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Strategic Bitcoin Reserve news Japan
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Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Push Ignited By Japan’s DPP

by admin August 28, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Japan’s debate over sovereign Bitcoin exposure moved from the fringe to the front row this week after JAN3 chief executive Samson Mow met in Tokyo with Yuichiro Tamaki, who leads the Democratic Party for the People (DPP), and Sōhei Kamiya, leader of Sanseitō.

Will Japan Establish A Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?

As Mow put it, “We had very productive meetings in Tokyo with Kamiya-san, leader of Sanseito, and Tamaki-san, leader of the DPP. Both leaders already had a great understanding of #Bitcoin so our discussions flowed very naturally… I focused mainly on the limited window of opportunity for a nation-state to accumulate significant amounts of BTC for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. We will likely have additional meetings later this year.”

Source: X @Excellion

The political substance of those conversations tracks long-running parliamentary activity by both leaders. In Mow’s words, “Kamiya-san has raised the idea of Japan holding Bitcoin reserves in the Diet and called for tax reform, reflecting his party Sanseito’s sovereignty-first stance. Tamaki-san has proposed lowering capital gains taxes on Bitcoin to 20% and exempting smaller swaps and payments from taxation, giving Bitcoin fairer treatment in law.” He then clarified that “these are activities they have done previously in the Diet.”

JAN3, for its part, framed the agenda in explicitly geopolitical terms. “JAN3 CEO @Excellion met with Sohei Kamiya, leader of Sanseito, and Yuichiro Tamaki, leader of the Democratic Party for the People (DPP), at their offices in Tokyo to discuss the urgency to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve for Japan. Diet Members understand the world has changed dramatically with the US SBR already established and the Bitcoin Act on the way.”

The reference is to the United States’ March 6, 2025 executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR), followed days later by the introduction of the BITCOIN Act in Congress to codify and scale that framework.

The Tokyo meetings were not confined to opposition figures. Mow also underscored engagement with gatekeepers in the ruling camp: “It was a pleasure to meet Satsuki Katayama at @WebX_Asia where she delivered a speech at the Bitcoin networking event. Katayama-san is a member of Japan’s House of Councillors, representing the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and also chair of the LDP Committee on Finance.”

Source: X @Excellion

Katayama indeed chairs the LDP’s Financial Research Commission and has recently fronted party policy work touching capital markets, banking supervision and digital-asset issues, a signal that Bitcoin policy sits squarely inside the LDP’s finance apparatus.

Japan’s Political Power Structure

Understanding how and where the DPP and Sanseitō sit in Japan’s power structure is essential to gauging the odds of near-term policy change. In the July 20, 2025 House of Councillors election, the LDP–Komeito ruling bloc lost its upper-house majority, while smaller parties surged. The DPP won 17 seats in that contest and now holds 22 seats in the chamber, making it the third-largest force after the LDP and the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP). Sanseitō captured 14 seats, lifting its total to 15. Those tallies translate into real leverage for both parties in an upper house where the government must now assemble issue-by-issue majorities.

Percentages tell the same story. On the national proportional list, the DPP took roughly 12.88% of the vote, while Sanseitō drew about 12.55%, confirming that both parties converted a broad base of support into seats. With the LDP–Komeito alliance short of a majority, that performance gives Tamaki’s centrists and Kamiya’s sovereigntists greater committee-level bargaining power over any crypto tax rewrite or more ambitious reserve initiative.

Within that parliamentary geometry, tax reform is the most immediate vector. Tamaki has consistently pushed to replace today’s progressive treatment of crypto gains—which can run to the mid-50s percent when local levies are included—with a 20% separate tax, and to exempt small-value payments and crypto-to-crypto swaps from recognition, a de minimis regime designed to unlock everyday usage.

At press time, BTC traded at $113,862.

BTC holds above key support, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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August 28, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin Strategy Deepens As Metaplanet Plans $880 Million Raise

by admin August 28, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Japanese investment firm Metaplanet today announced plans to raise another 130 billion yen ($880 million) through an international share sale. Of that amount, the firm intends to allocate roughly $835 million toward purchasing additional Bitcoin (BTC).

