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Wall Street’s RWA bet could break on crypto infrastructure
Crypto Trends

Wall Street’s RWA bet could break on crypto infrastructure

by admin September 28, 2025



Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.

Real-world asset tokenization has surged to $27 billion, making it the fastest-growing corner of crypto. But while headlines boast about trillion-dollar potential, most platforms still fall short of the institutional standards needed to unlock real capital. The next phase of tokenization isn’t about hype — it’s about building rails institutions can actually trust.

Summary

  • RWA tokenization grew 118% YoY to $27B, led by BlackRock’s $1.7B BUIDL fund.
  • Institutions like Franklin Templeton and KKR are testing tokenization, but major allocators remain cautious.
  • Current gaps include asset commingling, weak auditability, and a lack of regulated custody and insurance.
  • To attract trillions in institutional capital, platforms must embed compliance, real-time audits, and ironclad custodial safeguards from day one.

Real-world asset tokenization is now the fastest-growing segment in crypto, clocking in at $27 billion, a 118% year-over-year surge. In the past year alone, BlackRock’s BUIDL fund crossed $1.7 billion in tokenized U.S. Treasuries, while institutional players like Franklin Templeton, Apollo, and KKR are rushing to tokenize everything from private credit to real estate on-chain. 

The institutional growth has arrived, and now the challenge is clear: RWA platforms must build infrastructure that meets the unique standards of institutional capital if this gold rush is to deliver on its potential for investors and markets alike. When trillions in institutional assets start migrating onto blockchains, the quality of the rails matters for everyone.

As more players rush in, the gap between what is being built and what is actually needed deepens, growing more dangerous. With more at stake than ever, it’s time for platforms to focus on embedding the controls, transparency, and reliability that institutional capital requires. Only by adopting these standards can RWA tokenization deliver lasting benefits for end investors, borrowers, and overall financial stability, unlocking institutional capital at the scale needed to drive this trillion-dollar market. Forward-looking RWA platforms, however, recognize that serving institutions means evolving beyond early crypto playbooks. The next phase is about building the features needed to welcome and safeguard major capital.

The institutional standard: Where RWA infrastructure still falls short

In financial services, there are certain standards that are baseline; for example, client assets must be kept in legally distinct accounts. Meaning that if a custodian fails, the assets are recoverable and protected by regulations that have been used for decades.

On-chain, many RWA platforms still rely on pooled or omnibus wallets, a shortcut that blurs the line between client holdings and platform funds. This approach introduces a systemic risk: if a protocol is compromised, client assets may be mixed in ways that make legal recovery or restitution highly uncertain. On-chain, where such protections are usually absent, commingling turns a technical breach into a potential operational and legal nightmare.

Just as critical is auditability. Blockchain may promise transparency, but for institutional players, visibility without audit‑ready oversight is meaningless, and most RWA platforms still fall short.

It’s no surprise that many traditional hedge fund managers remain hesitant to crypto exposure, due to concerns over auditability and reporting standards, with 76% of those not currently invested in digital assets unlikely to enter the space within the next three years, up from 54% in 2023. Failing to meet these rigorous standards means locking out the very institutional capital poised to transform this market.

If RWA tokenization delivers on its promise, the industry can no longer settle for shortcuts. Infrastructure built for institutions means inherited safeguards, not just innovation. These safeguards include meticulous asset segregation, real-time auditability, and ironclad regulatory compliance, the same protections that have underpinned traditional finance for decades. Without them, institutional allocators will simply not move. This shift is what is needed if the next wave of capital is to be both substantial and sustainable.

Custody and compliance struggles

Behind every major allocation of institutional capital sits a base of regulated custody and insurance. Pension funds and sovereign wealth managers are not going to entrust billions to a browser extension wallet. Instead, institutions expect highly certified custodians (SOC2 or ISO) who provide both regulatory protection and robust insurance protecting clients in case of loss.

In short, while custody infrastructure is steadily improving, and leading providers are showing what’s possible, the broader market still has a way to go. Elevating these standards industry-wide is essential. Without insured, regulated custody at scale, even the most innovative platforms may find doors to major institutional capital remain firmly shut.

