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Fragility

FOMO Fuels BNB Surge, But Analyst Warns Of Short-Term Fragility
Crypto Trends

FOMO Fuels BNB Surge, But Analyst Warns Of Short-Term Fragility

by admin September 25, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

BNB has entered a historic phase after surging above the $1,000 mark, positioning itself as one of the few altcoins from the previous cycle to chart fresh all-time highs. This milestone underscores its resilience and strength, particularly in a market where most altcoins continue to struggle with volatility and downside pressure.

Despite a recent pullback, sentiment remains notably bullish. Analysts point to the token’s decisive momentum, with its breakout above previous resistance levels setting it apart as one of the strongest performers in the current cycle. Top analyst Darkfost highlights that since August, BNB has shown remarkable price action by breaking through its former all-time high of $793 with conviction.

Since then, the token has climbed steadily, recently hitting a new record price of $1,083—an impressive 50% gain year-to-date. This performance reflects not only investor confidence in BNB but also the ecosystem’s continued growth and its evolving role within the broader crypto landscape.

BNB Outperformance And Risks Ahead

In a recent CryptoQuant report,  Darkfost highlighted how BNB’s price action stands in sharp contrast with the broader altcoin market. While most altcoins have struggled to regain momentum since the beginning of the year, BNB has emerged as a clear leader, consistently breaking higher and securing new all-time highs. The crossing of the $1,000 milestone marked not just a psychological victory but also a structural turning point for the token’s market dynamics.

BNB Spot Volume Bubble Map | Source: CryptoQuant

Darkfost further explained that this turning point was amplified by the growing connection between Binance and ASTER, the new perpetual DEX backed by CZ. With Binance’s influence and ASTER’s rapid growth, investors are increasingly seeing BNB as not only a token tied to an exchange but also a gateway to a broader ecosystem of innovation and liquidity.

That said, cautionary signals are also surfacing. Spot trading volumes have spiked significantly, suggesting that a portion of BNB’s rally has been driven by FOMO. While such surges often accompany strong bullish trends, they can also introduce fragility into the market. When trading activity overheats, prices become more vulnerable to sharp pullbacks as momentum cools.

BNB currently combines the strength of growing adoption and an expanding ecosystem, with the risks of an overheated short-term setup. This duality makes it both one of the standout winners of the current cycle and a token entering a phase where strategic caution is essential. The coming weeks will test whether BNB can consolidate its gains or if the weight of exuberance sparks a correction.

Price Action Details: Holding Key Level

BNB is currently trading near $995, consolidating just below the $1,000 psychological level after setting a new all-time high at $1,083 last week. The chart shows that after a strong breakout in mid-September, BNB entered a phase of heightened volatility, with sharp moves on both sides as traders react to overbought conditions.

BNB consolidates around key level | Source: BNBUSDT chart on TradingView

The 50 EMA on the 4-hour chart remains well above the 100 and 200 EMAs, showing that the overall uptrend remains intact. However, the recent pullback from $1,083 to under $1,000 indicates that momentum has cooled, and short-term caution is warranted. If bulls can reclaim and hold above $1,000, another push toward $1,050 and potentially a retest of the highs could follow.

On the downside, immediate support lies around $960, where the 50 EMA is converging. A deeper correction could bring the price toward $920, but as long as the structure remains above $900, the broader bullish trend remains valid.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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September 25, 2025 0 comments
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U.S. Federal Reserve in Washington .(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Crypto Trends

Fragility or Back on Track? BTC Holds the Line at $115K

by admin September 16, 2025



Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.

Bitcoin BTC$115,432.18 traded just above $115k in Asia Tuesday morning, slipping slightly after a strong start to the week.

The modest pullback followed a run of inflows into U.S. spot ETFs and lingering optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week. The moves left traders divided: is this recovery built on fragile foundations, or is crypto firmly back on track after last week’s CPI-driven jitters?

That debate is playing out across research desks. Glassnode’s weekly pulse emphasizes fragility. While ETF inflows surged nearly 200% last week and futures open interest jumped, the underlying spot market looks weak.

Buying conviction remains shallow, Glassnode writes, funding rates have softened, and profit-taking is on the rise with more than 92% of supply in profit.

Options traders have also scaled back downside hedges, pushing volatility spreads lower, which Glassnode warns leaves the market exposed if risk returns. The core message: ETFs and futures are supporting the rally, but without stronger spot flows, BTC remains vulnerable.

QCP takes the other side.

The Singapore-based desk says crypto is “back on track” after CPI confirmed tariff-led inflation without major surprises. They highlight five consecutive days of sizeable BTC ETF inflows, ETH’s biggest inflow in two weeks, and strength in XRP and SOL even after ETF delays.

Traders, they argue, are interpreting regulatory postponements as inevitability rather than rejection. With the Altcoin Season Index at a 90-day high, QCP sees BTC consolidation above $115k as the launchpad for rotation into higher-beta assets.

The divide underscores how Bitcoin’s current range near $115k–$116k is a battleground. Glassnode calls it fragile optimism; QCP calls it momentum. Which side is right may depend on whether ETF inflows keep offsetting profit-taking in the weeks ahead.

