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Divergence

Dogecoin price reverses at $0.22 support as RSI confirms bullish divergence

by admin October 1, 2025

Dogecoin price has confirmed a hidden bullish divergence after defending support at $0.22. With consecutive higher lows intact, the setup points to a potential rally toward $0.34 if volume continues to build.

Summary

Dogecoin defended $0.22 support at the POC and 0.618 Fibonacci confluence.
Hidden bullish divergence signals potential continuation of the uptrend.
Breakout above the value area high could drive price toward $0.34.

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price action has taken on a bullish character following a successful defense of the $0.22 confluence zone, where both the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the point of control (POC) overlap. This region has provided a technical base for a hidden bullish divergence, a powerful signal that often precedes upward continuation.

With market structure still showing higher lows and momentum building, traders are watching closely for Dogecoin’s attempt to reclaim the value area high, a critical resistance that has capped price in prior rallies. Supporting this outlook, Dogecoin is eyeing a potential 25% rally as ETF inflows accelerate, adding fundamental momentum to the technical setup.”

Dogecoin price key technical points

Hidden bullish divergence confirmed after defending $0.22 support.
Price action remains above the point of control and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
Immediate target lies at $0.34, with the value area high as the critical resistance to reclaim.

DOGEUSDT (1D) Chart, Source: TradingView

Dogecoin has successfully defended the $0.22 support region, where multiple technical confluences converge. The overlap of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement with the point of control created a strong foundation for buyers to step in. This has now led to the confirmation of a hidden bullish divergence, a pattern that reinforces the strength of the existing uptrend and often acts as a precursor to fresh bullish momentum.

The next major obstacle for Dogecoin lies at the value area high (VAH). Previous rallies failed at this level, as price action was rejected multiple times without sufficient volume follow-through. However, the current structure presents a more compelling case for bulls, as momentum is now supported by improving volume inflows. Sustained buying activity at these levels will be essential for Dogecoin to break through the VAH with conviction and accelerate toward the $0.34 resistance zone.

From a market structure perspective, Dogecoin remains firmly bullish in the short term. Consecutive higher lows continue to define the uptrend, signaling that demand has persisted even during corrective moves.

If price manages to establish a higher high above the $0.34 region, it would confirm continuation of the macro bullish trend and open the door for extended upside targets.

What to expect in the coming price action

As long as Dogecoin maintains support above $0.22 and continues trading above the POC, momentum favors the bulls. The immediate test remains the value area high, which needs to be reclaimed for the bullish divergence to fully materialize.

If this breakout is sustained with volume confirmation, a rally toward $0.34 becomes the next logical move, setting the stage for further upside in the weeks ahead.

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October 1, 2025 0 comments

WIF coin price bullish divergence suggests a bottom

Crypto Trends

Dogwifhat price corrects into $0.75 support with a hidden bullish divergence, is the bottom near?

by admin October 1, 2025

Dogwifhat’s price is holding a critical high-timeframe support at $0.75, supported by Fibonacci and value area confluence. A hidden bullish divergence suggests conditions for a potential reversal higher.

Summary

Dogwifhat is holding $0.75 support, a key confluence zone with Fibonacci and value area low.
Hidden bullish divergence between price and RSI indicates potential strength.
Volume confirmation is essential for a rotation back toward $1.40 resistance.

Dogwifhat’s (WIF) price action has returned to an important support region following a failed reclaim of the point of control (POC). This level, anchored at $0.75, coincides with the value area low and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, making it a decisive point for market structure.

Adding to this, WIFStrategy acquired 500,000 WIF tokens, adding weight to the bullish outlook as the asset positions for potential further gains. A successful defense here could maintain the bullish trajectory that has characterized WIF’s broader uptrend and prevent deeper retracements that might otherwise break the bullish structure.

Dogwifhat price key technical points

$0.75 High-Timeframe Support: Critical level aligning with the value area low and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
Failed POC Reclaim: Price rejection at the POC redirected momentum lower, retesting key support.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Price forming higher lows while RSI prints lower lows signals a potential bottom.

WIFUSDT (1D) Chart, Source: TradingView

The rejection from the POC has set the stage for an important test at $0.75. This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in previous cycles, and its overlap with both the Fibonacci retracement and the value area low increases its technical importance. If buyers successfully defend this region, WIF will be able to print another higher low within its broader uptrend, keeping intact the sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This would reinforce the view that the price is only consolidating before another leg upward.

A failure at this level, however, would weaken the bullish case. Breaking below $0.75 would put Dogwifhat into a riskier position, opening up liquidity gaps and exposing lower support zones. As such, the next several sessions around this level are likely to define WIF’s near-term direction.

Dogwifhat RSI, Source: TradingView

One of the most important factors supporting a bullish scenario is the emergence of a hidden bullish divergence. On the price chart, WIF has been forming a higher low, while the RSI indicator has simultaneously been posting a lower low. This discrepancy is often read as a powerful continuation signal, suggesting that buyers may be absorbing selling pressure and preparing for a renewed upside push.

