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euphoric

bitcoin
GameFi Guides

Bitcoin Rally Not Yet Euphoric? Puell Multiple Suggests More Upside

by admin June 14, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Despite a recent slump in Bitcoin (BTC) price driven by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, overall market sentiment remains positive, with the leading cryptocurrency still trading in the mid-$100,000 range. Further, a key on-chain indicator suggests that the current BTC rally could still have more room to run.

Bitcoin Puell Multiple Suggests More Gains Ahead

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Gaah, Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple suggests that the ongoing bullish rally may be far from over. The on-chain metric is currently hovering near the discount zone, below 1.40.

Source: CryptoQuant

For the uninitiated, the Puell Multiple is an on-chain metric that compares the daily revenue earned by Bitcoin miners to its 365-day moving average (MA), helping to identify periods of potential market overvaluation or undervaluation. 

Historically, values below 1.0 tend to indicate miner stress or market accumulation phases, while significantly higher values may signal overheated conditions or potential market tops. Commenting on the indicator’s recent behavior, Gaah noted:

This behavior of the Puell Multiple suggests that, despite the significant price appreciation, miners’ revenues have yet to follow suit – signaling that the market may be being driven by external forces, such as institutional demand, ETFs, or tightening circulating supply.

The contributor also pointed to the drop in block rewards following the April 2024 halving, which has likely exacerbated the revenue gap for miners – even as BTC prices rise on the back of broader adoption.

Gaah concluded that current conditions may represent a “potential window of opportunity” to accumulate BTC. The combination of elevated prices and subdued miner fundamentals suggests that the current cycle may have more upside potential in the coming months.

BTC Showing Signs Of Euphoria?

Retail interest in BTC remains muted compared to prior cycle peaks, but institutional interest continues to grow as adoption increases. An expanding number of entities are accumulating BTC, showcasing Bitcoin’s maturation as a legitimate store of value.

For example, GameStop recently announced plans to raise $1.75 billion through convertible notes, shortly after purchasing 4,710 BTC. This move echoes strategies employed by companies like Metaplanet and Strategy, which have also used debt financing to boost their BTC exposure.

Meanwhile, bullish forecasts for a new BTC all-time high (ATH) continue to emerge. Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley recently predicted that BTC would likely face minimal resistance once it breaks past the $130,000 mark.

As for the timeline, crypto analyst Ted Pillows suggested that BTC could reach $130,000 as early as Q3 2025. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,793, down 2% in the past 24 hours.

BTC trades at $104,793 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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June 14, 2025 0 comments
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Why did Bitcoin just hit an all-time high?
Crypto Trends

Bitcoin rips all time high, derivatives traders not euphoric: Deep dive

by admin May 22, 2025



Bitcoin rallied past its previous all-time high in the USD and USDT markets on Wednesday and extended gains on Thursday, climbing to a peak of $111,880. Bitcoin’s breakout failed to usher euphoria among traders and the reaction on derivatives traders was muted, relative to previous BTC price rallies. 

Ethereum (ETH) struggles to attract institutional inflows even as ETH rallies alongside Bitcoin (BTC) in its price discovery. Altcoins in the top 50 cryptocurrencies ranked by market capitalization are in the green, rallying in the last 24 hours. 

Bitcoin derivatives analysis 

Analysts at 10xResearch and Amberdata are in agreement on the fact that spot market strength and not speculation, is driving gains in BTC. Bitcoin’s rally beyond $111,000 failed to kick in a euphoria among traders and the long/short ratio across top derivatives exchanges is above 1. While this indicates that traders are bullish on BTC and expect further gains, on previous instances like the 2017 and 2020 cycles, the ratio exceeded 2. 

The 24-hour liquidation data shows $175 million in shorts liquidations and over $47 million in long positions were liquidated. Bearish traders are being punished for betting against Bitcoin price rally, but the key question is, how high will Bitcoin go?

Bitcoin derivatives data analysis | Source: Coinglass

Bitcoin futures open interest chart on Coinglass shows a massive spike in OI. Open derivatives contracts in Bitcoin crossed a total of $78 billion in OI on May 22. OI is climbing alongside Bitcoin price, signaling strength in the BTC uptrend. Traders are confident of further gains in Bitcoin price. 

