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BNB Climbs 3.5% as Fed Rate Cut Bets Fuel Rally Past Key Resistance

by admin October 2, 2025



BNB rallied more than 3.5% in the last 24 hours, tracking broader gains across the crypto market as expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut firmed.

The token rose from a session low of $1,017.44 to more than $1,050, marking a breakout above key resistance levels in the session. The rise comes on the back of an unexpected drop in U.S. private payrolls that adds to a growing list of signals that the Fed may begin easing monetary policy sooner than expected.

With official jobs data paused due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, traders have leaned heavily on the weak ADP report, which showed a 32,000 job loss in September against expectations for a gain. Derivatives markets now price in near certainty of a 25 basis point cut later this month.

BNB’s price action mirrored that sentiment shift. After dipping mid-session, the token bounced off the $1,020 support level and climbed steadily into the close, driven by volume that exceeded the 24-hour average, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model.

Traders pushed BNB through the $1,035 resistance in the rally, which saw the broader crypto market move up 2.25%, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index.

BNB’s outperformance of the wider market reflects token-specific catalysts. Earlier this week, BNB Chain reduced its minimum gas fee to 0.05 Gwei, making the network one of the cheapest among major blockchains.

Meanwhile, Kazakhstan’s state-backed Alem Crypto Fund named BNB as its first investment asset. The fund’s goal is to build long-term reserves of digital assets and signals rising adoption at the sovereign level.

BNB also weathered a brief security incident during the session when the BNB Chain’s X account was compromised. Hackers made off with about $13,000 before the issue was resolved and the community rallied behind it.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.



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October 2, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin Climbs as Long-Term Risk Falls: Healthy Market Divergence Forms
Crypto Trends

Bitcoin Climbs as Long-Term Risk Falls: Healthy Market Divergence Forms

by admin September 19, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is at a pivotal juncture as the market digests Wednesday’s 25bps interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, a decision that has shifted market dynamics into a new phase. Following the announcement, BTC has entered a period of consolidation, with price holding steady as investors weigh the potential for another leg higher. While short-term volatility remains a factor, sentiment leans bullish as traders anticipate a breakout that could push Bitcoin closer to its all-time highs.

Top analyst Axel Adler highlighted a critical structural development in the market. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s price is rising while Long-Term Risk is falling, an unusual but constructive divergence. This is happening because the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price is climbing faster, driven by expensive Short-Term Holder (STH) coins maturing into the long-term cohort. In practice, this means newer, higher-cost basis coins are balancing out older, cheaper ones, leading to what Adler calls a “healthy LTH profit reset.”

This dynamic reduces overheating risk, keeping market structure strong and supportive of further trend continuation. As a result, despite caution from some analysts, the long-term outlook remains favorable, setting the stage for decisive moves in the coming weeks.

Long-Term Risk Dynamics Signal Healthy Bitcoin Cycle

Axel Adler explains that since March, Bitcoin’s Long-Term Risk has been steadily declining, reflecting a constructive shift in market structure. The key driver behind this decline is that the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price has been rising faster than the spot price. This divergence creates a bullish signal, suggesting that Bitcoin’s underlying health is improving, even as price consolidates.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder MVRV Dashboard | Source: Axel Adler

The mechanics behind this trend lie in the maturation of coins. Many were purchased during spring and summer at higher valuations and are now crossing the six-month threshold, officially transitioning into the LTH cohort. These newer coins have a higher cost basis, which pushes the LTH Realized Price upward at a faster pace than spot itself. Because of this, the LTH MVRV ratio (a measure of unrealized profits) does not inflate, and normalized Long-Term Risk falls despite rising price.

At the same time, older, cheaper coins are being distributed and exiting the LTH pool, while newer, more expensive ones are entering. This rotation compresses the LTH profit multiple without requiring a decline in spot price. The effect is powerful: each time Bitcoin pushes to a new all-time high, Long-Term Risk increases only modestly, while fresh demand from Short-Term Holders (STH) absorbs the supply flowing from LTH.

