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Crypto Bull Market Still Has Legs
GameFi Guides

Speculative Retail Trading is Good for Financial Markets, Actually

by admin October 4, 2025



Traditional investment firms all have the same mantras: “time in the market beats timing,” “move slowly,” and “big money is in the waiting.” It’s an action plan that made sense 20 years ago, but today, it’s a sure strategy for getting steamrolled by forces most of these firms refuse to acknowledge.

The uncomfortable truth is that markets no longer run on just earnings reports and balance sheets; they run on stories, memes, and cultural ideas that gain momentum through social communities like X and Reddit and move faster than analysts can reliably keep track of. As much as we want to call GameStop a glitch, it’s only a preview of how markets now work. Crypto investors had an outsized role in driving this shift that spilled over into traditional markets.

And now, retail investors have evolved from spectators to active market movers and makers, armed with platforms that let them coordinate, analyze, and act upon market intelligence at scale and unprecedented speed. While not every retail investor can outpace professional analysts, the most plugged-in communities have shown they can collectively move faster than institutions still operating by outdated playbooks. Look at Reddit’s WallStreetBets users, who drove the 2021 GameStop rally that led to massive losses for short sellers, citing that retail traders were the real force behind the market upheaval. Investors who have learned to read the cultural signals and narratives alongside financial ones will stay ahead.

Markets Don’t Crash From Speculation

A Wall Street secret is that markets don’t crash because of meme stocks — they crash because of stubborn loyalty to yesterday’s winners. The historic Dot-com Bubble didn’t burst because traders shifted their attention, but because both institutional and retail investors were in denial about industry over-valuation. Instead of recognizing the underlying stories that showed early signs of tech stocks’ crumbling prices, they chose to put their trust in past performance.

Crashes happen when conviction in positions hardens into blind faith and unquestioning belief, and markets force a hard reset. Speculation keeps markets honest by forcing constant reevaluation. Retail investors do this daily by actively debating a stock or token’s prospects or deep diving into company fundamentals with fellow market participants. When they engage critically and stress-test every narrative in real time, they perform an invaluable and increasingly rare service as the active asset management industry shrinks in favor of passive investing strategies.

The smartest retail investors ride a stock or token’s momentum but pivot as soon as the story changes. Their willingness to be wrong and adapt quickly helps prevent the kind of slow-moving institutional groupthink that leads to massive corrections, while still acknowledging that even retail communities can fall into faster, more volatile herd behavior. This mix of flexibility and collective attention makes them a uniquely influential force in today’s markets.

Retail Runs the Show – and It’s About Time

Retail stock trading is up to 20-35% of volume in the U.S. and UK alone, while crypto trade volume has also surged this past month exceeding a total market cap of $4T, but the change they’re forcing isn’t numbers — it’s intelligence. They’re networked, fast, and often spot trends before your dad’s broker does. Communities on platforms like Reddit and Discord can collectively analyze news, filings, and earnings calls, surfacing insights that sometimes catch institutional investors off guard. During the AMC rally, coordinated attention from retail communities amplified price swings and forced institutional adjustments. Today, AI-driven tools and educational platforms are making retail investors more capable and informed than ever, allowing them to process data and sentiment in real time. They might not always be right, but they’re influential enough to matter.

Taking a page out of what crypto has been doing for years, some companies are starting to get it: CEOs now engage directly with retail communities, and IR departments track social sentiment. They understand the passion retail investors have for their stocks and are more willing to stick with them through poor performance than with an institution that’s judged on quarterly performance.

Fighting Speculation is Fighting Reality

It’s 2025 and talking heads are still warning about how the gambling mentality is ruining price discovery, pointing to meme stocks and crypto volatility as proof that retail has turned markets into a casino floor. They say that embracing speculation encourages poor decision-making, market instability, and over-exposure to risk. This way of thinking misses that prices have always been driven by collective beliefs about future values. Now that more people are able to participate, it’s just happening faster.

Crypto is the ultimate example. Early critics called it pure speculation, divorced from the fundamentals of market movements, but it was actually just genuine price discovery happening at warp speed. The crypto market tested more ideas in a few years than traditional VCs could explore in a decade. While some ideas were garbage, the winners were massive.

