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Oregon’s National Guard lawsuit hinges on Trump’s Truth Social posts

by admin October 4, 2025


After getting off the phone with Oregon Governor Tina Kotek on Saturday, the president mused over something that had baffled him about the call. Kotek had been “very nice,” said Trump in an interview the next day. But she was trying hard to convince him not to send in the National Guard, and that just didn’t make any sense to him. “But I said, ‘Well wait a minute, am I watching things on television that are different from what’s happening?’”

Hours later, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a memorandum federalizing 200 members of Oregon’s National Guard to deploy to Portland, and the state of Oregon promptly filed suit to stop it from happening.

In a hearing on Friday, the state of Oregon and the city of Portland presented arguments as to why a federal judge should grant a temporary restraining order against Trump. Over the course of about an hour and a half, the court appearance became a strange collision of television and reality, internet posts and statutory provisions. The two sides veered over a wide swath of legal territory — the prongs of Section 12406, the Posse Comitatus Act, the Administrative Procedure Act, irreparable harm. But the formalized structure of the hearing and the stolid, wood-paneled surroundings could not disguise the sheer insanity at the heart of the case. The lawsuit boils down to two things: the “great level of deference” owed to the Executive Branch when federalizing the National Guard, and the obvious truth that the Executive Branch is, at the moment, completely out of its gourd and posting through it.

There are three prongs to 10 U.S.C. § 12406, which outlines the circumstances under which the president may call up the National Guard. The first is in case of an invasion by a foreign power. The second is in the case of a rebellion. The third is when “the President is unable with the regular forces to execute the laws of the United States.”

“The parties have largely focused on Prong 3,” said Judge Karin Immergut as the hearing commenced. “I don’t think anyone has argued that we’re in danger of rebellion against the authority of the United States, but the defendants can correct me on that.”

As it turned out, the defendants — or rather, the DOJ attorneys representing the president and Pete Hegseth — did want to argue that Portland was on the verge of a revolt, saying that the protests at the ICE facility in Southwest Portland were a “deliberate organized resistance to the force and arms” of the United States.

“That standard is so broad it would swallow a whole lot of conduct,” objected Oregon senior assistant attorney general Scott Kennedy. “Most protests oppose authority.”

But somehow, the DOJ’s assertion that Portland was in danger of falling into an armed rebellion, wasn’t the most surreal part of the hearing. Most of the hearing was devoted to whether or not the preconditions for Prong 3 (the inability to execute US law using “regular forces”) had been met — or rather, whether the president’s determination that it had been met was valid.

When Judge Immergut asked the DOJ what the primary source of authority for the president’s determination was, deputy assistant attorney general Eric Hamilton replied, without the slightest hint of shame, “The most important determination is reflected in posts that he made on Truth Social.”

The two posts he cited were on September 27th and October 1st. In the first post, the president purported to authorize “full force” to call up troops to “protect War ravaged Portland” from “domestic terrorists.” The second post is much longer, and although it features Trump’s signature erratic use of capital letters, its sentences have multiple clauses and correspond to actual legal provisions. It’s a Trump-flavored post that doesn’t feel quite Trump. This October 1st post gets into the nitty gritty, specifying that he “activated and called into service the National Guard” because law enforcement “have not been able to enforce the Laws in Oregon.” The state of Oregon argued that the October 1st post was inappropriate to consider, since Hegseth had issued his memo on September 28th — a perfectly reasonable objection that barely seemed worth making, under the circumstances.

Hamilton took it upon himself to flesh out the picture of the war zone that the president was posting about. ICE was under “vicious and cruel” attacks by protesters, he said. Rocks had been thrown at ICE agents, protesters had attempted to “blind” ICE drivers with flashlights, ICE vehicle locations had been posted on the internet, ICE agents had been doxxed, and most terrifyingly, the driveway of the ICE facility had been occasionally blockaded, preventing shift changes. He also cited protesters setting up a guillotine on site. (No ICE agents have been guillotined.)

It was remarkable how many of the “attacks” he described were really about internet posts — posts about the vehicle locations, posts about the identities of ICE agents, posts with “violent threats” that proved that Portland was out of control. Kennedy pointed out that “by the defendant’s own description of the National Guard,” none of these things were in the National Guard’s power to address.

On top of that, not all of these things had happened in September, or even August. Many dated back to June, some to July. “The president’s perception of what is happening in Portland is not what is happening on the ground,” said senior deputy city attorney Caroline Turco. She spent some time reading excerpts from various law enforcement declarations that had been filed with the suit, especially in the nights leading up to Trump’s Truth Social posts, when the Portland Police Bureau had been in contact with the Federal Protective Service, which had reported “no issues, no concerns.”