Metaplanet Eyes More Bitcoin Purchases

According to a regulatory filing, Tokyo-based Metaplanet has approved a plan to raise as much as $880 million, with nearly $837 million set aside for fresh BTC acquisitions.

To generate the funds, the company will issue 555 million new shares. This issuance could increase the number of Metaplanet’s outstanding shares from 722 million to approximately 1.27 billion.

Often referred to as “Japan’s MicroStrategy,” Metaplanet has emerged as one of Asia’s most prominent corporate Bitcoin holders. Data from CoinGecko shows the firm currently ranks as the world’s 8th largest public company by BTC reserves, holding 18,991 BTC on its balance sheet.

The firm noted that proceeds from the offering will be used between September and October 2025 to accumulate Bitcoin. In addition, around $43.9 million will be reserved for other Bitcoin-related financial operations.

It is important to highlight that the share sale will take place exclusively on international markets. In the US, sales will be restricted to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A of the US Securities Act.

Metaplanet’s latest BTC purchase came earlier this week when the firm announced it had bought 103 BTC worth more than $11 million. At present, Metaplanet’s total BTC holdings are valued around $2 billion. The firm plans to hold 210,000 BTC by the end of 2027.

The firm’s strategy reflects a broader trend of corporations integrating Bitcoin into their treasuries. Healthcare company KindlyMD, recently announced a $5 billion stock sale to expand its BTC reserves.

Commenting on the development, David Bailey, CEO, KindlyMD, said that the move to raise $5 billion is a natural next step following the firm’s initial purchase of 5,744 BTC earlier this month. On the CoinGecko list, KindlyMD currently ranks 16th in terms of total BTC held.

Is BTC On The Verge Of Supply Crunch?

BTC’s fixed supply of 21 million coins remains one of its most defining features. However, a significant portion of these coins has been lost in unrecoverable wallets, further reducing the effective circulating supply.

As a result, a quiet race has begun among corporations, institutional investors, and even nation-states to accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible before prices climb further. Recently, a congressman in the Philippines introduced a bill proposing the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve for the nation.

Meanwhile, Dutch crypto services company Amdax announced plans last week to launch a public Bitcoin treasury firm, while Nasdaq-listed Top Win International disclosed a $10 million raise for BTC purchases.

In similar news, Turkish mobility app Marti Technologies stated last month that it will hold 20% of its cash reserves in Bitcoin. At press time, BTC trades at $112,013, up 1.9% in the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin trades at $112,013 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash.com, chart from and TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Bitcoin Bounce Fizzles Again: Here’s Why
Crypto Trends

Bitcoin Bounce Fizzles Again: Here’s Why

by admin August 28, 2025



Key takeaways:

  • Retail traders are aggressively buying BTC price dips in spot and futures markets, but net selling from larger order investors is preventing a robust price recovery.

  • Risk of another liquidation cascade to $105,000 seems less likely, but investor sentiment is misaligned with the trend seen in assorted cumulative volume data cohorts.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) are recovering and attempting to recover the price ranges that each cryptocurrency lost during the sharp sell-off seen on Saturday and Sunday. Bitcoin price is up a mere 2.4% from its $108,665 low, while ETH fared better, rising 8.26% to a daily high at $4,663 from its Monday low at $4,310.

Data shows an assortment of traders buying the dip, yet BTC price remains stuck in a downtrend. The anchored cumulative volume delta (aggregated) for the cohort considered to be retail traders (1K to 10K) shows these entities net buying throughout the correction from Sunday to Wednesday. 

Whale and institutional-sized traders (1 million to 10 million) were net sellers in the same time frame, but as the chart shows, the intensity of the selling has subsided as BTC price reclaimed the $111,000 zone. 

BTC/USDT 15-min chart. Source: Hyblock

A more granular look at CVD data shows retail traders in Binance’s Bitcoin spot and perpetual futures markets opening longs throughout the dip, whereas whales and institutional investor-sized traders have been net sellers.

Retail traders in the Coinbase Bitcoin spot market have also been active, with volumes reaching $101.253 million in net buying, while the institutional investor cohort at Coinbase and Binance have been net sellers with perps markets unloading roughly $7.5 billion in the time frame portrayed. 