How Do You Win in the New Game?

Don’t throw the fundamentals out the window just yet — success involves a hybrid approach of solid analysis and narrative awareness. More often than not, a great company with a boring story will underperform a decent company with a compelling narrative. Success means knowing narratives can change quickly and taking positions that capitalize on that.

By diversifying based on assets and stories, risk management is more comprehensive. It allows investors to stay plugged into the communities and platforms where market-moving conversations are happening, while being willing to admit being too certain about any position means you may be setting yourself up for a painful lesson in market dynamics. However, it’s also about being able to distinguish between market volatility and noise, and recognizing the distinction between legitimate analysis and the misinformation that can spread rapidly in these communities.

Adapt or Get Left Behind

Retail is here to stay — the technology exists and the communities keep growing. By acknowledging this is the new normal and learning to navigate social intelligence and narrative-driven momentum, all investors like will thrive. The future belongs to those who are flexible and can expand their toolkits beyond earnings reports and balance sheets to a world where information flows instantly and communities coordinate buying and selling in real time.

Speculation lets investors read both the fundamentals and social sentiment to spot undervalued assets and emerging narratives before the crowds catch on. Read the signals and adapt, or watch from the sidelines.



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October 4, 2025 0 comments
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Robinhood Eyes Europe With Prediction Markets Push
Crypto Trends

Robinhood Eyes Europe With Prediction Markets Push

by admin September 30, 2025



Robinhood Markets (Nasdaq: HOOD) is moving to expand its footprint in the fast-evolving world of event-based trading. The company’s stock surged past $142 this week, marking an all-time high, following reports that it plans to take its prediction markets product beyond U.S. borders, specifically targeting the United Kingdom and broader European market.

CEO Vlad Tenev confirmed earlier that users had already traded more than 4 billion event contracts on the platform, which first introduced prediction markets ahead of the 2024 U.S. election. Bloomberg later reported that Robinhood is in talks with the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority to bring the product overseas. The company is also ramping up offerings tied to major sporting events like college football and the NFL.

Robinhood Prediction Markets just crossed 4 billion event contracts traded all-time, with over 2 billion in Q3 alone. And we’re just getting started. pic.twitter.com/13LxjqWaNt

— Vlad Tenev (@vladtenev) September 29, 2025

Robinhood’s move into prediction markets aligns with its user base’s appetite for risk, extending beyond meme stocks and crypto into event-driven speculation. Financially, the strategy appears to be working: Q2 net revenue surged 45% to $989 million, with operating costs rising just 12%, leading to $386 million in net income and fueling a 275% year-to-date rally in HOOD stock.

Robinhood eyes retail access to private equity deals

Meanwhile, Robinhood is also waiting on a regulatory green light from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch its Robinhood Ventures Fund I, a retail-accessible product offering exposure to private, pre-IPO companies. If approved, the fund would trade under the ticker ‘RVI’ on the NYSE and invest in high-growth firms through their IPO phases and beyond.

Previously, the company unveiled tokenized stock products in Europe, giving users access to firms like OpenAI and SpaceX. Ventures Fund I would extend this access into the U.S., challenging long-standing restrictions that favor institutions.

Taken together, the prediction market expansion and the SEC fund application reflect Robinhood’s dual push: one outward, toward new global markets and asset types, and one inward, to democratize traditionally off-limits financial instruments. 

Also read: Robinhood Seeks SEC Nod for New Private Markets Fund





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September 30, 2025 0 comments
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GameFi Guides

Another Sports Betting Powerhouse Is Getting Into Prediction Markets

by admin September 28, 2025



In brief

  • PrizePicks becomes first sports entertainment operator to receive FCM license from National Futures Association, allowing it to offer prediction markets.
  • The move follows European lottery giant Allwyn International’s $1.6 billion acquisition of 62.3% stake in PrizePicks earlier this week.
  • PrizePicks joins FanDuel as the second major brand in sports entertainment and gaming to enter the prediction market space, estimated to reach $95 billion by 2035.

