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Sell the News? Bitcoin Market Shrugs Off Fed Moves: Analysis

by admin September 17, 2025



In brief

  • The Fed delivered a 25bps cut in an 11–1 vote, but markets reacted with little enthusiasm.
  • Bitcoin slipped 0.69% after briefly touching $117K earlier in the day.
  • Overall market sentiment remains neutral, though predictors on Myriad lean bullish.

Fed fatigue or was it simply priced in all along? Bitcoin is down a paltry 1% today, currently trading at around $115,500, following the Federal Reserve’s widely telegraphed quarter-point rate cut.

The crypto market appears a bit gassed, but if anything, today’s relatively small drop in prices could be interpreted as a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” event.

The Federal Open Market Committee lowered its benchmark overnight lending rate by a quarter percentage point in an 11-to-1 vote, putting the overnight funds rate in a range between 4.00%-4.25%.

Rate cuts are typically bullish for risk assets, and yet markets appeared to have been pricing in this move for weeks and showed little enthusiasm. Bitcoin, for instance, was unable to hold above the psychologically important $117,000 level after briefly touching it today.

The overall crypto market still sits above $4 trillion, though down less than 1% in the last 24 hours, while the average performance of the top 20 cryptocurrencies has slipped 0.43%, according to data from Coinmarketcap. So, no FOMO just yet from the Fed’s easing. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains almost perfectly neutral at 51 points, down 6 points from last week’s greedy mood.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterized the cut as “risk management” rather than something more directed at shoring up a weak economy, which may explain the market’s lukewarm response. With a 96% chance of a 25 basis point cut already priced in way before the announcement, traders appear to be executing the classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” playbook.

The political drama surrounding the Fed decision added another layer of uncertainty. Newly installed Governor Stephen Miran—a widely recognized pro-Trump economist who advised him during his previous tenure—was the only policymaker voting against the quarter-point move, instead advocating for an even larger half-point cut.

Bitcoin (BTC) price: The consolidation continues

So what can be gleaned from the Bitcoin charts today?

The daily chart for BTC shows a market in limbo, with price action basically trading sideways since June, but with an ever so slightly upwards trajectory.

Bitcoin opened today at $116,836, but dipped to a low of $114,747 immediately after the Fed’s announcement, before bouncing to its current price for a net loss of less than 1% on the day.

Bitcoin price data. Image: Tradingview

The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, for Bitcoin sits at 58 in neutral to bullish territory. RSI measures price momentum on a scale of 0 to 100, where values above 70 indicate overbought conditions and below 30 suggest oversold levels. Bitcoin has gained a bit of momentum since dropping below its average price over the last 50 days of $110,000 back in late August

The Average Directional Index, or ADX, which measures trend strength regardless of direction, for BTC is currently at 18. For traders, this shows that the market is basically neutral—traders are essentially waiting for a catalyst to establish the next major move. (Anything under 25 tells traders that a trend isn’t really in place.)

This typically means range-bound trading will continue until a breakout occurs hitting a new all-time high or breakdown below $104,000, which is the average price of Bitcoin over the last 200 days.

It’s these exponential moving averages, or EMAs, that offer a glimmer of hope.

Until a few days ago, the 50-day EMA (the average price over the last 50 trading days) and the 200-day EMA started to compress, hinting at potentially bearish times. This bounce has been enough to increase the gap, which means Bitcoin is still in a bullish formation. Slow, yes, but bullish nonetheless.

The key question now is whether the Fed’s signal of two more cuts before year-end will be enough to reignite risk appetite, or if concerns about persistent inflation and political interference at the central bank will keep buyers on the sidelines.



Over on Myriad, predictors are bullish. Users on the prediction market, developed by Decrypt’s parent company Dastan, place the odds at 61% that Bitcoin keeps rising and hits $125K before it drops back down to $105K. They also believe there’s an 80% chance Bitcoin stays above $105K throughout the entire month of September.

Key Levels:

  • Immediate support: $113,700 (EMA50)
  • Strong support: $108,000 (recent consolidation base visible on chart)
  • Immediate resistance: $119,000 (recent rejection zone)
  • Strong resistance: $124,621 (all-time high)

Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed by the author are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice.

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Fed Lowers Rates By 25bps: How Bitcoin And Crypto Prices Responded And What’s Next

by admin September 17, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

The Federal Reserve (Fed) announced its first interest rate cut of the year, leading to an immediate reaction in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a notable decline, dropping below the $115,000 threshold shortly after the announcement. 