BTC/USDT 15-min chart. Source: Hyblock

The takeaway is, whales dominate the selling pressure across the market, while retail and mid-size players attempt to provide price support and seem to believe that they are either buying Bitcoin at a discounted valuation or banking on a quick mean reversion back to the $117,000 to $118,000 range. Despite this, Bitcoin continues to languish in a short-term downtrend despite a positive,smaller-order CVD at Binance and Coinbase. 

Related: BlackRock Bitcoin ETF holdings overtake Coinbase, Binance; ETH may be next

$120,000 or $105,000, which comes first?

Liquidation heatmap data from Hyblock shows Bitcoin absorbing bids in the $111,000 to $110,000 area during the weekend sell-off, and another cluster exists near $104,000.

While a breakdown to the lowest liquidity cluster seems unlikely, the current dynamic of larger order selling far outweighing the retail cohort continues to put pressure on BTC price. 

BTC/USDT 1-month lookback liquidation heatmap. Source: Hyblock

 Traders hoping for a period of consolidation should carefully observe the anchored aggregated daily CVD to see if this sell pressure alleviates and if such a change in volume aligns with shifting sentiment among investors. 

BTC/USDT 1-month lookback liquidation heatmap. Source: Hyblock

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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XRP: Emergency Price Break, Bitcoin (BTC): Losing $100,000 If This Breaks, New Ethereum (ETH) Height Next?
Crypto Trends

XRP: Emergency Price Break, Bitcoin (BTC): Losing $100,000 If This Breaks, New Ethereum (ETH) Height Next?

by admin August 28, 2025


  • Bitcoin gets pushed
  • Ethereum does not forget $5,000

XRP’s recent surge has been one of the cryptocurrency market’s more promising periods, but the asset is currently at a crucial juncture, where momentum could start to wane. Following a significant upswing that saw the token rise above $3.50, XRP has since retreated into consolidation, and its current price centers on $3.00. The daily chart displays a symmetrical triangle pattern that indicates tightening conditions and an increasing likelihood of a breakdown.

The technical image draws attention to a delicate equilibrium. While the 200-day EMA at $2.49 provides deeper support, XRP is still holding above its 100-day EMA at $2.76. However, it is evident that buyers are losing steam when they consistently fail to push past $3.20. Despite showing indecision, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still neutral at 48, allowing for additional declines. Should the price close below $2.90, the structure might break down, leaving XRP vulnerable to losses that could negate a large portion of its recent gains.

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingView

Trends in volume increase caution. Since the July rally, trading activity has significantly slowed, and the absence of significant inflows points to waning interest. Sentiment could move from consolidation to correction if the symmetrical triangle breaks to the downside in the absence of fresh buying pressure.

The larger story of XRP’s recovery has not entirely vanished, though. Even though a reversal is still possible, XRP is still far above its spring levels, and the fact that it has regained the 200-day EMA for the first time in years shows that it is resilient over the long run. But when buyers are unable to maintain higher highs, momentum-driven rallies often stall, and XRP’s current configuration appears to be one of those times.

Bitcoin gets pushed

The market’s path into September may be determined by the technical level that Bitcoin is testing once more. Bitcoin is currently trading at about $111,000, perilously perched on its 100-day EMA after peaking at about $126,000 earlier this summer. In the past, this moving average has served as both powerful resistance and support, but the graph indicates that its defense may be nearing the end. Sellers are in control as Bitcoin repeatedly fails to regain the $115,000-$116,000 range, according to the daily candles.

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There is not much margin for error in the current test of the 100-day EMA, and the breakdown through the 50-day EMA already indicated waning momentum. If Bitcoin is unable to maintain this level, the next logical support is located at the 200-day EMA, which is close to $103,800 and perilously near the psychologically significant $100,000 mark. Because $100,000 lacks the structural support found in previous consolidation zones, this level is especially worrisome.

It is thinly backed instead, which means that if it breaks, stop-loss orders and leveraged long liquidations could cause the market to move rapidly lower. Before buyers intervene, Bitcoin might swiftly find itself in the mid-90,000s in such a situation. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflects this weakening trend, currently hovering around 41, its lowest since spring. Recent bounces have also seen a drop in volume, indicating that buyers are not acting decisively. The bearish momentum is likely to continue in the absence of fresh demand.