Fantasy sports company PrizePicks is entering the prediction market game, after just landing a Futures Commission Merchant, or FCM, license from the National Futures Association.

That makes the company the first sports entertainment operator to receive an FCM from the NFA, which allows it to list contracts from licensed prediction markets. It also makes it at least the second major brand in the sports gambling and gaming space next to FanDuel to enter the red hot prediction market biz, which analysts estimate could reach $95 billion by 2035. Competing sportsbook DraftKings has also been rumored to be exploring a jump into prediction markets but has yet to confirm those intentions.

The new license for PrizePicks also marks the expansion of European lottery giant Allwyn International into the U.S. market. At the start of the week, the company acquired a 62.3% stake in the DFS operator in a deal valued at $1.6 billion.



Allwyn is a global lottery operator and manages the UK National Lottery. In fact, the company already had a small foothold in the U.S. before the deal was finalized.

“For Allwyn, the transaction is a unique opportunity to enter the strategically important sports and entertainment industry in the United States, expanding its business in the country beyond its existing operation of the Illinois Lottery,” the company said in a press release.

PrizePicks offers its real money, peer-to-peer game in 35 states and Washington, D.C.

The daily fantasy sports app specializes in “pick em” style contests. Instead of drafting an entire team and competing against other bettors, users make parlay-style bets on whether an athlete will go over or under a stat—like how many passing yards Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes will get in a specific game.

“The honor of being the first sports entertainment platform to receive a FCM registration from the NFA is a testament to our industry-leading compliance and consumer protection programs that both the NFA and CFTC demand,” Mike Ybarra, CEO of PrizePicks, said in a press release.

A PrizePicks spokesperson told Decrypt the company has “nothing concrete to share just yet,” about its plans to offer prediction markets to its users.

The FCM grants PrizePicks permission to offer prediction markets by teaming up with a company that has a Designated Contract Markets, or DCM, license. The list of DMC holders has grown considerably in the past year and includes the two largest prediction market operators: Kalshi and Polymarket.

A company can list and clear its own prediction market contracts with just a DCM, but not with an FCM. The latter allows companies to act as third-party brokers for prediction market platforms. For example, Robinhood is able to offer Kalshi prediction markets to its users because its derivatives arm holds an FCM license.

Sportsbooks and prediction market companies alike have been racing to obtain such licenses from the CFTC in order to legally enter the U.S. market, which is so far dominated by Kalshi. Just last week, Kalshi reported hitting $1 billion in monthly volume from its markets as it leapfrogged Polymarket in global market share in the sector.

Editor’s note: This article was updated after publication for clarity.

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September 28, 2025 0 comments
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GameFi Guides

What Will the Slowing Growth of Bitcoin, Ethereum Treasury Buys Mean for Markets?

by admin September 27, 2025



In brief

  • Purchases at Bitcoin and other treasury companies have slowed dramatically over the past two months.
  • The declines played a big role in declining markets that were already jittery about macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • Three market observers say that the waning treasury activity could continue to weigh on markets.

The rise in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other corporate crypto treasuries helped fuel the summer’s massive market gains. Now their slowing growth has played a large role in sapping prices already sensitive to inflation and other macroeconomic uncertainties.

The treasuries’ waning activity could continue to weigh on markets with volatility likely to remain heightened in the near-term, three market observers told Decrypt.

“When treasuries stop buying, it removes an important demand floor and undermines confidence in the balance-sheet-as-strategy narrative,” Joe DiPasquale, CEO of crypto fund manager BitBull Capital, wrote in a text to Decrypt. “At the same time, forced liquidations in derivatives and broader risk-off sentiment have accelerated the decline, creating a feedback loop that pressures both crypto assets and the equities tied to them.”



Bitcoin was recently trading at about $109,400, off more than 5% over the past week, according to crypto markets data provider CoinGecko. At one point Friday, the largest cryptocurrency by market value dropped below $109,000 for the first time since September 1. Ethereum and other major altcoins have also fallen deeply into negative territory.