(CoinDesk)

Market Movement

BTC: Bitcoin is consolidating near the $115,000 level as traders square positions ahead of expected U.S. Fed policy moves; institutional demand via spot Bitcoin ETFs is supporting upside

ETH: ETH is trading near $4500 in a key resistance band; gains are being helped by renewed institutional demand, tightening supply (exchange outflows), and positive technical setups.

Gold: Gold continues to hold near record highs, underpinned by expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, inflation risk, and investor demand for safe havens; gains tempered somewhat by profit‑taking and a firmer U.S. dollar

Nikkei 225: Japan’s Nikkei 225 topped 45,000 for the first time Monday, leading Asia-Pacific gains as upbeat U.S.-China trade talks and a TikTok divestment framework lifted sentiment.

S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 0.5% to close above 6,600 for the first time on Monday as upbeat U.S.-China trade talks and anticipation of a Fed meeting lifted stocks.

Elsewhere in Crypto

  • Coinbase App Store ranking suggests retail still on sidelines despite crypto rally (The Block)
  • Robinhood Expands Private Equity Token Push With New Venture Capital Fund (CoinDesk)
  • Strategy Adds $60 Million to Bitcoin Treasury in Smallest Buy in a Month (Decrypt)



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September 16, 2025 0 comments
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(CoinDesk)
Crypto Trends

BTC Fragility and ETH Rotation Signal Market Bracing for Consolidation Without New Liquidity

by admin August 26, 2025



Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.

Bitcoin is trading just below $110,000 after another failed bounce, down roughly 7% since peaking over $117,000 in the wake of Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole speech, according to CoinDesk market data. Ethereum, which briefly touched $4,900 before a sharp reversal, is holding above $4,300 but showing signs of exhaustion after weeks of outperformance.

The bull run is fraying, market observers say, as thinning liquidity, ETF outflows, and fragile onchain activity collide with whales rotating into ETH and retail longs getting liquidated. Yet beneath the surface, billion-dollar sovereign and institutional allocations are quietly scaling into volatility, creating a sharp divergence between weak short-term conviction and programmatic long-horizon buying.

Glassnode’s latest Market Pulse shows the cycle slipping from euphoria into fragility: spot momentum fading toward oversold territory, ETF flows swinging to a $1 billion outflow, and realized profits collapsing back to breakeven.

That fragility was underscored by QCP Capital, which traced this weekend’s crash to an early holder unloading 24,000 BTC into thin liquidity, a move that cascaded into $500 million in liquidations. QCP said the sale exposed just how brittle the market has become with ETFs bleeding $1.2 billion in outflows even as whales rotate into ETH, pushing the ETH/BTC cross through 0.04.

Singapore-based market maker Enflux picks up that thread, arguing that not all flows are created equal.

While retail longs were blown out, a $2.55 billion ETH stake routed through a single contract and the UAE royal family’s $700 million BTC exposure via Citadel Mining looks less like speculative punts and more like sovereign and institutional allocations.

In other words, even as Glassnode’s onchain data shows weakening address activity and fee volumes, there are counterparties deliberately using volatility to scale into size.

The result is a divergence: retail leverage continues to get flushed, while long-horizon allocators quietly accumulate.

But with transaction fees collapsing back toward decade lows and blocks clearing with little congestion, liquidity on the Bitcoin blockchain itself looks thin. That’s a problem for miners already squeezed by halved rewards, and it leaves the broader market bracing for consolidation, or deeper drawdowns into September, historically Bitcoin’s weakest month.

(CoinDesk)

Market Movement

BTC: Bitcoin’s brief rebound from its weekend plunge failed Monday, with prices rejected at $113,000 before sliding to a seven-week low near $109,700, down 2.7% on the day and 7% from Friday’s post-Powell peak above $117,000.

ETH: Altcoins buckled Monday with ETH dropping nearly 8% below $4,400 and SOL, DOGE, ADA, and LINK sliding 6–8%, triggering $700 million in liquidations, mostly from over $627 million in long bets.

Gold: Gold is holding above $3,350 as Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole remarks boost rate-cut bets and geopolitical tensions sustain safe-haven demand, even as dollar strength and upcoming U.S. growth data loom as headwinds.

Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific stocks fell Tuesday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Topix down 0.54%, as investors weighed Trump’s China comments and U.S.–South Korea trade talks on planned 15% tariffs.

S&P 500: U.S. stocks pulled back Monday from a rate-cut-fueled rally, with the S&P 500 down 0.4% as focus turned to Nvidia’s upcoming earnings.

Elsewhere in Crypto:

  • Grayscale Files to Convert Avalanche Trust to ETF (Decrypt)
  • Japan’s Finance Minister Says Crypto Assets Can be Part of Diversified Portfolio (CoinDesk)
  • Venture trends, regulatory wins, and consumer innovation: Tom Schmidt and Alok Vasudev on crypto’s new era (The Block)



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August 26, 2025 0 comments
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