A strong rebound above $115,000, on the other hand, would reverse much of this bearish setup and reopen the way to retesting $120,000+. However, the bulls now have the burden of proof. To sum up, Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. When the 100-day EMA is lost, the market begins to decline toward the 200-day EMA, where $100,000 is the last line of protection. A much more severe correction than most people expect could be in store for the market if that support breaks.

Ethereum does not forget $5,000

After several spectacular rallies, Ethereum is still one of the best-performing stocks in the current market cycle, trading close to $4,600. ETH has avoided the kind of steep declines observed in Bitcoin and Solana, in contrast to many other significant cryptocurrencies that have experienced more severe corrections in recent weeks. With $5,000 firmly in sight, Ethereum’s resilience makes it a strong contender to reach a new all-time high.

ETH is riding its 20-day EMA as dynamic support on the daily chart, with higher lows continuously forming since July. With only minor retracements, the asset has been consolidating at higher levels since breaking above key resistance at $4,200.

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On the bullish side, momentum indicators are also in favor. At present, the RSI is close to 61, indicating sound strength without being overextended, allowing for further upward movement. According to the structure, ETH is poised for a further upward leg, and a breakout above $4,800 could easily drive the price up to $5,000 and higher.

Ethereum’s relative strength stems in part from the fact that despite an increase in market volatility, it has escaped significant corrections. ETH has remained under constant upward pressure, while altcoins like Solana and Dogecoin displayed weakness and Bitcoin faltered at significant resistance.



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August 28, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin Forming This Bullish Pattern. Is New ATH Close?
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Bitcoin Forming This Bullish Pattern. Is New ATH Close?

by admin August 27, 2025


  • Potential bullish reversal 
  • Facing “double top” pattern 

Bitcoin, the bellwether cryptocurrency, appears to be in the process of forming an inverse head and shoulders (iHS) pattern.

Bitcoin is currently changing hands at $111,491, CoinGecko data shows. The cryptocurrency has dipped by 2% over the past 24 hours.  

Potential bullish reversal 

This is a bullish reversal pattern, which typically signals the start of a new uptrend. It is characterized by a “head” being flanked by two “shoulders.” The left shoulder is near $110,500, while the left shoulder mirrors it around the same price zone. The head of the pattern is $108,000, which marks Bitcoin’s local low that was recorded on Aug. 26.

On the one-hour chart shared by prominent trader Josh Olszewicz, the “neckline” is located around the $112,500 level. This is the horizontal resistance that needs to be crossed for Bitcoin’s rally to resume. If Bitcoin manages to pull off a convincing breakout above the neckline, it would confirm the uptrend. 

It should be noted that the pattern in question could still end up failing if there is no clear breakout. 

Facing “double top” pattern 

As reported by U.Today, prominent trader Peter Brandt recently warned that Bitcoin was facing a double top pattern following its recent correction. 

To avoid such a bearish setup, Bitcoin bulls would need to reclaim the make-or-break $117,570 level. 

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Earlier, Brandt claimed that there was a 30% chance that Bitcoin had reached its peak in August. 

The lifetime high of the world’s leading currently stands at $124,128, according to CoinGecko data. Bitcoin is currently down nearly 10% from that local peak. 



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August 27, 2025 0 comments
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MicroStrategy Successfully Claims 3% Of Bitcoin Supply, Here’s How Much It’s Now Worth

by admin August 27, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, has achieved a milestone that cements its reputation as the biggest corporate holder of Bitcoin. A recent acquisition of 3,018 BTC on August 25 at a total purchase price of $357 million has pushed the company’s total Bitcoin portfolio to 632,457 BTC. 

Based on the current price of Bitcoin, the total value of the portfolio is valued at $46.502 billion. However, outside the value of its holdings, data shows that Strategy now controls over 3% of Bitcoin’s current circulating supply.

Strategy Claims 3% Of Bitcoin Supply

According to Strategy’s website, the American-based technology company now holds 632,457 BTC. At the time of writing, Bitcoin has a total circulating supply of 19,912,106, although the maximum supply is hard capped at 21,000,000.