Those latest declines have come as Bitcoin treasury buys have plummeted to just 12,600 BTC in August, and 15,500 so far this month—a combined total that is less than half the amount that firms acquired in July, according to data analytics provider CryptoQuant.

“We’ve seen treasury accumulations cool off compared to the summer, when companies were buying at a record pace,” Michael McCluskey, CEO of Sologenic—which offers a decentralized exchange and related services—told Decrypt. “That slowdown has coincided with softer prices in Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies, which makes sense given how much corporate demand was propping up the market.”

McCluskey added: “In the short term, the absence of steady buying leaves the market more exposed to volatility.”

A number of treasury firms’ share prices have plunged along the way, with Solana treasury Helius Medical Technologies falling 38% over the past week and Ethereum-focused BitMine Immersion sinking more than 13% over the same period.

Bitcoin-minded Strategy—the originator of the pivot-to-crypto accumulation move—and Metaplanet each fell about 9%, the latter coming despite the Japan-based firm’s latest purchase of more than 5,400 BTC on Monday and a favorable analyst rating a day later. Helius and several other companies that raised money through private placement in public equity (PIPE) deals are changing hands well off their issue prices.

Going forward, some treasuries may encounter additional challenges, with The Wall Street Journal reporting on Thursday that financial regulators are now exploring unusually high trading volumes and dramatic share price increases among among them.

Still, in a text to Decrypt, Gerry O’Shea—head of global market insights at crypto asset manager Hashdex—wrote that Bitcoin could hit $140,000 or higher by year’s end, with corporate treasuries helping to spark a rally.

“Corporate treasury adoption will remain a big part of this demand, even as many of these publicly traded companies face near-term headwinds from volatility and scrutiny from investors regarding their specific strategies,” he wrote.

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September 27, 2025 0 comments
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Crypto Trends

‘Cryptoization’ of Emerging Markets Poses Risks to Financial Resilience: Moody’s

by admin September 27, 2025



Cryptocurrency adoption in emerging markets poses risks to monetary sovereignty and financial resilience, credit ratings giant Moody’s Ratings said in a report on Thursday.

The risks are most acute in areas where crypto’s use extends beyond investment into savings and remittances, according to the report. Moody’s suggests that higher penetration of stablecoins pegged to the U.S. dollar weaken monetary transmission when it leads to pricing and settlement increasingly occurring outside a market’s domestic currency.

Stablecoins are crypto tokens pegged to the value of a traditional financial asset, such as a fiat currency, with the U.S. dollar comfortably the most prevalent.

“This creates ‘cryptoization’ pressures analogous to unofficial dollarization, but withgreater opacity and less regulatory visibility,” Moody’s said.

Cryptocurrency can also provide new ways of for capital flight, through pseudonymous wallets and offshore exchange, allowing individuals to move wealth abroad discreetly, undermining exchange rate stability, according to the report.

Moody’s also highlighted how increased ownership of cryptocurrency has been concentrated in emerging markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa and parts of Latin America. Here, adoption is often driven by inflationary pressure, currency pressured and limited access to banking services. In contrast, adoption in more advanced economies, adoption is driven by institutional integration and regulatory clarity.

Crypto ownership expanded to an estimated 562 million people by 2024, an increase of 33% from 2023, the report said.

Read More: Stablecoin Adoption Set to Surge After GENIUS Act, Hit $4T in Cross-Border Volume: EY Survey



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September 27, 2025 0 comments
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Trump Tariffs, U.S. GDP Rattle Markets, ETFs Bleed $500M: Crypto Daybook Americas
GameFi Guides

Trump Tariffs, U.S. GDP Rattle Markets, ETFs Bleed $500M: Crypto Daybook Americas

by admin September 27, 2025



By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

It’s not been a happy 24 hours for crypto bulls, with the CoinDesk 20 Index dropping 5% and market leaders BTC$109,615.08 and ETH$4,016.39 falling nearly 2%.

Major altcoins such as XRP, BNB and SOL lost even more, and ASTR, the native token of Aster DEX, which recently flipped Hyperliquid in 24-hour volume, fell 4% as the decentralized exchange saw abnormal price movements in the XPL-USDT perpetual trading pair. Still, a few coins, including MNT, CRO, KAS, OKB and XMR, managed gains of around 1%.