Expert Predicts Crypto Rally

Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the current economic landscape, noting that while inflation has eased significantly from its mid-2022 highs, it still remains elevated compared to the Fed’s long-term target of 2%. 

He also pointed out that there are increasing downside risks to employment in what he described as a less dynamic labor market. Looking ahead, Powell indicated that the Fed anticipates interest rates will settle between 3.5% and 3.75% by the end of 2025, a reduction of 0.50% from current levels. 

Additionally, he mentioned that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) plans to implement two more rate cuts within this year.

Market expert Lark Davis took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to share his thoughts on the implications of the rate cuts. He stated that the easing of interest rates suggests that “the money printer is getting turned ON,” forecasting that cheaper capital would soon flow into the crypto market. 

Although Davis acknowledged the possibility of short-term dips, as evidenced by Bitcoin’s performance following the rate cut decision, he remains optimistic about a medium- to long-term rally for cryptocurrencies.

Will Rate Cuts Propel Bitcoin And Ethereum To New Heights Again?

Analysts at The Bull Theory supported this outlook in a previous analysis, explaining how lower interest rates enhance liquidity. They noted that reduced borrowing costs encourage both businesses and consumers to spend more, ultimately boosting economic activity. 

Drawing parallels to late 2024, after the Fed had begun its rate cuts, they highlighted how Bitcoin reached new all-time highs while Ethereum (ETH) surged past $4,000. This previous rally lasted approximately two months, suggesting that the current environment might lead to similar outcomes.

Despite the immediate volatility in the crypto markets, the analysts predict that smart money and market whales may attempt to shake out retail investors in the short term. However, they remain confident that, within a three- to six-month window, Bitcoin and other altcoins are likely to trade at much higher levels. 

The 1D chart shows BTC’s price reaction following the Fed’s rate cut decision. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Fed cuts interest rates for first time in 2025
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Fed cuts interest rates for first time in 2025

by admin September 17, 2025



The Federal Reserve has followed through with its widely expected decision, cutting rates by 25 basis points and leaving the door open for more cuts.

Summary

  • FOMC cut interest rates by 25 basis points, leaving the door open for more cuts
  • The decision, while widely expected, also carries an easing tone
  • Bitcoin and altcoins could react in a moderately

The Federal Reserve’s widely anticipated decision came on Wednesday, September 17. The Federal Open Market Committee decided to cut interest rates for the first time in 2025. Interest rates will go down by 25 basis points, as expected, from a range of 4.25%–4.50% to 4.00%–4.25%.

The Fed stated that it will leave the door open for more interest-rate cuts. However, Chair Jerome Powell did not commit to a clear path forward, including one that would commit the Fed to more easing. Instead, the central bank opted to retain its flexibility.

Still, the Fed chair highlighted rising concerns with employment and economic growth. This is a major shift in tone and potentially signals that the Fed could be more likely to lower interest rates in the future. Moreover, one member of the FOMC,, according to Bloomberg, dissented, wanting a 50-basis-point rate cut. While there is no official confirmation, the dissenter is likely Trump appointee Stephen Miran.

What the Fed decision means for Bitcoin and altcoins

Interest rates have a major effect on asset prices. Lower interest rates reduce the yields of fixed-income assets like bonds and Treasuries. At the same time, they reduce the cost of borrowing, making riskier assets more attractive. This includes Bitcoin and especially altcoins.

The Fed’s decision was widely anticipated, so it is not likely to have a major effect on crypto prices. Still, a more dovish tone on inflation and interest rates could push Bitcoin prices higher and boost altcoins even further.



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Bitcoin Steady as Fed Cuts Interest Rates for First Time Since December

by admin September 17, 2025



In brief

  • The Federal Reserve had kept interest rates unchanged since last December.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump has been hammering the Fed to cut rates.
  • Crypto and other assets typically benefit from rate cuts that increase financial liquidity.

The U.S. central bank, as widely expected, cut the federal funds rate by 0.25% Wednesday, amid recent signs that the economy was faltering and needed a boost—and under relentless pressure from President Donald Trump.

Bitcoin and other major digital assets traded largely flat  in the immediate aftermath. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization was recently changing hands just above $116,000, up 0.2% over the past hour hours, according to crypto markets data provider CoinGecko. BTC rallied in recent days with investors possibly pricing in the anticipated decision.

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market value, was trading at $4,501, flat over the same period.

The Fed slashed the interest rate to a range between 4% and 4.25% after a downward revision in a Department of Labor report showing that the U.S had created 911,000 fewer jobs than initially reported for a year-long period ending in March, and other concerning economic signs.

