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ESA Predicts Humans Living in ‘Space Oases’ on Mars in 2040

by admin June 19, 2025



In brief

  • Technology 2040 Vision envisages humans living in “autonomous habitats beyond Earth.”
  • The destinations could include the moon, Mars, and beyond.
  • In a tweet, ESA Director-General Josef Aschbacher billed the document as a “call to action.”

The European Space Agency (ESA) has outlined expectations for humans living on other planets as soon as 2040 in a newly published document.

Technology 2040 Vision envisages humans living in “autonomous habitats beyond Earth” on the Moon, Mars and beyond, following what it predicts will be a “rapid evolution of technology” in the coming years.

In a tweet, ESA Director-General Josef Aschbacher billed the document as a “call to action,” as part of a roadmap to building a “resilient European presence across Earth orbit and beyond.”

The document was released to clarify what space exploration—and habitation—could look like in the near future. The next steps in human exploration beyond Earth’s orbit “will involve longer stays and farther destinations,” its authors wrote.

This new wave of exploration will be underpinned by “space oases,” self-sustaining habitats that will protect astronauts using “circular management of resources.” The result should enable astronauts to spend far longer in space compared to current missions that are limited to around six months at most, the authors added.

Future space habitats will make use of “smart materials” and “in-situ manufacturing,” while supplies will be delivered using “high-velocity logistics” and technology such as mass drivers.

ESA Technology 2040 is not just a roadmap – it is a call to action. The document defines an integrated tech stack that keeps supply‑chains sovereign, scales through serialisation and modularity, and locks in European leadership from LEO to deep space.

By 2040, we envision a… pic.twitter.com/pK2DLPOByH

— Josef Aschbacher (@AschbacherJosef) June 17, 2025

Doing all this while keeping the environmental impact to a minimum will pose challenges, the report’s authors noted. “Achieving true sustainability requires the kind of circular thinking increasingly seen on Earth,” with a “holistic” approach to using resources.

“The ability to repurpose and recycle materials in orbit is not only key to sustainability but will also enable new markets and capabilities and add additional commercial value to space assets,” the report said, building on predictions from ESA Director of Space Technology, Engineering and Quality at ESTEC Dietmar Pilz that the global space economy could be worth as much as €1 trillion by 2040.

Communications will also be improved, with “optical communications links” and “relay spacecraft” enabling “trunk lines” carrying communications and network data streams as far as Saturn.

The ESA predicted that AI and quantum technologies would play large roles in the leap forward, with smart materials, long-sustainability and modular payloads all expected to advance in the coming years.

Nevertheless, with this huge endeavour to achieve—and a recent SpaceX rocket test failure demonstrating that space travel is still fraught with risks—2040 may sound a little closer than expected.

Edited by Stephen Graves

Generally Intelligent Newsletter

A weekly AI journey narrated by Gen, a generative AI model.





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June 19, 2025 0 comments
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GameFi Guides

Elon Musk Pivots From DOGE to SpaceX Mars Plan, Eyeing Self-Sustaining Colony by 2029

by admin May 31, 2025



In brief

  • Elon Musk outlined a bold plan to colonize Mars, targeting a self-sustaining colony by the end of the decade.
  • Musk’s plan includes building 1,000 Starships a year to support large-scale Mars transport.
  • Reusable rockets and orbital refueling are vital to Musk’s plan for a multiplanet species.

Fresh off his official departure from the Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, Elon Musk unveiled a bold plan to colonize Mars and make humanity a multiplanet species on Thursday during a presentation at Starbase, Texas, the newly incorporated city established by SpaceX.

Musk outlined plans for an interplanetary transport system designed to ferry humans to the Red Planet, with the ultimate goal of establishing a self-sustaining city there. Though he gave no timetable during his speech, in March, he predicted that humans would live on Mars within the next 20 years.

“Progress is measured by the timeline to establishing a self-sustaining civilization on Mars. That’s how we gauge progress here at Starbase,” Musk told the audience. “Each launch—especially in the early days of Starship—is about learning what’s needed to make life multiplanetary and improving Starship until it can ultimately carry hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of people to Mars.”

Musk’s renewed push to reach Mars comes after he stepped down from his role as head of DOGE under President Trump. Elon Musk’s ambition to colonize Mars has been central to his outlook for humanity’s future since he first proposed the endeavor.

The plan to reach Mars relies on SpaceX’s Starship and orbital refueling, with uncrewed missions set to begin in 2026, aiming to establish the first human settlements on Mars by 2029. Musk estimated that one million tons of cargo will be needed to establish a self-sustaining Mars colony, involving thousands of Starship launches.

“We’re now at the point where we can produce a ship roughly every two or three weeks,” Musk claimed. “We don’t always produce one that often because we’re making design upgrades, but ultimately we’re aiming for the ability to produce 1,000 ships a year—three ships a day.”

In addition to the massive Starship, SpaceX’s roadmap to Mars centers on key elements including the new Raptor 3 engine for greater efficiency, a reusable heat shield to survive atmospheric reentry on both Earth and Mars, and orbital refueling to extend range and maximize payload capacity.