The downturn coincides with a stronger dollar, pushed higher by Thursday’s U.S. GDP and jobless claims data. Meanwhile, market flow dynamics turned bearish.

“ETF behavior changed from a primary absorber of supply to a net seller this week,” analysts at BRN told CoinDesk. “Yesterday, Bitcoin ETFs posted $258 million of outflows while Ethereum ETFs recorded $251 million of outflows, marking four straight days of red for ETH funds.”

Whales have also become net sellers, offloading 147,000 BTC since Aug. 21, the most since the bull cycle began in early 2023, according to CryptoQuant.

Analysts at Bitunix exchange warned that President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements on Thursday have increased market uncertainty, with sentiment oscillating between “rising inflation” and “slowing growth.”

Trump announced tariffs of as much as 100% on trucks, furniture and pharmaceuticals, effective Oct. 1.

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditure, is due later today. The report is projected to show a 2.9% year-over-year rise in August, matching July. Month-on-month, it’s forecast to have increased 0.2%, slightly below July’s 0.3%, according to FactSet. A softer-than-expected print could temper the dollar’s rally, putting a floor under bitcoin and the wider crypto market.

Traders should remain vigilant about regulatory developments related to digital asset treasuries. A WSJ report on Thursday cited U.S. regulators’ concerns about unusual trading volumes and stock price volatility in over 200 companies linked to crypto treasury strategies. Regulatory pressure on these treasuries, or DATs, could accelerate market sell-offs.

Additionally, geopolitical developments warrant attention, as reports are circulating about Russia’s aerial incursions in Europe. WTI crude oil is already up 4% for the week, the most since June. Stay alert!

What to Watch

  • Crypto
  • Macro
    • Sept. 26, 8:30 a.m.: Canada July GDP MoM Est. 0.1%.
    • Sept. 26, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. August headline PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.7%, MoM Est. 0.3%; core YoY Est. 2.9%, core MoM Est. 0.2%.
    • Sept. 26, 10 a.m.: (Final) September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Est. 55.4.
    • Sept. 26, 1 p.m.: Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman speech on “Approach to Monetary Policy Decision-Making.”
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
  • Unlocks
    • Sept, 28: JUP$0.4435 to unlock 1.75% of its circulating supply worth $28.89 million.
  • Token Launches
    • Sept. 26: Hana Network (HANA) to be listed on Binance Alpha, KuCoin, MEXC, BingX, and others.
    • Sept. 26: Mira (MIRA) to be listed on Binance Alpha, KuCoin, and others.

Conferences

Token Talk

By Francisco Rodrigues

  • Plasma, a new blockchain purpose-built for stablecoins, launched its mainnet beta and native token XPL on Thursday, debuting with a fully diluted valuation that’s now above $12 billion.
  • The layer-1 network, backed by Bitfinex, Bybit, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino and tech billionaire Peter Thiel, entered the market with over $2 billion worth of XPL tokens in circulation.
  • Built for high-speed, low-fee stablecoin operations, Plasma aims to serve as the back end for a new class of DeFi applications. At launch, liquidity was already deployed across major platforms including Aave, Ethereum, Euler and Fluid.
  • These include Plasma One, which is billed as a “stablecoin-native neobank.”
  • Some tokens sold to U.S. investors are locked until mid-2026 due to regulatory restrictions, which may lower the effective float in early trading.

Derivatives Positioning

  • Most major tokens, including BTC and ETH continued to experience capital outflows from futures market, leading to a decline in the notional open interest (OI).
  • That’s only to be expected as the market soon shakes out overleveraged bets.
  • Notably, the BTC and ETH OI have continued to decline in the past couple of hours, raising questions about the sustainability of the minor price recovery.
  • Smaller coins like KAS and KCS have seen a moderate increase in OI in the past 24 hours.
  • Volume in crypto perpetuals listed on Aster DEX has surged to over $46 billion in the past 24 hours, significantly higher than Hyperliquid’s $17 billion.
  • On the CME, BTC futures OI has almost reversed the early September spike from 134K BTC to 149K BTC, representing renewed capital outflows. On the other hand, OI in options continues to rise, approaching the November 2024 high of 56.19K BTC.
  • Positioning in ETH futures and options remains elevated on Deribit, with an annualized three-month basis at 7%, a significantly lower yield than SOL’s 15%.
  • BTC, ETH options risk reversals continue to lean bearish out to the December expiry, data from Deribit show. In SOL and XRP’s case, pricing is biased bullish for the year-end expiry.