Kennedy called the president’s posts “vague, incendiary hyperbole that lacks a good faith assessment of the facts.”

“We ultimately have a perception versus reality problem,” said Turco. “The president thinks it’s World War II out here. The reality is it’s a beautiful city with a sophisticated police force that can handle the situation.”

“We ultimately have a perception versus reality problem”

The shadow of 2020 loomed over much of the hearing. The DOJ wanted to use the 2020 protests to bolster its claims of violence and rebellion, but given the nature of a temporary restraining order, the judge didn’t seem to want to spend that much time thinking about what had happened five years prior. But the lawyers for the state and the city were also thinking about 2020 — “federal involvement,” they said, would only serve to “inflame” the situation, leaving Oregon and Portland holding the bag as furious protesters lashed out at Trump.

And the spectators in the courtroom and the overflow room were thinking about 2020 as well, Portlanders dressed in suits and rain jackets and puffers, filling the space with that idle, friendly chatter that is endemic to the Pacific Northwest. “Were you here in 2020?” I overheard one attendee say to another in the gallery.

The judge promised to issue her ruling soon, either that day or the next. She acknowledged that she had only been assigned to the case the day prior — the previous judge, Michael Simon, had recused himself the day before, caving to the Justice Department’s demands. Simon is married to Rep. Suzanne Bonamici (D-OR), whose district includes part of Portland and some of its suburbs. The new judge, Karin Immergut, was appointed by Trump in 2019.

As I exited the courthouse into a cold, wet October day, the building looked both new and old to me. I had been there many times before in the summer of 2020 — but the courthouse had been boarded up and fenced around, overrun with graffiti and feds in camo. I could see the spot where I had been tossed down the steps by an overzealous fed in 2020; it was next to a large engraved piece of stone I had never seen before, because it had been covered up by fortifications. There was a quote by Thomas Jefferson carved into its glossy face, with the inscription reading: “The boisterous sea of liberty is never without a wave.”

It was a bit on the nose, but so was everything else.

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October 4, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin (BTC): Be Ready to Lose $100,000, Ethereum (ETH): Bounce Hinges on $4,000, Shiba Inu (SHIB): Awaiting Explosion or Zero Again?
GameFi Guides

Bitcoin (BTC): Be Ready to Lose $100,000, Ethereum (ETH): Bounce Hinges on $4,000, Shiba Inu (SHIB): Awaiting Explosion or Zero Again?

by admin September 3, 2025


Bitcoin, Ethereum and Shiba Inu are waiting for BTC to test critical support with the risk of losing $100,000, ETH is consolidating after its surge toward $4,000, and SHIB is coiling in a triangle pattern that could push volatility to new heights and price to the sky or a zero, if volume finally comes back. Prepare for decisive entries and exits as these setups reach their tipping points.

Bitcoin’s goodbye

Bitcoin is barely surviving, and the charts indicate that the $100,000 mark is in grave danger. BTC has been declining steadily since an unsuccessful attempt to recover highs above $120,000, losing an important moving average support in the process. The recovery from $108,000 to $110,000 has temporarily eased the situation, but there is still little momentum and a significant downward risk.

BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView

Technically speaking, Bitcoin remains below its 50-day moving average, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum has subsided. The market may break down into double-digit territory, and the 200-day EMA, which is currently at $104,000, is the last important line of defense.

Volume patterns highlight this setup’s vulnerability even more. Trading activity has declined in recent sessions, indicating that buyers are not acting decisively. With no obvious bullish divergence, the RSI is still muted and hovers close to oversold territory. This indicates that Bitcoin lacks the technical strength that typically supports a significant reversal.

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Additionally, the larger market environment isn’t offering much assistance. The dominance of Bitcoin is still under threat, despite the fact that some altcoins have proven resilient. This suggests that money is moving less into Bitcoin in particular. Deeper corrections are made more likely by macro uncertainty and decreased liquidity.

As support levels wane, be prepared to lose $100,000. In the absence of Bitcoin recovering $114,000 and maintaining momentum above it, the path of least resistance indicates a decline. A drop below six figures would be a psychological blow to market sentiment as well as a technical failure, with the potential to bring down the entire cryptocurrency market.