Raptor 3 (sea level variant)

Thrust: 280tf
Specific impulse: 350s
Engine mass: 1525kg
Engine + vehicle-side commodities and hardware mass : 1720kg pic.twitter.com/zormSroZyh

— SpaceX (@SpaceX) August 3, 2024

Musk said SpaceX will use Tesla Optimus robots to lay the groundwork and construct the Mars colony. The first human missions are set for 2027, with the Arcadia Planitia region targeted as a potential site for the initial settlement. Long-term goals include transporting at least 1 million tons of infrastructure, building multiple launch and landing facilities, and using Starlink satellites to maintain communication.

Ultimately, Musk said, the objective is to establish a self-sustaining civilization on Mars as a backup for humanity.

“At that point, we’ve achieved civilizational resilience where Mars can potentially come to the rescue of Earth if something goes wrong or maybe Earth could come to the rescue of Mars,” he said. “But having two planets that are both self-sustaining and strong, I think, is going to be incredibly important for the long-term survival of civilization.”



Once Mars is colonized and serves as a stepping stone, Musk said, humanity could begin journeying to other planets in the solar system—and eventually, to other star systems.

Orbital refueling and propellant transfer, Musk said, are critical to the success of reaching Mars.

“Think of it like aerial refueling for planes—but in orbit. It’s never been done before, but it’s technically feasible,” he said. “Two Starships would dock, and one would transfer fuel and oxygen. Most of the mass is oxygen—about 80%—with just over 20% fuel. You send a Starship to orbit full of payload, then send others to refill its propellant.”

Despite a controversial foray into politics and setbacks including a Starship exploding over Turks and Caicos in January and another exploding on Wednesday, Musk appears committed to the mission of reaching Mars—a mission he said isn’t just about technology, but about shaping the future of humanity.

“We can be out there among the stars, making science fiction no longer fiction,” he said.

Generally Intelligent Newsletter

A weekly AI journey narrated by Gen, a generative AI model.





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May 31, 2025 0 comments
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Slope Streaks On Mars
Gaming Gear

Water on Mars? Mysterious Dark Streaks Aren’t What Scientists Thought

by admin May 25, 2025


In 1976, NASA’s Viking mission successfully landed the first spacecraft on Mars. When the mission began sending images from Mars’ surface back to Earth, scientists noted long, dark streaks on crater walls and cliff sides. To this day, some researchers suggest that the strange geographical features are the result of water flow—but a recent study says otherwise.

Planetary scientists from Brown University and the University of Bern have used artificial intelligence to reveal that the enigmatic Martian streaks likely result from wind and dust, not water flow. Their results have important implications for future Mars exploration, as well as humanity’s continuous search for habitable environments and life beyond Earth.

Some slope streaks are long-lasting, while others—called recurring slope lineae (RSL)—are more ephemeral, continuously appearing in the same places during Mars’ hottest times of the year. Although Mars is generally dry and cold (with temperatures as low as -225 degrees Fahrenheit, or -153 degrees Celsius) small amounts of water from potential ice, underground sources, or humidity could conceivably mix with enough salt to become liquid and flow down a slope. Because water is a key ingredient for life on Earth, such formations might represent habitable regions on the Red Planet, too. But some researchers aren’t convinced, arguing that dry processes could have created those features instead.

To settle the matter, the researchers trained an algorithm on a dataset of confirmed slope streak sightings, as detailed in a study published Monday in the journal Nature Communications. They then used the algorithm to scan over 86,000 high-resolution satellite images and compose a map of Martian slope streaks.

“Once we had this global map, we could compare it to databases and catalogs of other things like temperature, wind speed, hydration, rock slide activity and other factors,” Valentin Bickel, co-author of the study and a University of Bern Center for Space and Habitability fellow, said in a Brown University statement. “Then we could look for correlations over hundreds of thousands of cases to better understand the conditions under which these features form.”

Simply put, their results do not link slope streaks and RSLs with features indicating the presence of liquid or even frost. Instead, the researchers discovered that both slope streaks and RSLs tend to develop in areas with high wind speed and dust deposition. In other words, they are likely caused by a dry process in which dust layers abruptly slide down a slope, triggered by external forces.

Rather than seeing these results as yet another failure in our search for extraterrestrial life, the planetary scientists explain that the study still carries weight for future Mars explorations. If their research had confirmed the theory that slope streaks were caused by water, and that as a result the region might host some form of life, NASA would have actually avoided the area for the time being. That’s because scientists fear that spacecraft and rovers might still harbor terrestrial life, such as microbes, which could contaminate Martian habitats and interfere with our search for Martian life.

“That’s the advantage of this big data approach,” explained Adomas Valantinas, the other co-author of the study and a planetary scientist at Brown University who specializes in Martian geology. “It helps us to rule out some hypotheses from orbit before we send spacecraft to explore.”

In an industry that seems obsessed with finding water on Mars, the study stands as a reminder that not every scientific breakthrough needs to be about extraterrestrial life.



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May 25, 2025 0 comments
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