Market Movements

  • BTC is up 0.4% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $109,669.81 (24hrs: -2.17%)
  • ETH is up 0.74% at $3,916.83 (24hrs: -3.12%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 0.18% at 3,820.89 (24hrs: -3.25%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is unchanged at 2.9%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0049% (5.4082% annualized) on Binance
  • DXY is down 0.19% at 98.37
  • Gold futures are up 0.21% at $3,778.90
  • Silver futures are up 0.56% at $45.37
  • Nikkei 225 closed down 0.87% at 45,354.99
  • Hang Seng closed down 1.35% at 26,128.20
  • FTSE is up 0.37% at 9,247.82
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.38% at 5,465.79
  • DJIA closed on Thursday down 0.38% at 45,947.32
  • S&P 500 closed down 0.5% at 6,604.72
  • Nasdaq Composite closed down 0.50% at 22,384.70
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed unchanged at 29,731.98
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed down 1.12% at 2,908.21
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 0.3 bps at 4.177%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 6,664.75
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are unchanged at 24,614.25
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are up 0.19% at 46,355.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 59.06% (-0.03%)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.03573 (0.52%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1,083 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $48.79
  • Total Fees: 3.27 BTC / $364,469
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 134,940 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 29.2 oz
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 8.24%

Technical Analysis

XRP’s weekly chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

  • XRP is dropping fast toward the key $2.65-$2.70 price level identified by the swing high from May and intraday lows in August and earlier this month.
  • A break below would mark a significant weakening of buying demand, potentially yielding a slide toward $2.00.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Thursday at $306.69 (-4.69%), -0.1% at $306.39 in pre-market
  • Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $124.66 (-5.26%), +0.28% at $125.01
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $32.12 (-6.34%), -1.26% at $31.71
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $61.83 (-8.52%), +0.36% at $62.05
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $16.07 (-8.9%), +0.62% at $16.17
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $16.74 (-6.95%), +2.69% at $17.19
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.84 (-1%), -0.77% at $16.71
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $13.68 (-5.33%), -4.02% at $13.13
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $42.16 (-6.31%), -1.4% at $41.57
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $28.9 (-9.69%)

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $300.7 (-6.99%), +0.31% at $301.62
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $30.21 (-4.46%), +1.66% at $30.71
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $16.31 (-7.22%), -0.98% at $16.15
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $5.28 (-14.29%), -0.38% at $5.26
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $2.54 (-5.93%), +1.97% at $2.59

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$253.4 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $57.2 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~1.32 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$251.2 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $13.39 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~6.57 million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

  • Near $30M Ether Wipeout on Hyperliquid Stands Out as Crypto Market Sees $1B in Liquidation (CoinDesk): Nearly $1.2 billion in leveraged bets vanished as over-leveraged longs dominated losses, exposing overcrowded bullish positioning and rising risks on decentralized perpetual exchanges.
  • Key Indicators to Watch in Q4: Bitcoin Seasonal Trends, XRP/BTC, Dollar Index, Nvidia, and More (CoinDesk): Seasonal data show strong fourth-quarter tailwinds for BTC and ETH, while signals from XRP, the dollar index and Nvidia highlight technical and macro risks for traders.
  • Trump to Slap New Tariffs on Pharma, Big Trucks (The Wall Street Journal): The president announced Oct. 1 tariffs on imported branded drugs, heavy trucks and home goods, drawing warnings from U.S. pharmaceutical companies that higher costs could undermine domestic manufacturing and research.
  • Will China’s Digital Yuan Centre Be a Step Forward for Internationalisation? (South China Morning Post): On Thursday, the People’s Bank of China opened a Shanghai operations center and unveiled three platforms to expand e-CNY’s cross-border role, underlining Beijing’s bid to reduce China’s reliance on the U.S. dollar.
  • Curve Finance Founder Michael Egorov Launches Bitcoin Yield Protocol (CoinDesk): Yield Basis, a decentralized automated market maker (AMM) protocol backed by $5 million, debuts with capped pools and veTokenomics to remove impermanent loss and open sustainable bitcoin yield.