This process creates a bullish divergence where price trends higher but risk remains contained. Adler stresses that this structure allows the cycle to extend further, making it possible for Bitcoin to climb toward new highs without the typical overheating conditions that marked previous tops. In other words, Bitcoin’s long-term foundation remains strong, and the market could sustain a prolonged bullish phase driven by fresh capital inflows and healthier profit distribution dynamics.

Testing Resistance Before Breakout

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $116,781, with the chart showing price action consolidating just below a major resistance at $123,217. This level has repeatedly acted as a barrier over the past months, making it a crucial threshold for bulls to break in order to confirm a new upward leg.

BTC consolidates below $118K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The recent bounce from the $112,000–113,000 zone, supported by the 100-day SMA, reflects renewed buying interest after a period of weakness. The 50-day SMA has also turned upward, aligning close to spot price and signaling improving short-term momentum. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA, currently around $103,200, remains comfortably below, confirming that Bitcoin’s broader trend is still bullish.

For now, BTC is moving within a constructive setup: higher lows have formed since early September, suggesting buyers are gradually regaining control. However, without a decisive breakout above $117,500–118,000, price could remain rangebound before attempting to retest the $123K resistance.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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September 19, 2025 0 comments
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GameFi Guides

XRP Climbs as First US Spot ETF Sees Serious Demand

by admin September 18, 2025



In brief

  • The first American spot ETF giving exposure to XRP debuted on Thursday.
  • Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas was surprised at the size of the Rex-Osprey XRP ETF’s initial trading volume.
  • The price of XRP has risen over the last day, and Myriad users believe it’ll keep climbing to a new high of $4.

The price of XRP rose on Thursday after investors rushed into the first U.S. exchange-traded spot fund to give exposure to the coin. 

The price of XRP coin recently stood at $3.11 after rising about 2% over a 24-hour period, according to crypto data provider CoinGecko. The asset—the third-largest cryptocurrency in the ecosystem—is about 15% below its July all-time high mark of $3.65.

Its rise comes following Thursday’s debut of the Rex-Osprey XRP ETF by financial institutions Rex Shares and Osprey Funds. The fund is the first to give investors exposure to the Ripple-linked asset, and has already received close to $25 million in trading volume after just 90 minutes of trading.

SEMI-SHOCK: Rex XRP ETF $XRPP is already at $24m in volume. That is way more than I would have thought. For context it’s 5x more than any of the XRP futures ETFs did on Day One and it’s only been 90min. pic.twitter.com/DKIDD6noZF

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) September 18, 2025

Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas said on X that he was in “semi-shock” at the volume, which was vastly more than XRP futures ETFs saw in initial trading.

“That is way more than I would have thought,” he added. “For context, it’s 5x more than any of the XRP futures ETFs did on day one and it’s only been 90 minutes.”



XRP was created by the founders of fintech Ripple, and is the native token of the XRP Ledger blockchain. Its network is aimed at institutions or banks that wish to move money quickly. 

The Rex-Osprey XRP ETF comes the same day the first ever Dogecoin ETF hits U.S. markets, also by Rex-Osprey: the DOJE ETF. 

DOJE has also had a blistering debut and the price of the meme coin has surged on the ETF’s trading. Balchunas also said Thursday that DOJE attracted nearly $6 million in trading volume in the first hour of trading, which he said “destroyed” his expectation of $2.5 million for the day.

Both ETFs are different to the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs that hit the market last year in the U.S. The altcoin ETFs offer investors exposure to Dogecoin and XRP via a subsidiary registered in the Cayman Islands that is wholly owned and controlled by the fund.

Rex-Osprey launched the funds via the Investment Company Act of 1940, rather than the Securities Act of 1933 like those aforementioned spot funds. We may see more ETFs for both altcoins and many others soon, however, following a Wednesday SEC order that created generic listing standards for commodity-based funds.

While there’s still room to climb for XRP to hit a new all-time high price, Myriad users believe that it’s more likely to rise and hit a price of $4—a new all-time high—than to fall to $2. Some 60% of users believe it’s headed to $4, with odds growing over the last two weeks.

(Disclaimer: Myriad is a product of DASTAN, Decrypt’s parent company.)