Those seemed to outweigh the threat of inflation, which has risen to 2.9% on an annual basis, stubbornly above the bank’s longstanding 2% goal. The Fed has a dual mission to keep inflation low and ensure full employment.

Central bankers had kept rates unmoved over five meetings this year over inflation concerns, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell vowing after these decisions to remain data-driven in focus. The bank dropped rates a percentage point in three late 2024 rate cuts as prices slackened and raised expectations for additional cuts this year.

Fearful that his administration will be saddled with an economic cratering, Trump has hotly criticized the bank for not following through and looked to replace Fed governors with his own more dovish selections. On Tuesday, White House advisor Stephen Miran was sworn in to serve out the remaining four months of a term left open when Adriana Kugler resigned in August.

The same day, a federal appeals court blocked Trump’s firing of Fed governor Lisa Cook, whom he considered—possibly wrongly—of being an obstacle to a rate cut. By numerous accounts, Cook is considered less restrictive about monetary policy. Trump has also hotly criticized Powell.

The CME’s FedWatch tool, the widely watched measure of investor sentiment, forecast a 96% probability of a rate reduction in the days leading up to the decision.

Still, investors have been unbalanced by the White House-Fed feud and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties, including Trump’s global trade war. Gold, the traditional safe haven asset, rose to a record high on Tuesday above $3,730. It is up more than 10% over the past month.



And a Myriad market found that nearly nine in 10 users expect the price of Bitcoin, which is often likened to gold, to remain above $105,000 throughout September.

(Disclosure: Myriad is a prediction market and engagement platform developed by Dastan, parent company of an editorially independent Decrypt.)

In her Crypto Is Macro Now newsletter, crypto markets researcher Noelle Acheson noted that updated projections showing end-of-year gains for unemployment and insurance and Powell’s comments about the Fed’s approach following Wednesday’s announcement could “encourage or spook” markets.

“He might studiously avoid saying anything at all, but that itself would be a signal. Or, he could hint that a new easing cycle has begun, with consecutive cuts in coming months. Or, he could reiterate the need to wait for more data on inflation and employment,” Acheson wrote. “As usual, his words will be parsed carefully for deviations from the expected tropes, and as usual, too much will be read into them.”

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Why Are Myriad Users Betting on the Color of Fed Chair Powell’s Tie Today?

by admin September 17, 2025



In brief

  • Myriad traders are betting on whether Jerome Powell will wear a purple tie at the September FOMC press conference—odds heavily favor Yes.
  • Purple has become Powell’s signature color, signaling the Fed’s commitment to neutrality over partisan “red vs. blue” politics.
  • The quirky market highlights how prediction platforms are moving beyond rate calls to trade on symbolism and style cues.

A peculiar but revealing market is getting serious traction on Myriad: Will Fed Chair Jerome Powell wear a purple tie during the September FOMC press conference?

As of now, the crowd overwhelmingly believes yes. But it’s not just about fashion—this prediction market taps into deeper symbolism around the Fed’s public identity.

According to a recent report by Columbia Business School, Powell’s choice of a purple tie is no accident. Brett House, economist and professor at Columbia, noted that Powell’s consistent use of purple is a part of reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s image as non-political in an era of heightened polarization. 

Here’s what’s known:

When asked, Powell said purple was once just a personal preference. But over time, he began to see its utility: “Maybe not red. Maybe not blue. So I wind up wearing purple.” He saw purple as a neutral ground, signaling a lack of alignment with either side of the political spectrum. And lately, it’s become something of a signature. 

(Disclaimer: Myriad is a product of DASTAN, Decrypt’s parent company.)

He explicitly frames this aesthetic (tie color) as helping project the message that the Fed is strictly non-political—not embracing party red or blue, but purple in between. 

So when people are putting money on “Powell wears purple,” they aren’t just betting on wardrobe chance—they’re betting on consistency, signaling, and public messaging.

The Myriad market: Purple tie or not?

Here’s what the market looks like:

  • Question: Will Jerome Powell wear a purple tie during the September FOMC press conference?

  • Large sentiment says Yes. Significant volume is leaning that way. (Exact figures shift with time.)

  • Resolution rules: Must be purple or a pattern where purple is the dominant color. Shades like lavender or violet qualify; red, blue, or burgundy do not. The market typically closes shortly before the event, and official feeds/video resources will decide.

Because of Powell’s established pattern and public statements, the “Yes” side seems to carry weight beyond random guesswork.