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September 27, 2025 0 comments
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Scattered pile of $1 bills (Gerd Altmann/Pixabay)
GameFi Guides

Melee Raises $3.5M to Launch ‘Viral Prediction Markets’ Without Gatekeepers

by admin September 25, 2025



Melee, a new prediction market startup that says speculation and betting should be as open as online discussion, has raised $3.5 million from Variant, DBA and a group of angel investors to roll out what it calls “Viral Markets.”

Crypto native companies have witnessed the runaway success of Polymarket, the digital asset betting platform that grew to prominence during the U.S. election campaigns. Other novel projects to emerge include ‘Forecast Markets,’ a type of dated futures contracts launched on Clearmatics’ Autonity blockchain.

Melee, which allows anyone to easily create a market on anything, sees prediction markets evolving alongside the internet like other types of social networks, following dimensions like media type, social graphs, interest graphs, and more, VC firm Variant said in an email.

“We see prediction markets not as a winner-take-all market but as a burgeoning category, much like social networks, where there can be many winners. Social networks reshaped the way we create and consume information and media,” Variant said.

“Unlike existing platforms that rely on centralized teams or professional market makers, Melee uses a pricing mechanism that rewards traders for being early and correct,” Variant added.

The design also aims to attract creators. Influencers, podcasters or streamers can open markets tied to their audience’s interests and earn revenue from trading activity without taking on reputational risk. A fictional example might be a streamer launching a market on whether a blockbuster video game release will hit its target date, allowing fans to speculate directly alongside the conversation.

For traders, the appeal lies in asymmetric upside. Entering a market early means lower costs of exposure, and payouts rise as more participants join and the outcome becomes clearer.

The project’s team includes veterans of Solana, Avalanche, Monad, SIG, Microsoft and Amazon. The long-term vision, according to the announcement, is to create “humanity’s platform for valuing beliefs,” where millions of markets continuously reflect shifting cultural sentiment in real time.



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September 25, 2025 0 comments
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(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Crypto Trends

Plasma Unveils First Stablecoin-Native Neobank, Targeting Emerging Markets

by admin September 23, 2025



Plasma has launched Plasma One, the first neobank built entirely around stablecoins, aiming to make saving, spending, and earning in digital dollars seamless, the company said in a press release Monday.

The platform is designed to fix what the company calls a broken user experience for stablecoin holders, who often face clunky interfaces, limited local options, and friction when converting to cash.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is tied to another asset, such as the U.S. dollar or gold. They play a major role in cryptocurrency markets, providing a payment infrastructure, and are also used to transfer money internationally.

“The dollar is the product, and most of the world is desperate to access it,” said Plasma CEO Paul Faecks.

“Plasma One is our answer to the distribution problem as it puts us directly in the hands of people who face financial exclusion, delivering permissionless access to saving, spending, earning, and sending digital dollars,” Faecks added.

Plasma One offers card payments with rewards, zero-fee USDT transfers, and fast onboarding, all built on Plasma’s own blockchain and payments stack.

The company is focusing on emerging markets where dollar access is most critical, using local teams and peer-to-peer cash networks to drive adoption.

The rollout comes ahead of Plasma’s mainnet beta launch on Sept. 25, with access set to expand in stages.

Read more: Plasma to Launch Mainnet Beta Blockchain for Stablecoins Next Week



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September 23, 2025 0 comments
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Crypto Trends

U.S., U.K. Form Task Force to Align on Crypto and Capital Markets

by admin September 22, 2025



The U.S. and U.K. have established a joint Transatlantic Taskforce aimed at strengthening cooperation on capital markets and digital assets.