Still, divergences require confirmation, and in this case, that means volume inflows. Without a surge of buying activity to back up the divergence, the signal risks losing its effectiveness. If bullish volume returns, however, it could serve as the catalyst for WIF to break out of its consolidation and retest range highs.

What to expect in the coming price action

If $0.75 continues to hold, Dogwifhat is well positioned to form a higher low and rotate back toward the $1.40 resistance level. The bullish divergence on the RSI adds further weight to this setup, provided that volume inflows confirm the move.

A defense of this support would strengthen the broader bullish market structure, while a failure could shift sentiment bearish and invalidate the current setup.

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October 1, 2025 0 comments

NFT Gaming

Bitcoin’s Slump Widens Safe Haven Divergence for Gold

by admin September 24, 2025

In brief

Bitcoin has dropped 5% since last Thursday, while gold has surged nearly 5% to record highs.
The growing divergence could be linked to institutional investors’ preference for gold as a safe-haven asset amid macroeconomic uncertainty, Decrypt was told.
If history repeats, the top crypto is likely to outperform the precious metal as the risk tolerance increases and capital rotates into Bitcoin.

Gold’s uptrend amid Bitcoin’s downturn has driven a wedge between the two safe-haven assets, with experts noting that this increasing divergence is a result of macroeconomic uncertainty, which has pushed investors to reassess their risk appetites.

Though Bitcoin is often referred to as a safe-haven asset or digital gold, it has failed to match gold’s bullish momentum. Since last Thursday, the top crypto has dropped roughly 5% while the precious metal has notched a 5% gain and set a new record high of $3,791.

“Part of gold’s newly found strength in recent weeks lies in strong sovereign and central bank demand,” Farzam Ehsani, CEO and co-founder of crypto exchange VALR, told Decrypt. The aggressive accumulation comes from countries like China and Russia using gold as a “geopolitical buffer and a hedge against the U.S. dollar dominance.”

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is in the “early stages of its institutional adoption,” which is why investors are “skeptical” whether the bellwether crypto can fulfill its digital gold narrative, Ehsani added.

The 90-day change in ETF inflows between gold and Bitcoin shows that while the precious metal has attracted $18.5 billion as of September, Bitcoin’s inflows stand at just under $10 billion, according to BOLD Report data.

Bitcoin’s performance has historically improved once the Federal Reserve begins cutting interest rates. Under these conditions, the top crypto plays catch up, outperforming the traditional safe-haven asset, Decrypt previously reported.

“Gold moves first, Bitcoin follows 1–2 months later,” Ryan McMillin, chief investment officer at crypto fund manager Merkle Tree Capital, recently told Decrypt.

As private risk-tolerant capital flows in, Bitcoin typically outperforms gold, as the digital asset accounts for roughly one-tenth of the precious metal’s market capitalization, McMillin noted.

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September 24, 2025 0 comments

Crypto Trends

What Does Divergence From Stocks Mean?

by admin September 24, 2025

Much has been made of bitcoin’s underperformance to gold — which Tuesday hit yet another in a long series of records, crossing above $3,800 per ounce for the first time. But gold isn’t the only asset partying while bitcoin stagnates under $115,000.

U.S. stocks have also been notching record highs on what seems to be a daily basis, including bellwether S&P 500 index, which is perched just below the 6,700 level.

Even with BTC struggling of late, the world’s largest crypto remains in a bull market and this isn’t the first time this cycle its performance has diverged from that of the S&P 500.

The first divergence occurred between March and July of 2024. During this period, the S&P 500 climbed from around 4,000 to 4,600, while bitcoin declined from just under $30,000 to $25,000.

The second divergence took place later that year when the S&P 500 rallied from 5,200 to 6,000 from April to October. with only a brief summer pause. Bitcoin, however, did not follow, with its rally not beginning until November (alongside the presidential election results).

As for this most recent divergence, the S&P 500 since May has moved steadily higher, while bitcoin has consolidated within the $110,000 to $120,000 range. Bitcoin did break to new all time highs in August, but those gains were quickly reversed, with BTC returning to the low end of its previous range.

History suggests that while bitcoin and the S&P 500 often move in the same general direction, they periodically diverge for extended periods. The data from at least this current cycle suggests that bitcoin is likely to catch up to gold.

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September 24, 2025 0 comments

Crypto Trends

Bitcoin Climbs as Long-Term Risk Falls: Healthy Market Divergence Forms

by admin September 19, 2025

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Bitcoin is at a pivotal juncture as the market digests Wednesday’s 25bps interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, a decision that has shifted market dynamics into a new phase. Following the announcement, BTC has entered a period of consolidation, with price holding steady as investors weigh the potential for another leg higher. While short-term volatility remains a factor, sentiment leans bullish as traders anticipate a breakout that could push Bitcoin closer to its all-time highs.

Top analyst Axel Adler highlighted a critical structural development in the market. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s price is rising while Long-Term Risk is falling, an unusual but constructive divergence. This is happening because the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price is climbing faster, driven by expensive Short-Term Holder (STH) coins maturing into the long-term cohort. In practice, this means newer, higher-cost basis coins are balancing out older, cheaper ones, leading to what Adler calls a “healthy LTH profit reset.”