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September 18, 2025 0 comments
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SUI Group’s treasury climbs to $344m after fresh 20m token addition
GameFi Guides

SUI Group’s treasury climbs to $344m after fresh 20m token addition

by admin September 4, 2025



SUI Group Holdings has cemented its status as a titan within the Sui ecosystem. Its recent acquisition of 20 million tokens brings its total stash to over $344 million, making it a dominant force in the token’s economy.

Summary

  • SUI Group Holdings added 20 million SUI tokens, lifting its treasury to 101.8 million, valued at $344 million.
  • The Nasdaq-listed firm trades under SUIG and has exclusive access to discounted SUI via the Sui Foundation.
  • SUI rose over 4% following the announcement, trading between $3.25 and $3.40.

According to a press release dated September 3, the Minnesota-based company, which trades on the Nasdaq under the ticker SUIG, systematically added another 20 million Sui (SUI) tokens to its coffers.

The accumulation, executed under a unique arrangement with the Sui Foundation, pushes its total holdings to 101.8 million SUI, valued at over $344 million at current market rates. Chief Investment Officer Stephen Mackintosh said the move underscores the firm’s “conviction in the transformative potential of the SUI blockchain,” adding that it plans to continue seeking “accretive capital raises” to fund further purchases.

The strategy behind the SUI accumulation

SUI Group’s official relationship with the Sui Foundation grants it exclusive access to purchase discounted, locked SUI tokens directly from the source, unlocking a significant cost-basis advantage over the open market.

By maintaining substantial liquidity, approximately $58 million, according to the release, the firm positions itself to continue acquiring discounted locked tokens, a strategy designed to scale its treasury while optimizing value for shareholders.

To leverage its massive position, the company is not passively holding. The treasury update confirms that substantially all of the 101.8 million SUI is being actively staked on the network. This generates an estimated 2.2% annual yield, which currently translates to roughly $20,000 in daily staking rewards, SUI Group said.

For shareholders, the company has introduced a crucial metric dubbed SUI per share. As of September 2, that figure stands at 1.14. This is calculated by dividing the total treasury of 101.8 million SUI by the fully adjusted share count of 89.1 million common shares outstanding.

The metric provides a transparent measure of value, showing exactly how much of the underlying asset each share of SUIG stock represents. The increase from 0.92 SUI per share just weeks prior demonstrates the strategy’s immediate impact in concentrating asset ownership for each shareholder.

Following the announcement, SUI traded up more than 4%, rising from a daily low of $3.25 to as high as $3.40, though it remains well below its January peak of $5.35.



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September 4, 2025 0 comments
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(CoinDesk Data)
NFT Gaming

BTC’s Realized Cap Climbs to $1.05T Despite Price Pullback

by admin September 1, 2025



Bitcoin’s (BTC) realized capitalization, an on-chain metric that measures the value of coins at the price they last transacted, has continued rising even as the spot price drops, signaling investor conviction to the network and an indication the economic backbone of the largest cryptocurrency is strengthening.

After first crossing $1 trillion in July, Glassnode data shows that realized cap now sits at a record $1.05 trillion, despite the spot price slipping around 12% from its all-time peak near $124,000. While market capitalization falls as the spot price declines because it prices every coin at the current level, realized cap adjusts only when coins are spent and repriced on-chain.

Under the realized cap model, dormant holdings, long-term holders and lost coins act as stabilizers, preventing large drawdowns even when short-term price action turns negative. The result is a measure that better reflects true investor conviction and the depth of capital committed to the blockchain.

In previous cycles, realized cap suffered much steeper drawdowns. During the 2014–15 and 2018 bear markets, it fell by as much as 20% as prolonged capitulation forced large volumes of coins to be repriced lower. Even in 2022, the metric experienced a drawdown near 18%, according to Glassnode data.

This time, in contrast, realized cap is gaining despite a double-digit price correction. This highlights how the present market is absorbing volatility with a far more resilient underlying base.



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September 1, 2025 0 comments
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GameFi Guides

Numeraire Climbs After JPMorgan Deal to Lead AI Token Surge

by admin August 28, 2025



In brief

  • AI tokens climbed nearly 6% in 24 hours, lifting their market value to $29.4 billion.
  • Numerai crowdsources trading signals, rewarding data scientists with NMR tokens.
  • JPMorgan’s potential stake underscores a growing interest in AI-crypto funds.