Things that could upset the odds

  • Lighting/camera differences: A tie that looks violet on camera might register differently under stage lights, or in certain video streams.

  • Tie patterns/mixed colors: A tie with multiple colors where purple isn’t dominant could create disputes.

  • Last-minute changes: Powell could change his wardrobe plan; things like his stylist’s decisions, availability of a tie, or even mood might matter.

Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed by the author are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice.

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September 17, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin Whales Awake, Move Millions Ahead of Highly Anticipated Fed Rate Decision

by admin September 17, 2025



In brief

  • Two dormant Bitcoin whales have moved upwards of 2,000 BTC in the past three days.
  • Despite whales’ selling activity, institutional demand remains strong, with ETF-driven accumulation spree exceeding new supply.
  • Experts suggest watching out for the Fed Chair’s tone in today’s rate cut meeting at 2pm ET.

Bitcoin whales inactive for more than a decade have started to wake up as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s September 17 rate cut decision draws close.

A Satoshi-era whale woke up on Wednesday and transferred 1,000 BTC worth to four new wallets, according to on-chain analytics platform Arkham.

In 2013, this whale received 1,000 BTC in four chunks, with the price of Bitcoin hovering around $843. At Bitcoin’s current price of $117,000, the same stack is now worth a staggering $117 million.

More dormant wallets have started waking up as Bitcoin holds above the psychological level of $100,000.

On September 14, a different Bitcoin whale deposited 1,176 BTC to Hyperliquid across two transfers, potentially signaling an intention to sell. This wallet previously converted $4 billion worth of Bitcoin to Ethereum following a Hyperliquid deposit.

Last Thursday also saw a similar activity when a 13-year dormant whale moved a portion of its $50 million holdings to new wallets, according to a previous Decrypt report.

What’s next for Bitcoin?

While old whales may be moving their holdings to book profits, last week’s ETF flows suggest that institutional demand for Bitcoin remains high. Bitwise’s Monday report underscores this demand by showing that the accumulation from exchange-traded funds far exceeds the new supply.

The resurgence of Bitcoin ETF flows “highlights a more cautious mood,” Illia Otychenko, lead analyst at CEX.IO, told Decrypt last week. “Investors are now favoring Bitcoin as the safer bet ahead of the Fed decision.”

CME’s FedWatch tool shows a 100% possibility of a rate cut, with the odds of a 25 basis point rate cut hovering around 94%. On prediction market Myriad, launched by Decrypt’s parent company DASTAN, users place a 91.8% chance on a 25bps rate cut and a 4.7% chance on a 50bps decrease.



With the majority of investors expecting a quarter-point rate cut, all eyes are now on the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s tone, according to experts in a previous Decrypt report.

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All Eyes on the Fed, All Ears on Powell: Crypto Daybook Americas
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All Eyes on the Fed, All Ears on Powell: Crypto Daybook Americas

by admin September 17, 2025



By Francisco Rodrigues (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Global markets are treading water as investors wait on the Federal Reserve’s latest policy move, coming later today. It’s almost a given the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Traders will instead focus on Chair Jerome Powell for signs on future policy.

The cryptocurrency market is no different. Over the last 24 hours, the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index is practically unchanged, up just 0.2%, while bitcoin (BTC) is around 1% higher. Gold, which surged to a record $3,700 this week, slipped 0.5%. The U.S. dollar index added less than 0.2%.

Equities markets have barely moved as well. U.S. stocks slipped in yesterday’s session, while European equities are edging higher. The FTSE All-World Index advanced less than 0.1% today.

That's today. But over a longer period, cryptocurrencies have lagged behind equities.

In the last 30 days, the FTSE All-World Index rose 2.78%, while the CoinDesk 20 added 2.6% and BTC gained 1.6%. The moves suggest caution even ahead of rate cut that would boost the appeal of risk assets.

Investors are currently pricing in six interest rate cuts. Three this year, and three next year.

“Market expectations are positioned in a Goldilocks range: six cuts represent a middle ground between caution and aggression,” analysts at QCP Capital wrote in a note.

“A deviation in the dot plot, however, would challenge that balance, forcing investors to recalibrate around the risk of tighter-than-expected conditions or a Fed struggling to respond effectively to weaker growth,” the analysts added.

Markets' real test will be Powell’s press conference. A balanced message is likely to further support risk assets, while hesitation would force investors to reassess.

Despite the uncertainty, demand for spot crypto ETFs has remained robust. This week, net inflows for spot BTC ETFs are around $550 million, while spot ether ETFs brought in nearly $300 million. Stay alert!