In numbers alone, Strategy now owns 3.176% of the circulating supply of Bitcoin. Claiming such a large share of Bitcoin shows the scale of the company’s commitment and its strategy of positioning Bitcoin as the backbone of its corporate treasury.

Source: Chart from Strategy

Owning more than 3% of Bitcoin’s supply has not only been symbolic but also financially rewarding for Strategy. In the current quarter alone, its portfolio has grown by 4.7%, generating $3.156 billion in gains. Since the start of 2025, the value of its holdings has increased by 25.4%, amounting to an increase of $12.641 billion in dollar terms.

The company’s Bitcoin-based investment’s profit in 2025 has already surpassed the entire profit of $13.133 billion recorded in 2024. Notably, this Bitcoin buying strategy means the company’s performance is now linked to Bitcoin’s price movements, with every percentage increase in BTC translating into billions in added value.

Future Ambitions After The 3% Milestone

According to data from Bitcointreasuries.net, Strategy is by far the biggest public Bitcoin treasury company. The second is America-based digital asset technology company MARA Holdings, which currently holds 60,639 BTC. 

Strategy is now part of the top five Bitcoin holders, behind crypto exchange Coinbase, Satoshi Nakamoto, and Spot Bitcoin ETF issuer BlackRock, which has seen the value of its Bitcoin holdings grow to over 747,000 BTC in August 2025. Interestingly, Strategy’s Bitcoin portfolio has even surpassed the total amount of BTC held in the Binance exchange reserve, which data from Coinglass currently puts at 578,903 BTC. 

Although holding over 3% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is a milestone few companies could have imagined, Strategy’s ambitions are far from fulfilled. Co-founder and former CEO Michael Saylor recently outlined a plan to raise $100 billion within the next four years to finance the company’s Bitcoin credit initiative. The financing could even reach up to $200 billion if the demand for the company’s securities is strong. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $111,300, up by 0.9% in the past 24 hours.

BTC trading at $110,607 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Investors Shift $900M Daily From Bitcoin To Ethereum Analyst
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Investors Shift $900M Daily from Bitcoin to Ethereum: Analyst

by admin August 27, 2025



Analyst Willy Woo, a renowned crypto on-chain analyst, said investors are shifting funds from Bitcoin (BTC) to Ethereum (ETH). On Wednesday, he posted a chart showing flows into Ether around $900 million per day, matching inflows into Bitcoin.

“This latest climb in flows started when Tom Lee’s ETH treasury company, BitMine, began accumulating Ether,” Woo said in a post on X. The surge began in July, marking the highest flows in at least two years. Analysts say corporate Ether treasuries are driving the momentum.

Capital has been rotating from BTC→ETH.

Flows into ETH, at 0.9B USD per day (silver), is now approaching BTC’s inflows (orange).

This latest climb in flows started when Tom Lee’s ETH treasury co, BitMine, started their ETH accumulation. pic.twitter.com/ZLTCSosxXX

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) August 26, 2025

Corporate Demand Boosts ETH

BitMine has become the world’s largest corporate Ether treasury. It acquired 1.7 million ETH, worth $7.9 billion, in just over two months, and now holds 1.4% of Ethereum’s total supply. The accumulation pace far exceeds that of corporate Bitcoin holdings.

U.S. spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds have also seen strong inflows. August alone recorded $2.8 billion entering spot ETH funds. Corporate trading in Ether also recently exceeded Bitcoin treasury trading, showing rising institutional interest.

Analyst Axel Bitblaze noted on X that ETH has broken a four-year bullish chart pattern and is retesting it cleanly. “The structure points to $6800 – $7000 next,” he said, indicating further upside potential.

ETH Market Share Rising

Ethereum’s market dominance has grown at Bitcoin’s expense. ETH’s market share is now 14.57%, up from a low of 7% in April. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance has fallen from 66% in June to 58% as capital rotates between the two assets.

Ether has recovered faster than Bitcoin this week. ETH rose 4% on Wednesday, reaching an intraday high of $4,638 before a slight pullback. It is now just 6.7% below its all-time high from last week. Bitcoin, in comparison, gained only 1% over the same period, topping $112,000 before retreating toward $111,000.

