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Tag:

Bounces

James Van Straten
Crypto Trends

BTC Bounces After War-Driven Dip, Eyes $98.2K as Key Bull Market Line

by admin June 23, 2025



The short-term holder realized price (STH RP) for bitcoin

currently sits at $98,200, representing the average on-chain acquisition price for bitcoin {BTC} held outside of exchange reserves and moved within the last 155 days.

This metric, derived using on-chain heuristics, helps distinguish between short and long-term holders and provides insight into market sentiment, according to Glassnode data.

Realized price refers to the average acquisition price for the entire circulating bitcoin supply, based on the last time each coin moved on-chain. STH RP narrows this down to more recently active coins, which are statistically more likely to be spent. These are often the most sensitive to market volatility.

Over the weekend, bitcoin dipped amid geopolitical tensions, driven by escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, and growing fears of escalation between U.S. and Iran. With traditional markets closed, investors responded by selling liquid assets like bitcoin not necessarily out of desire, but necessity.

Historically, when bitcoin trades above the STH RP, it typically signals a bullish trend. Conversely, trading below the STH RP is often associated with bearish or consolidation phases.

For example, from June to October 2024, ahead of the U.S. presidential election, bitcoin remained below the STH RP which was around $62,000 at the time. Similarly, in February to April 2025, prices again fell under this threshold which was around $92,000.

Bitcoin has rebounded strongly, climbing back above $100,000 and now trading around $101,000. For bullish momentum to continue, it will be crucial for BTC to remain above the $98,200 STH RP level.



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June 23, 2025 0 comments
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Picture of CoinDesk author Will Canny
Crypto Trends

Polkadot’s DOT Bounces 4% After Forming Triple Bottom at $3.47 Support Level

by admin June 20, 2025



DOT rebounded, gaining 4%, after dropping 3.67% to $3.464, where it found strong support, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model. The move higher was on strong volume, the model showed.

A bullish reversal pattern has formed with consecutive higher lows since the bottom, which suggests further potential upside, according to the model.

In recent trading, DOT was 0.5% lower over 24 hours at around $3.57. The broader market gauge, the CoinDesk 20, was 1.2% higher at publication time.

Technical Analysis:

  • DOT experienced a 3.67% correction from $3.596 to $3.464 before finding strong support.
  • Volume exceeded 2.5M units at the $3.47 support level, significantly above the 24-hour average.
  • A bullish reversal pattern formed with consecutive higher lows since the bottom.
  • V-shaped recovery pattern emerged starting at 11:43, with volume increasing to over 34,000 units during the 11:45 timeframe.
  • Price broke through multiple resistance levels, reaching a peak of $3.559 at 12:09.
  • Potential continuation of upward momentum if the $3.57 resistance can be cleared.

Disclaimer: Portions of this article were generated with the assistance of AI tools and reviewed by CoinDesk’s editorial team for accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.



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June 20, 2025 0 comments
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(10x Research)
NFT Gaming

Bitcoin Bounces to $106K After Iran-Israel Jitters, but Analysts Warn of Deeper Pullback

by admin June 13, 2025



The crypto market is slightly bouncing back from early Friday’s jitters on escalating conflict between Israel and Iran.

After slumping to the $102,600 mark, bitcoin

rebounded to around $106,000 before fading lower in the U.S. afternoon hours with reports about a fresh wave of airstrikes targeting Iran. The top cryptocurrency was down 1.6% in the last 24 hours, changing hands at $105,200 and still less than 6% shy of its all-time high price.

Meanwhile, the CoinDesk 20 — an index of the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, excluding memecoins, stablecoins and exchange coins — has lost 4.4% in the same period of time. Tokens such as ether

, avalanche and toncoin were the hardest hit, slumping between 6% and 8%.

Crypto stocks, however, aren’t doing too hot. Most equities are in the red, especially bitcoin miners MARA Holdings (MARA) and Riot Platforms (RIOT), down 5% and 4% respectively. A notable exception is stablecoin issuer Circle (CIRCL), which is still benefiting from the windfall of its recent IPO; the stock is up 13% today, with news of retail giants Amazon and Walmart reportedly exploring stablecoins adding to the momentum.

Traditional markets don’t seem overwhelmingly concerned by the war. While gold is up 1.3%, potentially gearing up for new all-time highs, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are only down 0.4% each.

What’s next for bitcoin?

“Nice bounce thus far and lack of follow-through lower,” well-followed crypto trader Skew said in a Friday X post. Market participants will likely remain cautious through the weekend with BTC tightly correlated with traditional markets amid heightened geopolitical risks, Skew added.

On the longer timeframe, some analysts see risks of a deeper pullback.

10x Research founder Markus Thielen noted that BTC’s drop below $106,000 translates to a failed breakout, and traders should wait for more favorable setups before rushing to buy the dip.

(10x Research)

He highlighted the $100,000-$101,000 zone as key support, warning that a break below could mark a return to the broader consolidation phase similar to last summer.