What to Watch

  • Crypto
    • Nothing scheduled.
  • Macro
    • Sept. 17, 9:45 a.m.: Canada benchmark interest rate decision Est. 2.5% followed by a press conference.
    • Sept. 17, 2 p.m.: Fed decision on U.S. interest rates, including updated dot plot projections. Est. 25 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, followed by a press conference.
    • Sept. 17, 5:30 p.m.: Brazil benchmark interest rate decision Est. 15%.
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • None scheduled.

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • MantleDAO is voting on keeping the 2025-2026 budget at $52 million USDc and 200 million MNT. Voting ends Sept. 18.
    • Sept. 17, 6 a.m.: DYdX to host an Analyst Call.
  • Unlocks
    • Sept. 17: ZKsync (ZK) to unlock 3.61% of its circulating supply worth $10.54 million.
  • Token Launches
    • Sept. 18: Deadline to convert MKR to SKY before the Delayed Upgrade Penalty takes effect.

Conferences

  • Day 2 of 2: Real-World Asset Summit (New York)
  • Sept. 17: The Bitcoin Treasuries NYC Unconference (New York)
  • Day 1 of 3: AIBC 2025 (Tokyo, Japan)

Token Talk

By Oliver Knight

  • Bitcoin (BTC) continues to stubbornly trade in a tight range, rising slightly to $116,000 in the past 24 hours, but failing to build momentum for a break out.
  • Altcoins are capitalizing on the lack of volatility with several spikes leading to bitcoin dominance sliding to an eight-month low of 57%, according to CoinMarketCap data.
  • Dominance is a metric commonly used to assess whether capital is flowing into bitcoin or more speculative altcoins, as seems to be the case.
  • Another bullish factor for altcoins is that the average crypto token RSI, an abbreviation for relative strength index, is at 45.47. This means that altcoins are edging into “oversold” territory as opposed to “overbought,” suggesting that several tokens are primed for an extension to the upside.
  • It's worth noting that bitcoin dominance fell all the way to 33% in 2017 and 40% in 2021, meaning that altcoins still have more room to run.
  • Much will depend on how bitcoin acts if it begins to test record highs at $124,000. A breakout on significant volume will likely lead to a capital rotation back to the largest cryptocurrency as investors attempt to capitalize on a potential cycle high, with the personalities such as Eric Trump calling for $175,000 before year-end.

Derivatives Positioning

  • BTC futures open interest across major venues has crept up to $32 billion over the past week.
  • At the same time, the three-month annualized basis has started compressing again to roughly 6-7% across Binance, OKX and Deribit, leaving the carry trade only marginally profitable.
  • While the OI growth suggests increasing activity and engagement in the market, the narrowing basis indicates that directional conviction, particularly on the bullish side, is weakening, with traders less willing to pay a high premium for future exposure.
  • The options data also presents a complex picture of market sentiment.
  • While the BTC Implied Volatility Term Structure chart shows an upward-sloping curve, suggesting the market expects long-term volatility to be higher than short-term, other metrics point to a more immediate bearish outlook.
  • Specifically, the 25 delta skew chart indicates that the skew is either flat or slightly negative for shorter-term options (1-week, 1-month), which means traders are paying a premium for puts over calls to gain protection against declines.
  • This short-term bearish sentiment is directly contradicted by the 24-hour put-call volume chart, which shows a higher volume of calls than puts, indicating that over the past 24 hours most options traders were positioning for a price increase.
  • Funding rate APRs across major perpetual swap venues have recently started to show some pickup with BTC annualized funding currently at 17%.
  • If the uptrend is maintained and followed by other venues, funding rates would suggest growing conviction in a directional, more bullish bet on prices.

Market Movements

  • BTC is down 0.22% from 4 p.m. ET Wednesday at $116,637.44 (24hrs: +1.01%)
  • ETH is unchanged at $4,498.24 (24hrs: +0.00%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is down 0.58% at 4,272.21 (24hrs: +0.1%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 2 bps at 2.86%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0077% (8.4589% annualized) on Binance
  • DXY is up 0.14% at 96.76
  • Gold futures are down 0.52% at $3,705.60
  • Silver futures are down 2.14% at $42.00
  • Nikkei 225 closed down 0.25% at 44,790.38
  • Hang Seng closed up 1.78% at 26,908.39
  • FTSE is up 0.20% at 9,213.65
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.11% at 5,377.98
  • DJIA closed on Tuesday down 0.27% at 45,757.90
  • S&P 500 closed down 0.13% at 6,606.76
  • Nasdaq Composite closed unchanged at 22,333.96
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed down 0.39% at 29,315.23
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed up 0.52% at 2,919.60
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 1 bps at 4.016%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 6,669.00
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are unchanged at 24,525.25
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are unchanged at 46,146.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 58.3% (unchanged)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.0386 (0.15%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1,021 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $54.43
  • Total fees: 4.18 BTC / $483,499
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 144,220 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 31.8 oz.
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 8.91%

