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Public Keys: Coinbase Hack Fallout, MSTR Legal Strife and Stable-Curious Wall Street

by admin May 23, 2025



In brief

  • Coinbase released a few more worrying details about the data breach it reported last week.
  • Strategy got hit with a class action lawsuit, then launched a “crown jewel” of a $2.1 billion stock offering.
  • A trio of banks are mulling a stablecoin contender, but it would be used on a permissioned network.

Public Keys is a weekly roundup from Decrypt that tracks the key publicly traded crypto companies.

This week:

Worrying details from Coinbase

The data breach Coinbase told users and investors about last week has gotten a little more worrying.

It’s not that more data has been stolen. But the company filed a disclosure with the Maine Attorney General that included a few key details that were missing from its SEC filing and blog post about the exploit.

The breach occurred on December 26, 2024, and wasn’t discovered until May 11, 2025. That means the company went 136 days without knowing customer data had been compromised. The only spot on Coinbase’s 8-K filing that mentions December is the boilerplate about forward looking statements.



In its blog post, Coinbase described the number of users impacted as “less than 1%” of its monthly transacting users—leaving readers to do the math on their own. But it was more explicit in the Maine filing, saying 69,461 users had data leaked.

Don’t get us wrong. The company’s stock, which trades on the Nasdaq under the COIN ticker, has shaken off the post-disclosure investor jitters. It had climbed to $271.95 by yesterday’s close. That’s the highest the price has been since February and was likely spurred along by Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high.

But, uh, is there anything else we should know about that data breach? Asking for about 70,000 friends. With the personal details, including home addresses, of potentially high-net-worth individuals in the wind, TechCrunch and Arrington Capital Founder Michael Arrington is concerned lives could be at risk.

Run that ‘Crown Jewel’ fast

Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor and his company face a new class action lawsuit from investors who allege they were misled about the risks of the company’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy.

In particular, the plaintiffs take issue with Strategy saying in its latest earnings report that ““[w]e may not be able to regain profitability in future periods, particularly if we incur significant unrealized losses related to our digital assets.”

Filed in a Virginia federal court, the suit claims MicroStrategy downplayed the volatility of Bitcoin, leading to significant investor losses.

But you know the Strategy playbook by now: Bitcoin buying will continue until prices improve. Days later, the company unveiled a “crown jewel” offering of $2.1 billion worth of Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock (STRF).

Investors seem dubious of this latest offering, though. In the same week that Bitcoin twice set a new all-time high, MSTR shares are ending it 7% lower than they were last Friday.

Stable contenders

Recent progress on the GENIUS Act stablecoin bill in D.C. has Wall Street stalwarts JPMorgan, Citi, and Wells Fargo considering a partnership to create their own dollar-pegged stablecoin, according to a report earlier this week from The Wall Street Journal.

It’s potentially big if true, but unclear just how much market share the three banks could nab from the $248 billion worth of stables already in circulation, according to CoinGecko data.

There’s one detail that gives us pause: The banks are exploring tokenized deposit products—all good so far—and permissioned blockchains. That’s where a lot of big institutions start to lose on-chain credibility. (“Permissioned” is techno-speak for “private,” which makes these kinds of networks really just blockchains in name only.)

Compliance teams are still wary of conducting business on a public network. But when you take away the permissionless part, then projects start to look like the same old systems with buzzy new technology that makes them faster and cheaper.

But going the fully permissionless route isn’t a slam dunk, either. PayPal launched its PYUSD stablecoin on none other than Ethereum in August 2023. It’s currently the 110th largest stablecoin with a $880 million market capitalization, according to CoinGecko.

And it drew the ire of the Securities and Exchange Commission, which subpoenaed the company about the stablecoin in November 2023. It recently called off an investigation into PYUSD with no action taken.

It’s gotta be said, though, that fintech payments platform PayPal doesn’t have quite the same gravitas as three Wall Street institutions. If D.C. waves the green flag, things could get interesting.

Other Keys

  • Mocking crypto Batman: A bad actor who’s believed to be linked to the Coinbase data breach has been mocking on-chain sleuth ZachXBT. “L bozo,” the hacker wrote Wednesday evening through an Ethereum transaction using the blockchain’s input data message feature. The message was followed by a link to a YouTube meme video showing NBA legend James Worthy smoking a cigar. Gotham needs justice.
  • New base unit, who dis? Square CEO and laser-eyed Bitcoin maxi Jack Dorsey has joined the chorus of developers saying that Bitcoin’s base unit should be changed from “satoshis” to “Bitcoins.” This would render sayings like “Stacking sats” meaningless. A Bitcoin is made up of 100,000,000 satoshis, or “sats,” named after the cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.

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May 23, 2025 0 comments
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Tom Carreras
NFT Gaming

MSTR, SMLR Lead Crypto Names Lower

by admin May 23, 2025



Crypto stocks suffered a red day on Friday, especially bitcoin

treasury companies such as Strategy (MSTR) and Semler Scientific (SMLR) — each down roughly 6% even as bitcoin slipped only a bit more than 2%. Japan-listed Metaplanet is lower by 24%.

The picture looks even worse when zooming out: changing hands at $376 early Friday afternoon, MSTR shares are more than 30% below their all-time high hit late in 2024 even as bitcoin has pumped to a new record this week.

