Puts September Rate Cut in Play; Bitcoin Pushes Higher



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August 23, 2025 0 comments
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CoinDesk News Image
NFT Gaming

Michael Saylor’s MSTR Declines 7.8% Alongside Drop in Bitcoin

by admin August 19, 2025



Crypto-related stocks tumbled on Tuesday in a broad-market crypto slide that brought bitcoin

down to $113,000.

Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate owner of BTC, closed the session 7.8% down at $336, at its weakest price since April 22.

Ethereum

treasury firms SharpLink Gaming (SBET) and BitMine (BMNR) lost 8%-9%, while Solana-focused accumulators DeFi Development (DFDV) and Upexi (UPXI) plunged 13.7% and 9%, respectively.

Digital asset investment firm Galaxy (GLXY) slid 10%, while Robinhood (HOOD) sank 6.5% and Coinbase (COIN) fell 5.8%. BTC miner MARA Holdings (MARA) declined nearly 6%, while some high-flying HPC names like Bitdeer (BTDR), IREN (IREN) and Hut 8 (HUT) plummeted nearly 10%.

Risk appetite quickly evaporated this week as traders anticipate Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Friday speech at Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Read more: Bitcoin Drops Below $114K, Ether Loses $4.2K as Jackson Hole Speech Might Bring Hawkish Surprise



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August 19, 2025 0 comments
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