Ethereum cools off

Following its spectacular surge to $5,000, Ethereum has cooled off and is currently consolidating at $4,300. Ethereum may be preparing for a comeback, according to the charts, even though the pullback has made some traders cautious — that is, if it can maintain a crucial level: $4,000.

The 20-day EMA is serving as the short-term buffer as ETH tests its short-term supports at the moment. The 50-day EMA near $4,050, which has historically functioned as a dependable pivot during retracements in robust uptrends, is the more important line to keep an eye on.

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Compared to the buying craze in early August, volume has slowed, suggesting that the market is cooling. This does not necessarily mean that the market is bearish, because periods of lower volume frequently come before accumulation phases, which allows big buyers to get back in before the next leg higher.

Since the RSI is close to neutral, Ethereum has space to rise if buyers take back control. The critical $4,800-$5,000 resistance zone would be the next upside target if ETH holds $4,000 and buyers intervene at the 50 EMA. If that range were broken, it would be confirmed that the overall upward trend would continue.

Shiba’s volatility to surge

As the price action of Shiba Inu (SHIB) keeps compressing inside a symmetrical triangle pattern, the coin is about to enter a critical phase. SHIB, which is currently trading at $0.0000123, is getting close to the formation’s tip where volatility usually spikes and key moves take place. With this configuration, traders wonder if SHIB will soar higher or plummet to another zero.

Under strong resistance, SHIB has been consolidating for months, with the 200-day moving average at $0.0000140 serving as a ceiling. The token has not succeeded in making a breakthrough despite numerous attempts. The market is now building momentum for a breakout as the triangle gets smaller.

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The following are the options from here:

  • SHIB may initiate a wave of short covering and rekindle buying interest if it breaks above the triangle’s upper boundary. A breakout above the 200-day SMA would confirm a reversal and possibly pave the way for a larger rally. Other important upside targets are $0.0000130, $0.0000140 and $0.0000150.

  • Selling pressure is likely to increase if $0.0000120 is broken, with an immediate decline toward $0.0000110. SHIB could add another zero if that level is lost, pushing the token into even more bearish territory. The tightening triangle should cause traders to anticipate increased volatility, even in the absence of a clear breakout. Both bulls and bears may be trapped by abrupt intraday swings until a distinct direction becomes apparent.

  • The mid-40s RSI indicates that SHIB is neither overbought nor oversold, allowing for potential movement in either direction. The market is still waiting for a trigger, as evidenced by the muted trading volumes in the interim.

To summarize everything: BTC remains playable only if it reclaims $114,000 or bounces at $104,000, with an exit on a close below $100,000. ETH offers opportunity at $4,000-$4,050 or on a breakout above $4,800, with risk cut under $3,950 and profits capped near $5,000. SHIB’s entry sits above the $0.0000130-$0.0000140 resistance, while failure of $0.0000120 is the exit cue. Across all three, momentum and volume confirmation are crucial, as each chart is positioned for a strong directional move rather than sideways drift.



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September 3, 2025 0 comments
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Polkadot price to surge? Key vote advances ahead of JAM upgrade
NFT Gaming

Polkadot price hinges on key community vote, JAM upgrade

by admin August 24, 2025



The Polkadot price remains in a tight range on Sunday, Aug. 24, as a golden cross pattern formed, and the community voted on its supply and inflation reduction measures. 

Summary

  • Polkadot price could surge as the community leans in the hard cap side.
  • The network will likely implement the JAM upgrade in 2026.
  • Technical analysis points to an eventual DOT price rebound. 

Polkadot community vote continues

Polkadot (DOT) was trading at the psychological level of $4, up 35% from its lowest point this year. 

The DOT crypto price has remained in a tight range over the past few days as the community debates its tokenomics. Most of these investors have been frustrated with its weak performance as it hovers near its all-time low. 

The community is voting on three proposals: hard pressure, soft pressure, and growth pressure. The hard pressure proposal aims to implement a 2.1 billion DOT supply, accompanied by a significant inflation reduction of 53.6%, and a stepped supply schedule commencing in March next year. 

Its main implication is that it will reduce the current staking yield from 14% to a significantly lower number over time. One concern among its proponents is that stakers typically sell their rewards, creating pressure on the sale of DOT. 

The soft pressure proposal suggests a more gradual approach with a higher threshold of 3.14 billion DOT supply. It is seen as a less aggressive approach. 

The growth proposal suggests a 2.1 billion cap, with a 33% inflation reduction every two years and 50% staking APR cut in this period. Data shows that the hard cap proposal is winning, although this could change towards the end of the vote. 