The price action comes amid a continuing debate taking place on social media about the sustainability of Michael Saylor’s (and those copycatting him) bitcoin-vacuuming playbook.

“Bitcoin treasury companies are all the rage this week. MSTR, Metaplanet, Twenty One, Nakamoto,” said modestly well-followed bitcoin twitter poster lowstrife. “I think they’re toxic leverage is the worst thing which has ever happened to bitcoin [and] what bitcoin stands for.”

The issue, according to lowstrife, is that the financial engineering that Strategy and other BTC treasury firms are employing to accumulate more bitcoin essentially rests on mNAV — a metric that compares a company’s valuation to its net asset value (in these cases, their bitcoin treasuries).

As long as their mNAV remains above 1.0, a given company can keep raising capital and buying more bitcoin, because investors are showing interest in paying a premium for exposure to the stock relative to the firm’s bitcoin holdings.

If mNAV dips below that level, however, it means the value of the company is even lower than the value of its holdings. This can create significant problems for a firm’s ability to raise capital and, say, pay dividends on some of the convertible notes or preferred stock it may have issued.

Shades of GBTC

Something similar happened to Grayscale’s bitcoin trust, GBTC, prior to its conversion into an ETF. A closed-end fund, GBTC during the bull market of 2020 and 2021 traded at an ever-growing premium to its net asset value as institutional investors sought quick exposure to bitcoin.

When prices turned south, however, that premium morphed into an abysmal discount, which contributed to a chain of blowups beginning with highly-leverage Three Arrows Capital and eventually spreading to FTX. The resultant selling pressure took bitcoin from a record high of $69,000 all the way down to $15,000 in just one year.

“Just like GBTC back in the day, the entire game now — the whole thing — is figuring out how much more BTC these access vehicles will scoop up, and when they will blow up and spit it all back out again,” Nic Carter, partner at Castle Island Ventures, posted in response to lowstrife’s thread.

The thread also triggered replies from MSTR bulls, among them Adam Back, Bitcoin OG and CEO of Blockstream.

“If mNAV < 1.0 they can sell BTC and buy back MSTR and increase BTC/share that way, which is in share-holder interests,” he posted. “Or people see that coming and don’t let it go there. Either way this is fine.”



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May 23, 2025 0 comments
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Crypto Trends

Bitcoin on Track to Hit $500K as Government Entities Increase MSTR Holdings: Standard Chartered

by admin May 20, 2025



In brief

  • Bitcoin’s price will reach $500,000 over the next three-and-a-half years, Standard Chartered analyst Geoff Kendrick writes.
  • In the first quarter, 12 government entities increased their exposure to Strategy.
  • Strategy holds 576,000 Bitcoin.

Bitcoin’s price remains on track to hit half a million dollars before Donald Trump’s current term ends after government entities increased their indirect exposure to Bitcoin in the first quarter, according to Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered, 

Whether it was South Korea’s National Pension Service, the Swiss National Bank, or U.S. state retirement funds, government entities’ recent holdings of Strategy—which owns around 576,000 Bitcoin—“was very encouraging,” Kendrick wrote in a note on Tuesday. That group also included Swedish pension funds, a state-owned bank in France, and the Saudi Central Bank.

In the first quarter, 12 government entities increased their exposure to Strategy, holding 31,000 Bitcoin worth of Strategy shares, he added.

Although investors can gain exposure to Bitcoin through spot exchange-traded funds that were approved in the U.S. last year, government entities’ increased Strategy holdings reflect “widening structural demand” for Bitcoin and Strategy’s continued use as a Bitcoin proxy, Kendrick wrote.

“We believe that in some cases, MSTR holdings by government entities reflect a desire to gain Bitcoin exposure where local regulations do not allow direct BTC holdings,” he added.



Analysts at the British multinational bank believe that Bitcoin’s price will reach $500,000 before the end of  Trump’s second term ends in early 2029. That target is premised on the understanding that Trump’s administration, through the repeal of SAB 121 and initiatives like his strategic Bitcoin reserve, will improve investors’ access to Bitcoin, while encouraging demand.

 

Each quarter, institutional investment managers with over $100 million worth of assets under management are required to reveal their holdings through a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Known as a 13F, Kendrick argued that these filings are the best way to test “our thesis that BTC will attract new institutional buyer types as the market matures.”

Within the U.S., state retirement funds for California, New York, North Carolina, and Kentucky upped their Strategy holdings by the equivalent of 1,000 Bitcoin, Kendrick said. Each share in Strategy equates to 0.0018 Bitcoin per diluted share, per Strategy Tracker.

Sovereigns’ exposure to Bitcoin through spot ETFs “was disappointing at first glance,” Kendrick noted, pointing to an overall decline in their direct holdings. The State of Wisconsin Investment Board, which held the equivalent of 3,400 Bitcoin through ETFs, sold all its holdings. 

Mubadala Investment Company, the sovereign wealth fund for Abu Dhabi’s government, validated Standard Chartered’s thesis when it started stockpiling Bitcoin last year. In the first quarter, its Bitcoin exposure increased to 5,000 Bitcoin, from 4,700 Bitcoin, not long ago.

Edited by James Rubin

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