Bitcoin futures open interest | Source: Coinglass

Funding rate has been positive since May 8, consistency in the green bars in the funding rate chart below shows how derivatives traders are positioning themselves for further upside in Bitcoin. A positive funding rate fuels a bullish narrative for an asset, in the case of Bitcoin this supports a thesis of gains.

Bitcoin Funding Rate (USD-24h) | Source: Bitcoin Magazine Pro

Ethereum technical and derivatives analysis 

Ethereum on-chain data shows a slight increase in OI, less than 7% in the last 24 hours. In the same timeframe, the long and short liquidations in Ethereum were nearly the same amount, above $60 million. 

The long/short ratio across top derivatives exchanges is less than 1, even as options volume surged nearly 60%. There is no clear indication of a bullish or bearish bias among Ethereum’s derivatives traders. 

Ethereum derivatives data analysis shows the largest altcoin lags behind relative to Bitcoin, in terms of interest and activity from derivatives traders. 

Ethereum derivatives data analysis | Source: Coinglass

The open interest chart on Coinglass shows, even as ETH breaks past $2,600, the OI lags levels previously seen in January and February 2025. A successful implementation of the latest technical upgrade failed to fuel a bullish sentiment among traders and catalyze gains in the altcoin. 

Ethereum futures open interest (USD) | Source: Coinglass

The ETH/USDT daily price chart shows ETH is currently trading 12% below its psychologically important target of $3,000. ETH has established support at $2,415, and further gains are likely as RSI slopes upwards and MACD flashes green histogram bars above the neutral line. 

Ethereum’s target is the $4,578 level, as seen in the ETH/USDT price chart. The altcoin’s previous all-time high is the $4,878 level. 

ETH/USDT daily price chart | Source: Crypto.news

Crypto trader sentiment and why euphoria is missing

The Fear and Greed Index Chart on CoinMarketCap shows that even as Bitcoin enters price discovery, the levels of “Greed” observed in November 2024 were the highest. Trader sentiment is not as euphoric as one might expect, at the time of writing it reads 73. 

Extreme greed is typically correlated with cycle peaks or yearly tops. Above $110,000 Bitcoin is still lagging in terms of bullish sentiment among traders. 

This may be a positive sign as it supports the thesis that the cycle top is still away and traders are likely waiting and watching for the next pullback and rally in BTC. 

Fear and Greed Index chart | Source: CMC

How high can Bitcoin go?

Bitcoin’s target is the $122,000 level that coincides with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement of its 50% rally from April 7 low to May 22 peak. BTC is currently less than 10% away from its target and technical indicators on the daily price chart support likelihood of further gains. 

RSI is sloping upwards and crossed into the “overvalued” zone and MACD flashes consecutive green histogram bars. If Bitcoin tests resistance at $122,000 and breaks past this level, the next target at $127,352 comes into play. 

The $127,352 target is the 141.4% Fibonacci retracement level for Bitcoin in its ongoing upward trend. While analysts at Bernstein pushed their target for Bitcoin to $200,000 in 2025, it is likely that BTC crosses the $127,000 level before June 2025, based on its gains since April 2025. 

BTC/USDT daily price chart | Source: Crypto.news

Shubh Varma, the CEO of Hyblock Capital told Crypto.news that from a technical perspective, he sees the most reliable support zone between $101,000 and $102,500. Exchanges like Binance and Bybit have seen “heavy open interest entries that trap shorts and attract fresh longs,” in this zone. 

Bitcoin pushed above resistance between the $105,000 and $106,000 level early on Thursday. It remains to be seen how long Bitcoin holds above the FVGs on the daily timeframe. 

Bitfinex analysts told Crypto.news in a written note that the team is watching minor liquidity walls between $114,000 and $118,000 and the $123,000 to $125,000 zone is where large options open interest is building. These are key areas of interest for traders to watch in the coming weeks of May 2025. 

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.



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May 22, 2025 0 comments
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