This dynamic reduces overheating risk, keeping market structure strong and supportive of further trend continuation. As a result, despite caution from some analysts, the long-term outlook remains favorable, setting the stage for decisive moves in the coming weeks.

Long-Term Risk Dynamics Signal Healthy Bitcoin Cycle

Axel Adler explains that since March, Bitcoin’s Long-Term Risk has been steadily declining, reflecting a constructive shift in market structure. The key driver behind this decline is that the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price has been rising faster than the spot price. This divergence creates a bullish signal, suggesting that Bitcoin’s underlying health is improving, even as price consolidates.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder MVRV Dashboard | Source: Axel Adler

The mechanics behind this trend lie in the maturation of coins. Many were purchased during spring and summer at higher valuations and are now crossing the six-month threshold, officially transitioning into the LTH cohort. These newer coins have a higher cost basis, which pushes the LTH Realized Price upward at a faster pace than spot itself. Because of this, the LTH MVRV ratio (a measure of unrealized profits) does not inflate, and normalized Long-Term Risk falls despite rising price.

At the same time, older, cheaper coins are being distributed and exiting the LTH pool, while newer, more expensive ones are entering. This rotation compresses the LTH profit multiple without requiring a decline in spot price. The effect is powerful: each time Bitcoin pushes to a new all-time high, Long-Term Risk increases only modestly, while fresh demand from Short-Term Holders (STH) absorbs the supply flowing from LTH.

This process creates a bullish divergence where price trends higher but risk remains contained. Adler stresses that this structure allows the cycle to extend further, making it possible for Bitcoin to climb toward new highs without the typical overheating conditions that marked previous tops. In other words, Bitcoin’s long-term foundation remains strong, and the market could sustain a prolonged bullish phase driven by fresh capital inflows and healthier profit distribution dynamics.

Testing Resistance Before Breakout

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $116,781, with the chart showing price action consolidating just below a major resistance at $123,217. This level has repeatedly acted as a barrier over the past months, making it a crucial threshold for bulls to break in order to confirm a new upward leg.

BTC consolidates below $118K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The recent bounce from the $112,000–113,000 zone, supported by the 100-day SMA, reflects renewed buying interest after a period of weakness. The 50-day SMA has also turned upward, aligning close to spot price and signaling improving short-term momentum. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA, currently around $103,200, remains comfortably below, confirming that Bitcoin’s broader trend is still bullish.

For now, BTC is moving within a constructive setup: higher lows have formed since early September, suggesting buyers are gradually regaining control. However, without a decisive breakout above $117,500–118,000, price could remain rangebound before attempting to retest the $123K resistance.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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September 19, 2025 0 comments

Crypto Trends

XRP Paints Critical Divergence, Dogecoin (DOGE): Last Chance, Explosive Solana (SOL) Rally Now?

by admin August 21, 2025

Dogecoin rises above
Solana’s ascent

With its price resting on a support trendline, and momentum waning, XRP is approaching a critical phase as technical indicators generate conflicting signals. With an ascending diagonal pattern, and the 50-day EMA defining a key support zone, the asset is currently trading at about $2.87.

The Relative Strength Index provides a different narrative. A bearish divergence has been formed by the RSI’s downward trend over the past month, even though XRP’s price has maintained higher lows. If support fails, this kind of setup frequently portends possible breakdowns and indicates waning buying momentum.

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingView

The RSI, which is close to 41, suggests that XRP is getting close to oversold territory, but if there is not any new volume, the divergence may continue into more significant corrections.

In addition to the cautious outlook, trading volume has been declining steadily since the peak in July, which was around $3.70. This decline in participation shows that bulls are becoming less confident, which makes XRP susceptible to more aggressive movements should selling pressure pick up speed.

Historically, either breakdowns or sharp rebounds have been preceded by declining volume during consolidation phases; however, given the divergence, the bias is more toward downside risk.

XRP must protect the $2.80-$2.78 range in the near future. A strong decline toward $2.45, the level that the 200-day EMA supports, might be triggered by a clear break below.

Dogecoin rises above

The asset is currently trading at $0.212, just above a support zone intersection that includes the 200-day EMA, and an upward trendline that dates back to July. Although price action indicates waning momentum, and the potential for the final support level to give way soon, this alignment has so far served as a safety net for DOGE.

Every time the ascending trendline has been tested in the last two weeks, lower highs have been produced, indicating a waning of buying pressure. The volume has been decreasing at the same time, indicating that market players are not as dedicated to holding DOGE at these levels.

Solana’s ascent

Its price is situated directly on an ascending trendline that has been driving its bullish momentum since July. As long as this technical structure holds, there is hope for one more leg upward. Nevertheless, there are some issues with the setup, because volume and momentum indicators present a more cautious picture.

The way that the moving averages interact with Solana’s current chart is one of its main advantages. The major EMAs have converged after months of divergence, offering a robust cluster of dynamic support below the price. This alignment frequently indicates that the trend is structurally stable, providing buyers with a buffer against any short-term weakness.