The capital rotation into Ethereum shows increasing investor confidence and stronger institutional involvement. Analysts say the trend may continue as corporate and ETF demand supports ETH prices and market share.

Also Read: ETH Price Drop is Opportunity in Treasury Firms: Standard Chartered





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Hut 8 (HUT) Maps Out 1.53GW Expansion as Bitcoin (BTC) Mining Carve-Out Nears: Benchmark
Crypto Trends

Hut 8 (HUT) Maps Out 1.53GW Expansion as Bitcoin (BTC) Mining Carve-Out Nears: Benchmark

by admin August 27, 2025



Hut 8 (HUT) is set to spin out most of its bitcoin BTC$111,782.47 mining operations into American Bitcoin (ABTC) within the next week, a move that Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer said could re-rate the company’s shares.

Yesterday, Hut 8 unveiled plans to develop 1.53 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity across four U.S. sites, in Louisiana, Texas and Illinois, more than doubling its power under management to 2.55 GW.

Palmer raised Hut 8’s price target to $36 from $33 and reiterated his buy rating on the stock. The new price target suggests nearly 40% upside from yesterday’s close just below $26.

Palmer noted the update was significant because it showed a clear path to monetizing Hut 8’s energy pipeline, with the company already securing land and power agreements, building infrastructure and negotiating with potential customers.

By separating its mining operations into ABTC, Hut 8 aims to position itself as an energy infrastructure pure-play, giving it better access to cheaper project financing by avoiding the volatility tied to bitcoin revenues, the analyst said.

The company has up to $2.4 billion in liquidity to support the expansion, including $1.2 billion in bitcoin, $330 million in credit facilities and a $1 billion equity program, the report noted.

Hut 8 is a flexible bet on both bitcoin and the artificial intelligence (AI)/high performance computing (HPC) boom, Palmer said.

Read more: Bitcoin Miner Hut 8 Jumps 15%, Leading Sector Higher After Inking 5-Year Energy Supply Deal



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Bitcoin Price Gains Can Hit 44% Between Now and Christmas
Crypto Trends

Bitcoin Price Gains Can Hit 44% Between Now and Christmas

by admin August 27, 2025



Key points:

  • Bitcoin can reverse its latest slump to hit new all-time highs in the next four months, based on historical performance.

  • Research says that the outlook for Bitcoin between now and Christmas is “positive yet less volatile.”

  • The current dip may be “frontrunning” traditional September BTC price downside.

Bitcoin (BTC) faces average gains of 44% by Christmas as analysts play down the impact of a deeper BTC price correction.

Research from network economist Timothy Peterson, released on X this week, predicts “positive” performance for BTC/USD in Q4.

Bitcoin analysis plays with $160,000 target

Bitcoin traditionally sees its weakest gains in September, a month that BTC/USD has never finished more than 8% higher.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Despite that, Peterson, who regularly compares performance over multiple bull markets, remains optimistic.

“Exactly Four Months Until Christmas. How does Bitcoin fare during this time? Up 70% of the time. Average gain +44%,” he summarized.

That average upside would put Bitcoin at $160,000 by the last week of 2025, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirms.

Peterson acknowledges that such expectations are more a guideline than a rule, with various nonconformant years over Bitcoin’s lifetime.

“However, I think some years do not have market/economic conditions comparable to 2025. I would exclude 2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017 as uncharacteristic years,” he concluded.

“This skews the outcome to favoring positive yet less volatile performance.”Bitcoin Q4 performance comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

Bitcoin “frontrunning” standard September blues

Elsewhere, others are unfazed by the current BTC price weakness, which has seen the lowest levels since early July return this week.

Related: Bitcoin Q2 dip similarities ‘uncanny’ as Coinbase Premium flips green

Popular trader Donny told X followers that BTC/USD is “frontrunning” traditional September downside.

“The scale is different — but the outcome is the same. Much higher,” he forecast while comparing price action to the 2017 bull market. 

BTC/USDT bull market comparison. Source: Donny/X

Donny added that he saw BTC/USD copying gold after a period of lag — a classic relationship that has continued to play out in recent years.