The token for Numerai, a crypto hedge fund that uses artificial intelligence, led a surge in AI-focused digital assets on Wednesday after JP Morgan Asset Management said it was committing $500 million to the project.

NMR was up more than 100% over the past 24 hours to trade near $23, according to crypto markets data provider CoinGecko.

The AI-token sector rose 5.8% in 24 hours, reaching a total market cap of $29.4 billion, according to CoinGecko. The rally came even after Nvidia, whose hardware underpins much of the artificial intelligence boom, reported weaker-than-expected second-quarter earnings.



Among the 24-hour gainers, Near Protocol (NEAR) climbed 1.5%, the token of the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) added 1.3%, and Internet Computer (ICP) rose 1%.

Founded in 2015, Numerai crowdsources market forecasts from data scientists, rewarding top models with its NMR token. It began with an encrypted online tournament where participants competed to predict stock prices.

In hedge fund terms, “capacity” means an investor has locked in the option to allocate a set amount of money to a fund, ensuring access even if the fund later limits new investments. It signals a reserved allocation, not an immediate transfer of funds. Numerai has attracted high-profile early backers over the years, including Paul Tudor Jones, Naval Ravikant, and Renaissance Technologies co-founder Howard Morgan.

The Numerai deal marks another pivot for JPMorgan, whose CEO Jamie Dimon has long been a vocal crypto skeptic. Dimon once called Bitcoin a “fraud” and likened digital assets to “decentralized Ponzi schemes.”

But Dimon has softened his stance. At a May investor day, Dimon said that while he still doesn’t support Bitcoin personally, JP Morgan would allow clients to buy it. In June, the bank said it was exploring crypto‑backed lending and offering loans backed by clients’ digital‑asset holdings.

JP Morgan Asset Management did not immediately respond to a request for comment by Decrypt.

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August 28, 2025 0 comments
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Tom Lee Climbs to #2 in Corporate Crypto Race. Is Saylor Safe?
NFT Gaming

Tom Lee Climbs to #2 in Corporate Crypto Race. Is Saylor Safe?

by admin August 19, 2025


  • Ethereum’s Saylor 
  • Is Saylor’s crown safe? 

Tom Lee’s BitMine Immersion Technology (BMNR) has now climbed to second spot on the list of the biggest cryptocurrency treasury companies. 

According to data provided by Arkham Intelligence, it now holds a staggering $6.6 billion worth of Ethereum (ETH). In fact, it now controls close to 1.3% of the altcoin’s entire circulating supply. 

Ethereum’s Saylor 

Lee, who used to be JPMorgan’s chief equity strategist, co-founded Fundstrat Global Advisors in 2014. He gained prominence back in 2017 by becoming one of the first Wall Street analysts to openly back Bitcoin. 

The famed “permabull” had frequent TV appearances, during which he would make ridiculously bullish predictions in 2017 and early 2018 that backfired during the brutal cryptocurrency bear market that ensued shortly after. 

After briefly pausing his Bitcoin price predictions, Lee then continued making frequent appearances on CNBC with bullish cryptocurrency calls. As reported by U.Today, Lee predicted that Bitcoin could soar to $250,000 this year. 

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In June, however, Lee went from making permabullish predictions to spearheading a bold Ethereum treasury play. In June, it was announced that he had become the chairman of Bitmine, which used to specialize in providing immersive cooling solutions. 

Within a short span of time, Bitmine managed to attract some heavyweight investors, such as Peter Thiel, Bill Miller, and Cathie Wood. 

Earlier this month, Bitmine unveiled that it intended ot secure an additional $20 billion for future Ethereum (ETH) buys. 

Is Saylor’s crown safe? 

Despite surpassing some of the biggest Bitcoin treasury companies, Lee’s Bitmine is still miles away from Saylor. 

Strategy currently holds a whopping 629,376 Bitcoins that are worth a whopping $73.24 billion at current prices. 



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August 19, 2025 0 comments
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