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Crypto Will Surge On Fed Moves And Market Isn't Ready: Economist
Crypto Trends

Crypto Will Surge On Fed Moves And Market Isn’t Ready: Economist

by admin September 20, 2025



Crypto market participants may be underestimating how aggressive the US Federal Reserve will be in shifting its policy direction, according to an economist.

“Markets are underpricing the likelihood of rapid rate cuts in the coming months on the part of the Federal Reserve,” economist Timothy Peterson told Cointelegraph on Friday.

“There has never been a gradual reduction in rates like that currently envisioned by the Fed,” Peterson said, explaining that he expects “the surprise effect” to kick in and potentially catch the market offside.

“It will jolt Bitcoin and alts up substantially, and I think that will happen in the next 3-9 months.”

Peterson’s comments come just days after the Fed implemented its first rate cut of 2025 on Sept. 17 by 25 basis points. The rate cut was widely anticipated, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing a 96% probability of a quarter-point cut and just a 4% chance of a 50-point reduction in the hours leading up to the announcement.

Market is anticipating another rate cut in October

Bitcoin (BTC) briefly surged to $117,000 hours before the Fed’s rate cut announcement but has since retreated to levels seen in the days prior, trading at $115,570 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin is up 1.03% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

CME data shows that market participants are pricing in a 91.9% chance of another 25 basis point rate cut at the Oct. 29 meeting, with only an 8.1% probability that rates remain unchanged.

Related: Bitcoin price forecasts eye $110K target as $4.9T options expiry arrives

Fed officials said they expect two more quarter-point rate cuts this year. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said, “We’re not on a pre-set path.”

Financial institutions were split on Fed’s September move

Some financial institutions expected a more aggressive rate cut at the September meeting, with Standard Chartered forecasting a 50 basis point reduction.

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, however, was more confident that the Fed would stick to a 25 basis point cut.

Lowering interest rates tends to be bullish for risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies, as traditional investments like bonds and term deposits become less lucrative to investors.

Magazine: Meet the Ethereum and Polkadot co-founder who wasn’t in Time Magazine



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September 20, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin and the crypto market braced as economist warns on the Fed cuts
NFT Gaming

Bitcoin and the crypto market braced as economist warns on the Fed cuts

by admin August 28, 2025



Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are on edge as a top economist, whom Donald Trump nominated to the Federal Reserve in 2019, downplayed the impact of the upcoming interest rate cut. 

Summary

  • Stephen Moore, a top US economist, has downplayed the impact of the coming Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
  • He believes that the main interest rate that the Fed should cut is the Interest on Reserves.
  • The main potential catalyst for the crypto market will be the October ETF approvals.

Bitcoin (BTC) price was trading at $112,645 at press time, up by 3.7% from its lowest level this month. Other top altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana were largely flat, while the market capitalization of all tokens remained at $3.9 trillion. 

Crypto market on edge as Stephen Moore downplays impact of Fed cuts

One of the main catalysts driving the crypto market this week is a recent statement by Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium in which he signaled that the bank may consider cutting interest rates in the upcoming meeting in September, citing the weak labor market.

The Fed rate cut everyone’s talking about might miss the real problem.

Jerome Powell hinted at cutting rates and markets celebrated. But here’s what Wall Street isn’t telling you:

The Federal Funds Rate cut won’t do much because barely any banks use it anymore.
The REAL rate to… pic.twitter.com/QG0mBMecSJ

— Stephen Moore (@StephenMoore) August 26, 2025

However, in a statement, Stephen Moore, a senior economist at the Heritage Foundation, said that the cut will not do much for the economy, and potentially for assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies.

He argues that the Federal Reserve interest rate has largely become irrelevant now that banks don’t use it anymore.

Instead, he argued that the bank should consider cutting the Interest on Reserve or IoR, which stands at 4.4%.

IoR is the interest that banks earn for storing money at the Federal Reserve, a figure that currently stands at $3.5 trillion. Banks earned about $186 billion from the IoR last year  

The other potential risk is that the Federal Reserve may opt for a hawkish interest rate cut in September. This is where it cuts rates but delivers a restrictive outlook on monetary policy.

The case for a hawkish cut is that the economy is sending mixed signals, with the GDP data released on Thursday being better than expected and inflation remaining significantly higher than the Fed’s target of 2.0%.

ETF approvals to be the main catalyst 

The main catalyst for the crypto market will be the upcoming ETF approvals by the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The agency has delayed most of the ETF approvals, including on popular tokens like Solana (SOL) and Ripple (XRP), to October.

After several delays, the Paul Atkins-led agency will likely move ahead and accept or reject them. Polymarket odds are that the agency will ultimately approve top ETFs, including Dogecoin, Solana, Hedera Hashgraph, and XRP.

Current data indicate a demand for altcoin ETFs, as evidenced by the surging inflows into the Ethereum ETF. Other futures-based altcoin funds like XXRP, SSK, and UXRP have also had substantial inflows a few months after their launch.





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August 28, 2025 0 comments
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CoinDesk News Image
NFT Gaming

Stablecoins Offer Beijing What e-CNY Can’t in Cross-Border Use, Economist Says

by admin August 28, 2025



Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.

China’s growing focus on stablecoins is less about embracing crypto and more about defending its currency from U.S. dollar dominance, says Dr. Vera Yuen of Hong Kong University’s Business School, who argues the shift highlights offshore opportunities but also deep domestic limits.