Technical Analysis

  • Bitcoin has surged from $107K to $117K, now trading above all key daily exponential moving averages.
  • Despite this strength, the broader bias remains cautious.
  • For momentum to continue, bulls will look for a decisive reclaim of the daily order block between $117K and $119K, an area that also aligns with the weekly order block established in early August.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Tuesday at $327.91 (+0.27%), -0.52% at $326.19 in pre-market
  • Circle (CRCL): closed at $134.81 (+0.57%), +1.07% at $136.25
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $31.83 (+3.44%), -1.35% at $31.40
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $51.36 (+0.55%), -0.35% at $51.18
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $17.53 (+7.94%), -0.34% at $17.47
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $17.52 (+5.04%), +0.23% at $17.56
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.18 (-0.86%), unchanged in pre-market
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $11.20 (+8.84%), unchanged in pre-market
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $39.86 (+2.92%), -1.15% at $39.40
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $29.70 (+6.53%), -1.11% at $29.37

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $335.09 (+2.23%), +0.21% at $335.80
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $29.11 (+2.54%)
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $16.95 (+0.95%), unchanged in pre-market
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $5.82 (-8.06%), +3.09% at $6
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $2.69 (-7.56%), +10.43% at $3.07

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $292.3 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $57.34 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~1.32 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$61.7 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $13.68 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~6.61 million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

  • Metaplanet Sets Up U.S., Japan Subsidiaries, Buys Bitcoin.jp Domain Name (CoinDesk): The world’s sixth-largest BTC treasury company formed Bitcoin Japan to run bitcoin-focused media platforms and U.S.-based Metaplanet Income to generate revenue from bitcoin-related financial products.
  • 21Shares Hits 50 Crypto ETPs in Europe With Launch of AI and Raydium-Focused Products: 21Shares is introducing two crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs), one tracking a group of decentralized AI protocols and one offering exposure to the token of Solana-based decentralized exchange Raydium.
  • Hex Trust Adds Custody and Staking for Lido’s stETH, Expanding Institutional Access to Ethereum Rewards (CoinDesk): The firm’s one-click staking feature enables clients to access staking rewards and decentralized finance (DeFi) liquidity tools for stETH without setting up their own infrastructure.
  • Three Things Britain Wants From Trump’s State Visit — Aside From Business Deals (CNBC): The U.K. wants Trump’s visit to advance the unfinished trade deal, tackle hurdles such as steel and aluminum tariffs and lock in investment from BlackRock, Alphabet and Blackstone.
  • UK Watchdog to Waive Some Rules for Cryptoasset Providers (Financial Times): The FCA says it will adapt regulations to crypto’s unique risks, pledging stricter safeguards on technology and resilience while exploring whether investors should gain wider consumer protections.



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XRP, BNB, and Hyperliquid Lead Crypto Gains Ahead of Crucial Fed Decision

by admin September 17, 2025



In brief

  • Layer 1 tokens take the lead as investors prepare for the highly anticipated FOMC meeting.
  • Analyst attributes XRP, BNB, and Hyperliquid’s out-of-pocket performance to coin-specific development.
  • With altcoin open interest briefly surging above Bitcoin’s, investor appetite continues to remain elevated.

With the Fed’s crucial interest rate decision in less than 12 hours, a select few altcoins have taken the lead, outperforming others. 

BNB takes the lead with a 2.5% return in 24 hours, closely followed by Sui, Hyperliquid, and XRP with 2.2%, 1% and 0.7% growth, respectively.

Altcoins are riding on the coattails of coin-specific developments and not due to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision scheduled on Wednesday at 2 pm ET, Lai Yuen, investment analyst at Fischer8 Capital, told Decrypt. 



Hyperliquid and BNB are benefitting from “chatter around digital asset treasury buying flows, underpinned by solid businesses and clear value-accrual models,” Yuen explained. 

The excitement surrounding XRP is fuelled by the newly approved spot ETF, which could launch as early as this week, he added. 

Still, Layer 1s have continued to outperform other sectors like meme coins, Layer 2s, or gaming over the past seven and 30 days, data from Velo shows. 