BTC/USD vs. XAU/USD one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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Strategic Bitcoin Reserve News Bo Hines
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Bo Hines Confident Bitcoin Reserve Act Heads For 2025 Approval

by admin August 27, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bo Hines, the former White House crypto director who helped shepherd the administration’s first landmark crypto law, the GENIUS Act, has moved to Tether as Strategy Advisor for Digital Assets and US Expansion—and he’s signaling that a second pillar of the policy agenda, a federal Strategic Bitcoin Reserve law, is on track before year-end.

Bitcoin Reserve Act Could Pass ‘This Year’

In a new on-camera conversation with CoinDesk’s Sam Ewen alongside Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, Hines said he remains “very confident that the US government is going to be keenly interested on moving expeditiously on budget-neutral ways to accumulate,” adding that President Trump “has been a steadfast leader in the space… This is a major priority for him. And that includes the SBR.” He went further: “You’ll have two monumental pieces of crypto legislation signed into law this year, firmly cementing the United States’ place as the crypto capital of the world.”

JUST IN: FORMER WHITE HOUSE CRYPTO DIRECTOR BO HINES IS CONFIDENT THE #BITCOIN RESERVE ACT WILL BE SIGNED INTO LAW “THIS YEAR”

2025 WILL BE A HISTORIC YEAR FOR BTC 🔥 pic.twitter.com/CQHtHhwZa2

— The Bitcoin Historian (@pete_rizzo_) August 26, 2025

Hines’ remarks come just a week after his exit from government and his appointment at Tether. As head of the White House’s crypto policy shop, Hines was closely involved in the legislative push that culminated on July 18, 2025, when President Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law, creating the first comprehensive federal framework for US dollar-pegged payment stablecoins. The law’s passage set the stage for a broader market-structure package and gave new momentum to efforts to formalize a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) in statute.

Although an executive order on March 6, 2025 already established a federal SBR and a separate US Digital Asset Stockpile for non-bitcoin holdings, the so-called Bitcoin Reserve Act—formally introduced in Congress as the BITCOIN Act—would codify and expand that framework.

The White House directive seeded the SBR with coins already owned by the government via forfeiture and barred selling those holdings, framing BTC as a long-term reserve asset. The Senate version of the BITCOIN Act (S.954), led by Sen. Cynthia Lummis, and the House companion (H.R.2032) from Rep. Nick Begich would put the reserve on a statutory footing and spell out acquisition authorities and governance. Both bills were introduced in March and referred to committee, giving a 2025 landing zone if the Senate moves.

In his interview, Hines hinted at continuity inside the administration following his departure—“the last time that we’ve been truly able to speak on digital asset issues was the day before I left, but I’m very confident in Patrick’s [Witt] abilities to perform and deliver for the industry”—and framed the legislative sequencing ahead: GENIUS is done; market structure and the reserve law are the next files in the queue. “We have a market structure on the horizon now… I’m confident they’ll be able to bring that home as well,” he said, before reiterating his expectation of two major crypto bills signed in 2025.

Policy context now matters as much as personnel. The March executive order creating the SBR instructs Treasury to hold seized and forfeited bitcoin in a dedicated reserve, and it authorizes a Digital Asset Stockpile for other tokens. A White House fact sheet emphasizes that bitcoin placed in the reserve will not be sold, underscoring the administration’s positioning of BTC as a strategic, long-duration asset rather than a trading balance. Codification via the BITCOIN Act would remove any ambiguity about acquisition tools, governance, and reporting, and could create explicit “budget-neutral” pathways to accumulate additional bitcoin.

That debate has featured Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, whose public messaging has whipsawed in recent weeks. In mid-August, Bessent told Fox Business, “We are not going to be buying that,” when pressed on fresh bitcoin purchases, even as he and Treasury officials simultaneously highlighted “budget-neutral” mechanisms under evaluation. A follow-up post on X by Bessent clarified that seized bitcoin will anchor the reserve and that Treasury is still exploring ways to add without tapping taxpayers—precisely the line Hines invoked.

At press time, BTC traded at $110,530.

BTC holds above key support, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.





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