John Glover, chief investment officer at bitcoin lender Ledn, argued that bitcoin entered a corrective phase from its record highs that could see the largest digital asset drop to $88,000-$93,000.

Bitcoin’s potential corrective phase in a larger uptrend, per John Glover (Ledn/TradingView)

He said the $90,000 level could offer a favorable entry for opportunistic investors before BTC resumes its uptrend.

“Once this pattern has played out, the next move higher to the $130,000 area is expected to begin,” he said.



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June 13, 2025 0 comments
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Finally Bullish? Solana (SOL) Bounces Off
GameFi Guides

Finally Bullish? Solana (SOL) Bounces Off

by admin June 4, 2025


  • XRP might move up
  • Solana taken over

An important turning point for Bitcoin is drawing near. Following an impressive period of growth that saw prices rise to recent highs of almost $110,000, the digital gold is currently trading at about $105,900. The chart’s price action reveals that Bitcoin is hovering just above the pivotal 26 EMA, which has turned into the final stand for bullish momentum. The market’s general structure is still cautiously optimistic. 

Bitcoin just recovered from the $104,000 mark, indicating that it has established a new support zone that has been holding up well. The next important level to keep an eye on is the 50 EMA, which is around $98,000. If the 26 EMA breaks, the price is probably going there. However, the volume has been decreasing, which indicates that traders are either worn out or awaiting the next action. 

BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView

There is still some bullish energy in the tank, but it is not overwhelming, according to the RSI, which is centered between 55 and 60. The recent highs would be regained and a rally to $110,000 would pave the way to a new all-time high. But the deal is not finalized yet. Order book data and liquidation heatmaps suggest significant resistance above $108,000, so if Bitcoin is to break out, it will need to cut through some strong sell walls. 

Bitcoin may drop quickly to the 50 EMA or even to the psychological $100,000 level if it is unable to stay above the 26 EMA. This would flush out leveraged longs and rebase the market. The ultimate line in the sand is still $110,000 in either case. A push past it that is successful would fuel a fresh rally, but a rejection would probably send Bitcoin plunging back into its consolidation range. Everyone is watching the chart, and the next few days are crucial: will Bitcoin’s final opportunity to reach $110,000 result in a vicious rejection or a breakout?

XRP might move up

The first obvious indications of a bullish reversal are being seen on XRP following a string of unrelenting declines and sideways consolidations. Many have been taken aback by the asset’s recent move of posting four days in a row of growth. It is a significant change following weeks of resistance to the 200 EMA and the declining trendline, which have slowed price momentum for the majority of the year.

Upon closer inspection, RSI levels have improved in tandem with XRP’s recent push above $2.25, suggesting increasing underlying strength. XRP has been steadily increasing since early 2025, according to the larger picture. During that phase, prices have tested and held the $2.10-$2.20 zone multiple times, and it now appears to be solid foundational support for a potential larger move.

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Given that major cryptocurrencies have also started to stabilize after months of volatility, it is extremely encouraging that these four days of gains coincide with a general market thaw. The market’s willingness to take on risk appears to be gradually returning, as evidenced by the slight increase in XRP volume.

But we are also reminded of the difficulties that lie ahead, according to the longer-term chart. The next major tests for any bullish continuation are the 50 and 200 EMAs, which converge in the $2.50 range and are still below XRP. If XRP gains momentum and breaks through these levels, the way to $2.70 and higher begins to become clear. 

However, the tone has shifted for the time being. The most encouraging price movement for XRP in months is the four-day green streak. Whether this is the beginning of a long-term upward trend or merely a temporary rebound is the question. In any case, it is a welcome indication of life on a market that has been struggling to find any indication of a positive trend. 

Solana taken over

By bouncing off its 50 EMA and putting on a strong rally back to the $160 zone, Solana has taken market observers by surprise. This follows weeks of turbulence and ambiguity that made many traders doubtful of any significant upward movements. There was a push above the 200 EMA after the market recovered from the 50 EMA, a crucial moving average that has served as crucial dynamic support during this cycle. It is a critical technical and psychological level that many believe to be the final significant obstacle before a longer-term uptrend can begin. 

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Now, Solana is just above $160, and it could move closer to the $180 resistance level that held back gains in May. A break through that $180 barrier would indicate that Solana is prepared to take on higher levels and has progressed past its consolidation phase. Given that the RSI is currently in neutral territory at 53, it appears that SOL is not yet in overbought territory and that additional upside is possible without immediately encountering strong selling pressure. 

Additionally, volume has begun to rise, indicating that this move is not merely a temporary relief rally but rather that there is genuine interest behind it. Let’s not mince words though: this is still a precarious situation. Since Solana has experienced several false starts in recent months, there is no assurance that this current move will not end if the mood of the market as a whole declines further.

A retest of $180 appears likely if buyers can maintain this momentum, but for now the break above the 200 EMA is encouraging. Now everyone’s watching to see if SOL can maintain these levels and sustain the bullish narrative. Although the market is difficult, Solana appears to be at last establishing itself — at least for the time being.



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June 4, 2025 0 comments
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