The other major catalyst for the Polkadot price is the proposed Join-Accumulate Machine (JAM) upgrade. 

This upgrade, proposed by Polkadot creator Gavin Wood last year, will evolve from a parachain-focused blockchain into a decentralized supercomputer that supports applications in various industries, such as DeFi. 

Although the upgrade date has not been announced, it is likely to occur soon now that Wood has returned as CEO. 

Polkadot price technical analysis

DOT price chart | Source: crypto.news

The daily chart shows that the DOT price formed a double-bottom pattern at $3.256, its lowest levels in April and June this year. Its neckline is at $5.375. 

The Polkadot price is also about to form a golden cross pattern. As the spread between the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages narrows, it signals one of the most popular bullish chart patterns. 

DOT crypto has also formed a symmetrical triangle whose two lines are about to converge. Therefore, the most likely scenario is where it stages a strong comeback, potentially to $5.374, its highest swing in May. 



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August 24, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin Bull Market Hinges On $13.8 Billion Options Expiry
Crypto Trends

Bitcoin Bull Market Hinges On $13.8 Billion Options Expiry

by admin August 21, 2025



Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin bears hold strong incentives below $114,000, likely intensifying pressure ahead of the options expiry.

  • AI-sector spending concerns add turbulence and weigh on investors’ broader risk appetite.

A total of $13.8 billion in Bitcoin (BTC) options are set to expire on Aug. 29, a moment many traders believe could determine whether the recent 9.7% correction marks the end of Bitcoin’s bull run or just a temporary pause. The drop to $112,100 on Thursday pushed Bitcoin to its lowest point in six weeks, intensifying bearish momentum ahead of the monthly options expiry.

Bullish Bitcoin strategies ill prepared for prices below $114,000

The $7.44 billion in open interest for call (buy) options stands 17% higher than the $6.37 billion in put (sell) contracts. Still, the actual outcome hinges on Bitcoin’s price at 8:00 am UTC on Aug. 29. Deribit dominates the market with an 85% share, followed by CME at 7% and OKX with 3%.

Bulls may have been overly confident, with some wagers set at $125,000 or higher. That optimism quickly eroded after Bitcoin’s decline, shifting momentum toward put instruments. Regardless of the rationale behind the recent BTC price correction, traders who opted for bullish strategies will likely come out disappointed.

Deribit options open interest for Aug. 29, BTC. Source: Deribit

Only 12% of call options were placed at $115,000 or below, leaving most out-of-the-money at current levels. By contrast, 21% of puts are positioned at $115,000 or higher, with significant clusters at $112,000. Thus, it is only natural to expect bears to continue negatively pressuring Bitcoin’s price ahead of the monthly expiry.

It might be too early to declare bullish options strategies entirely lost. Traders are awaiting comments from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday, as any suggestion of increased odds of rate cuts could support asset prices. Hotter-than-expected US jobless claims data on Thursday added to that anticipation, keeping macroeconomic uncertainty high.

Related: Why is Bitcoin crashing and will $112K be the final bottom?

US Federal Reserve and tech stocks could dictate Bitcoin’s outcome

Below are five probable scenarios at Deribit based on current price trends. These outcomes estimate theoretical profits based on open interest imbalances but exclude complex strategies, such as selling put options to gain upside price exposure.

  • Between $105,000 and $110,000: $210 million in calls (buy) vs. $2.66 billion in puts (sell). The net result favors the put instruments by $2.45 billion.

  • Between $110,100 and $114,000: $420 million calls vs. $1.94 billion puts, favoring puts by $1.5 billion.

  • Between $114,100 and $116,000: $795 million calls vs. $1.15 billion puts, favoring puts by $360 million.

  • Between $116,100 and $118,000: $1.3 billion calls vs. $830 million puts, favoring calls by $460 million.

  • Between $118,100 and $120,000: $1.7 billion calls vs. $560 million puts, favoring calls by $1.1 billion.

For bullish strategies to gain traction, Bitcoin would need to trade above $116,000 by Aug. 29. Yet, the most critical battle lies at $114,000, where bears are most motivated to push prices lower. 

Ultimately, Bitcoin’s fate in the $13.8 billion monthly options expiry will be decided by broader macroeconomic trends, including investors’ discomfort with the artificial intelligence sector. Concerns deepened after Morgan Stanley warned that soaring spending could limit major tech firms’ ability to fund share buybacks, amplifying caution in equity markets.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.



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August 21, 2025 0 comments
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