Beijing’s shift comes as Washington moved first to create a regulatory framework for the stablecoin industry in the U.S. Reuters recently reported that China’s State Council is reviewing a roadmap for yuan-backed stablecoins later this month, with Hong Kong and Shanghai expected to fast-track adoption.

In an earlier interview, Animoca Group president Evan Auyang told CoinDesk the trigger was the U.S. GENIUS Act, which cements dollar-pegged tokens as part of global finance.

He said the law is “pressuring China to act a lot faster,” pushing Beijing to consider stablecoins not as speculative instruments, as once described by the People’s Bank of China, but as necessary infrastructure to keep pace in global trade and settlement.

Yuen said the government first prioritized the e-CNY, its Central Bank Digital Currency, because it offered control, traceability, and seigniorage profits — features that regulators valued over those of privately issued tokens. But she noted that stablecoins have a clear edge in international use.

“Many CBDCs are developed for domestic use, so for international use of CBDCs, there is a big problem of interoperability of different systems. Stablecoins are designed to be used internationally, so it can be a better option for cross-border transactions,” she told CoinDesk.

“Focusing on stablecoins allows China to respond proactively to global regulatory debates and technological advances, ensuring it remains competitive and prepared as the digital currency landscape evolves,” Yuen continued.

Capital controls still mean any yuan token will stay offshore, with Hong Kong’s new regime providing the testing ground. However, limited CNH liquidity underscores how narrow the runway is for China’s internationalization push.

“This would limit the issuance of offshore renminbi stablecoins, constraining its attractiveness as a means of payment,” Yuen said.

China is also not moving in isolation.

In Japan, Monex Group is preparing to issue a yen-backed stablecoin tied to government bonds, joining other domestic players such as SBI and JPYC.

Unlike China, however, where capital controls push experimentation offshore, Japan’s regulators are laying the groundwork for stablecoins to circulate at home, signaling Asia’s broader race to keep pace with U.S. dollar tokens.

For now, Beijing’s stablecoin experiment looks less like a replacement for the e-CNY and more like a cautious complement, a way to extend the yuan’s reach abroad without loosening its grip at home.

Market Movements

BTC: BTC held at $111K as Nvidia posted strong earnings.

ETH: ETH is trading at $4,500, and history shows that a green August often precedes a 60% year-end rally, though typically after a September dip.

Gold: Gold traded Wednesday at $3,443 per ounce, up 1.6% from Tuesday’s close, extending a 37% year-over-year rally, though prices slipped in early trading as attention turned to Nvidia earnings and Trump’s Fed feud.

S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 0.2% Wednesday, pushing Wall Street to a new all-time high ahead of Nvidia’s earnings.

Elsewhere in Crypto

  • Former Polymarket exec raises $15 million from Coinbase and USV for rival prediction platform (The Block)
  • Finastra Taps Circle to Bring USDC Settlement to $5T Global Cross-Border Payments (CoinDesk)
  • Know Your Issuer’: This Tech Combats Counterfeit Coins, Starting With USDC and PYUSD (Decrypt)



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August 28, 2025 0 comments
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Harvard Economist Who Predicted That Bitcoin Was More Likely to Hit $100 Than $100K Finally Speaks Out
NFT Gaming

Harvard Economist Who Predicted That Bitcoin Was More Likely to Hit $100 Than $100K Finally Speaks Out

by admin August 19, 2025


Kenneth Rogoff, professor of economics at Harvard University, has taken to the X social media network to address his awful Bitcoin call, which recently went viral on social media. 

He has outlined the main reasons why his prediction went so terribly wrong, with the lack of “sensible” regulation being one of them. 

$100,000 instead of $100

In March 2018, Rogoff told CNBC that Bitcoin was “a lot more likely” to plunge to $100 than surge to $10,000 a decade from then. 

The economist insisted that the cryptocurrency was being primarily used for laundering money and evading taxes, arguing that it failed to gain significant traction as a transaction vehicle. 

Back then, the esteemed Harvard professor, who has published several influential papers, argued that a global regulatory crackdown would make the price of the cryptocurrency plunge lower. 

Back then, the cryptocurrency was coming off a massive bull run that propelled its price to nearly $20,000. In May 2018, however, the cryptocurrency was trading at just roughly $11,000 after a substantial correction. It went on to plunge to $3,112 in December 2018 following a truly brutal bear market. 

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Fast-forward to 2025, however, Bitcoin is now trading at $113,260 after recently reaching a new record high of $124,128.

Key reasons behind this terrible call 

While addressing his horrible Bitcoin price prediction, Rogoff admitted that he was “far too optimistic” about the US “coming to its senses” about the necessity to rein in crypto with “sensible” regulation. 

He also claims that he did not expect Bitcoin to compete with fiat currencies as a transaction medium. 

Finally, he never expects regulators to fully embrace crypto while allegedly ignoring conflicts of interest. 

So, where is Bitcoin heading next? 

As reported by U.Today, commodity trader Peter Brandt previously claimed that there was a 30% chance that Bitcoin had peaked. 

However, he now claims that such odds could be higher after Bitcoin recently plunged below $113,000, underperforming in tandem with the Nasdaq index. 



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August 19, 2025 0 comments
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