The task force, announced on Sep. 22 by U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, will bring together officials from HM Treasury, the U.S. Treasury and market regulators across both jurisdictions.

Two of the goals of the task force is to develop approaches to digital asset oversight and explore new opportunities in wholesale digital markets.

The group will report within 180 days through the existing U.K.–U.S. Financial Regulatory Working Group, delivering recommendations shaped in close consultation with private industry, the release said.

“London and New York remain the twin pillars of global finance,” Reeves said, adding that closer alignment is essential as technology reshapes markets. Bessent echoed that sentiment during a Downing Street roundtable, calling the initiative a commitment to ensuring innovation in financial markets “does not stop at borders.”

Crypto at the forefront

While the task force’s remit spans traditional capital markets, digital assets are expected to take center stage.

Officials will look at both short-term measures, such as facilitating cross-border use cases while legislation remains in flux, and long-term strategies for advancing wholesale digital market infrastructure.

“With the creation of a joint U.K.-U.S. task force on capital markets and digital assets, we can expect meaningful developments on both sides of the Atlantic,” Mark Aruliah, head of EMEA policy and regulatory affairs at Elliptic, said in an email.

While noting that the U.S. has “set the pace with a pro-innovation agenda,” Aruliah suggested the task force “signals a strong intent to close that gap and position the U.K. more competitively.”

More broadly, the firm described the collaboration as a validation of the digital assets industry itself: “Structured collaboration of this kind will strengthen a shared commitment to higher standards of transparency and accountability, and may establish a global benchmark if other jurisdictions follow suit.”



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September 22, 2025 0 comments
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GameFi Guides

Prediction Markets and DAOs Are Cousins, Says Syndicate Co-Founder

by admin September 21, 2025



In brief

  • Prediction markets and DAOs are both all about coordination, Syndicate co-founder Ian Lee said.
  • One is focused on human intelligence, while the other on human capital.
  • Syndicate was once dedicated to providing infrastructure for DAOs.

Prediction markets and decentralized autonomous organizations, or DAOs, may be closer cousins than most people think, according to Syndicate co-founder Ian Lee. 

There are strong similarities between the two, as both are fundamentally about blending social behavior and money, despite what terms suggest, he told Decrypt. (Disclosure: Decrypt’s parent company, DASTAN, operates a prediction market called Myriad.)

“In the abstract, [DAOs are] about coordinating human capital and financial capital at the same time,” Lee explained. “So, prediction markets that coordinate capital as well as human intelligence, I think of those as a DAO.”



Lee, whose company helped create once-prominent DAOs like ConstitutionDAO and Nike’s .SWOOSH, acknowledged that DAO die-hards might not fully embrace his comparison. Still, he believes it highlights how crypto-native labels can sometimes stifle innovation.

Lee prefers to think of prediction markets not just as “betting market things,” but as “social financial networks” used to coordinate human intelligence across sometimes thousands of individuals to predict outcomes.

Syndicate itself has evolved its focus from solely providing DAO infrastructure to enabling communities to launch their own blockchains through so-called appchains.

These days, the on-chain business structures—where control is spread out rather than hierarchical—are often viewed as a pandemic-era memory. Back then, DAOs were everywhere: Snoop Dogg joined a music-focused DAO, Peter Thiel backed investment collectives, and ConstitutionDAO famously tried, and failed, to buy a copy of the U.S. Constitution at auction. 

DAOs still underpin most popular DeFi projects, such as decentralized exchange Uniswap, and infrastructure like Arbitrum’s Ethereum layer-2 scaling network. But compared to prediction markets, one could argue that there’s a lack of visible momentum.

Kalshi, for instance, recently surpassed $1 billion in monthly volume, despite looming regulatory threats. Meanwhile, Polymarket saw 226,000 active traders last month, generating $1 billion in trading volume, according to a Dune dashboard.

These platforms allow users to bet on a vast array of future events, from the outcome of political elections to whether Taylor Swift will announce a pregnancy. In that sense, the next chapter for DeFi may not be written in governance forums, but in the odds of tomorrow’s news.

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September 21, 2025 0 comments
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