With the S&P 500 index and gold up 0.25% and 0.60% on the day and just below their respective record highs, Yuen noted that equities and gold were seeing a strong bid heading into the FOMC, while “crypto continues to lag with majors capped by lower highs.”

Despite the short-term bearish market structure, institutions continue to accumulate. 

Last week’s $2.34 billion inflow into U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds pushed global exchange-traded product holdings to new highs, according to a previous Decrypt report.

Meanwhile, crypto prime broker FalconX has withdrawn 413,075 SOL from Binance, Coinbase, ByBit, and OKX on Tuesday, data intelligence platform Arkham shows.

That could be a sign of accumulation from larger players as they seek to reduce their stockpiles on exchanges to sell quickly.

Speculation surrounding altcoins has climbed to new highs as noted by the recent surge in altcoin open interest that briefly overtook Bitcoin’s on September 13, per Coinanalyze data.

The uptick in leverage highlights the investors’ “eagerness for alt season,” ahead of the fourth quarter’s historically bullish performance, Stephen Gregory, founder of crypto trading platform Vtrader, previously told Decrypt.

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Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Traders Brace for Fed Cuts But Massive $4.5B Liquidity Tests Loom
Crypto Trends

Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Traders Brace for Fed Cuts But Massive $4.5B Liquidity Tests Loom

by admin September 17, 2025



Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making news in the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook Americas.
Polymarket and CME FedWatch are aligned: the Fed’s easing cycle begins tomorrow. Both have a 25 bps cut locked in for the next FOMC meeting, with odds building for a three-cut path through year-end.

Polymarket traders leave more room for aggressive easing, while CME assigns steadier probabilities of 25 bps steps. Either way, markets see 75 bps in cuts as the baseline for 2025.

Market conviction around the Fed pivot is already showing up on-chain, with BTC trading at $116,762, up 1.3% on the day and 4.7% on the week, while ETH sits at $4,502, up 4.3% on the week as traders price in the cuts.

Now, some traders are sitting on the sidelines to see just how the market might react as the Fed announces cuts.

In a recent report, CryptoQuant data shows bitcoin exchange inflows have dropped to a 7-day average of just 25,000 BTC, the lowest in more than a year and a half; the level seen in mid-July when BTC first crossed $120,000. The average BTC deposit size has also halved to 0.57 BTC, evidence that large holders are sitting idle rather than rushing to sell.

ETH is seeing the same pattern: exchange inflows have fallen to a two-month low of 783,000 ETH, down sharply from 1.8 million in August. The average ETH deposit has declined to 30 ETH from 40–45 ETH earlier this summer, suggesting reduced sell-side activity from whales.

If BTC and ETH are being hoarded, stablecoins are flowing in CryptoQuant writes in its report. USDT deposits into exchanges surged to $379 million at the end of August, the highest this year, and remain elevated at $200 million. The average daily USDT deposit has doubled since July, giving exchanges the “dry powder” needed to support a post-Fed rally.

But the flows aren’t uniform. Altcoins are seeing a resurgence of exchange activity, with transaction deposits climbing to a 7-day total of 55,000, up from a flat 20,000–30,000 range earlier this year. That divergence signals possible profit-taking in higher-beta names even as BTC and ETH supply remains tight.

“September brings a wave of token unlocks totaling $4.5 billion, a dynamic that could pressure liquidity and test market absorption,” OKX Singapore CEO Gracie Lin wrote in a note to CoinDesk.

True opportunity lies beyond short-term volatility, Lin argued.

“Stablecoins are nearing $300 billion in supply, token unlocks are putting market depth to the test, and major infrastructure upgrades like Nasdaq’s move toward tokenized securities are signaling that crypto is becoming part of the global financial system, not an outlier,” she wrote.

The message is clear: the Fed pivot is nearly priced in. What matters now is whether crypto’s liquidity buffers, stablecoins, exchange inflows, and token unlocks can absorb the shocks and channel capital into the next leg higher for BTC.

Market Movement

BTC: BTC is trading above $116,500 as traders are optimistic about potential U.S. interest rate cuts. Technical factors such as the closing of futures gaps have added upward pressure. Some caution is setting in ahead of the Fed meeting.

ETH: ETH is trading with modest strength, supported by overall crypto market momentum (dominated by BTC), but with some resistance as investors weigh macro risks and await clarity on policy from the Fed.

Gold: Gold is hitting record highs, driven by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut rates, a weakening U.S. dollar, and heightened geopolitical or macroeconomic uncertainty. Safe‑haven demand from investors is strong.

Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific stocks fell on Wednesday morning, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 0.3%, as investors tracked Wall Street losses and awaited a likely Fed rate cut decision.

S&P 500: The S&P 500 slipped 0.13% to 6,606.76 Tuesday as investors booked profits ahead of the Fed’s rate decision after touching a record high earlier.

Elsewhere in Crypto

  • Eric Trump defends UAE-Binance deal, says his father is ‘first guy who hasn’t made money off of the presidency’ (The Block)
  • President Trump Alleges New York Times Harmed Meme Coin in $15 Billion Lawsuit (Decrypt)
  • The Clarity Act Is Probably Dead: Here's What's Next for Its Successor Legislation (CoinDesk)



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GameFi Guides

For Bitcoin Traders, Is a Fed Rate Cut Already Priced In?

by admin September 16, 2025



In brief

  • Markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates on Wednesday.
  • The price of Bitcoin has risen this week but some analysts aren’t expecting the asset to rise on the announcement.
  • Instead, traders will be paying attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments after the decision, analysts told Decrypt.

Bitcoin has typically performed well in a low interest rate environment, but the asset may not rise in the aftermath of a widely expected U.S. central bank interest rate slashing on Wednesday, say analysts, who believe markets have already priced in the cut. 

The analysts say that traders will be looking more keenly at what Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell says in the press conference after the announcement. 

“It does seem to be pretty priced in,” Juan Leon, Bitwise’s senior investment strategist, told Decrypt. “[A cut] has been digested by the markets. Where it gets interesting is what Powell says afterwards—that’s where you’ll see crypto markets flatten out or rally,” he continued. 

The odds of the Fed reducing the rate by a quarter point currently stand at 96%, per the CME’s FedWatch tool, the widely watched measure of investor sentiment. Equities and crypto jumped this week on that data. 



At one point Tuesday, Bitcoin’s price rose to nearly its highest level in a month. The largest digital asset by market capitalization was recently priced at $116,559, up nearly 5% over the past seven days, according to crypto market data provider CoinGecko. The cryptocurrency remains about 7% off its all-time high of $124,128 set in August.

A Myriad market found that nearly nine in 10 consumers expect the price to remain above $105,000 throughout September. 

(Disclosure: Myriad is a prediction market and engagement platform developed by Dastan, parent company of an editorially independent Decrypt.)

Other major digital assets have also risen well into positive territory, with Ethereum and XRP, the second and third largest cryptos by market value, up 4.8% and 3% over the same period, respectively. Solana has climbed a whopping 10%, although its gains have been fueled partly by the recent expansion of Solana treasuries. 

The Fed has left interest rates intact in a range between 4.25% and 4.50% for the past five meetings stretching to last December, when it announced a .25% rate cut. In comments following these decisions, Powell has reiterated the bank’s concerns about inflation, which has remained stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% annual target, and vowed to base future decisions on data. 

But recent jobs reports, including a 911,000 downward adjustment in the number of jobs created over a year-long period ending this March, suggested that the economy was sagging and boosted prospects of a rate cut. Powell may offer hints on Wednesday about the Fed’s future thinking. 

Bitcoin and other risk-on assets have generally risen on dovish (favoring low interest rates) that would lead to the injection of capital into markets and declined on hawkish rhetoric. 

“Lower interest rates increase the liquidity in circulation, and investors deploy capital into more risky assets such as stocks and crypto,” Chief Growth Officer at Rockaway Samantha Bohbot said, adding that “any hawkish comments might lead to repricing and sell off.”

Complicating the Fed’s task has been President Donald Trump’s relentless campaign for a rate cut. Most recently, he tried to fire Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Lisa Cook, whom he has perceived—possibly wrongly–of being an impediment to cutting rates. Cook is considered dovish by many accounts. 

A federal appeals court on Tuesday blocked his order, which also more generally raised the issue of the Fed’s independence to set monetary policy. Those concerns and wider macroeconomic uncertainties, including Trump’s trade war, have left investors unbalanced. Gold, the traditional safe haven asset, rose to a record high on Tuesday above $3,730. It is up more than 10% over the past month. 

If a series of rate cuts is imminent, or if the central bank reduces the rate by a greater-than-expected .50%, Bitcoin and other crypto prices could jump, Carlos Guzman, a research analyst at market maker GSR, told Decrypt.

“Updates coming out of the FOMC meeting could still move markets depending on what they signal for rate policy later in the year, and the Fed could still surprise markets by opting for a 50bps cut rather than the overwhelmingly expected 25bps,” he said. 

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