The same gap shows up in compliance. DeFi’s promise of permissionless access was once its boldest selling point. This same promise is ringing alarm bells for institutional allocators. Without built-in KYC, AML controls, and whitelisted investor pools, institutional allocators cannot participate — the risk profile is simply untenable. Expanding these frameworks will be key to unlocking broader institutional engagement going forward.

Until RWA platforms give regulated custody, insurance, and compliance the same priority as technical innovation, the sector will be stuck on the sidelines of true institutional finance. For tokenization to scale safely, these core systems must be foundational, or the promise of bringing real-world assets on-chain will not become a market reality.

The rift between headlines and reality

Even as the RWA tokenization market now exceeds $27 billion, the vast majority is held by crypto-native investors, hedge funds, and stablecoin issuers, not by the banks, insurers, or pension funds that move true institutional capital. Among the Fortune 100, only a handful have run tokenization pilots, and even fewer have allocated real balance sheet capital.

While some platforms have ticked off compliance boxes, earned accredited certifications, and landed custody partnerships, most of the industry still faces stiff regulatory scrutiny in the United States. As of today, the SEC continues to press for deeper disclosures, stronger investor protections, and clearer legal structures before it greenlights RWA tokenization for broad investment.

The real test is just beginning

Crypto is now at the same crossroads. The next wave of institutional capital will flow to platforms designed from day one with transparency, real-time auditability, segregated and insured custody, and with compliance woven into every layer. However, these platforms are still the exception, not the rule, at a time when the sector desperately needs robust, institution-ready rails. The few platforms taking a compliance-first approach, embedding safeguards and institution-ready custody from the outset, are the ones best positioned to meet Wall Street’s bar.

And as capital pours in, it’s only getting more selective. Institutional allocators will not move billions onto rails they cannot trust. The next leaders in RWA tokenization will be the ones embedding compliance, auditability, and custodial safeguards into their architecture from day one.

Abdul Rafay Gadit

Abdul Rafay Gadit is the Co-Founder of ZIGChain, a next-generation Layer 1 blockchain protocol created to provide the core infrastructure for real-world financial applications. At ZIGChain, Rafay oversees the development of foundational blockchain components, including the Wealth Management Engine and a $100 million ecosystem fund that supports builders and institutions bringing traditional financial products on-chain. In addition to his role at ZIGChain, Rafay is also the Co-Founder and Chief Financial Officer of Zignaly, a leading Web3-native investment platform that connects everyday investors with top-performing fund managers through blockchain-powered profit sharing.



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September 28, 2025 0 comments
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GameFi Guides

Crypto Trader Who Bet $1B on Bitcoin Returns With 3x Leveraged Long on ASTER

by admin September 28, 2025



James Wynn, the pseudonymous trader behind a billion-dollar BTC$109,668.71 bet earlier this year, is back. This time, Wynn is making a leveraged play on ASTER just days after being liquidated on the same token.

Wynn has opened a new 3x leveraged long on ASTER, the native token of the emerging Aster perpetuals exchange, worth over $16,000, entering at $1.97 with a liquidation level around $1.57.The move was first spotted by Onchain Lens.

While the dollar amount seems small compared to Wynn’s previous positions, the trade is likely to be a hedge on a different position on Aster itself. “I’m farming the $ASTER airdrop,” the trader wrote on X. “I believe it will be one of the biggest [in] crypto history.”

The move is Wynn’s latest high-risk bet on Hyperliquid, an onchain derivatives platform where he previously took out a $1.2 billion long on bitcoin using 40x leverage.

That position closed with a $17.5 million loss, before he flipped into a billion-dollar short. At one point, he had his entire $50 million wallet on the line.

That wild streak ended with Wynn saying he was walking away “a wynner” after netting $25 million in profit.

Read more: How James Wynn’s $100M Implosion Is Familiar Leverage Tale



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September 28, 2025 0 comments
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Coinbase, Sony Innovation and a16z bet $14.6m on Bastion
Crypto Trends

Coinbase, Sony Innovation and a16z bet $14.6m on Bastion

by admin September 24, 2025



Coinbase Ventures led a VC round with participation from Sony Innovation Fund, a16z crypto, Samsung Next and Hashed to back Bastion, a provider of licensed stablecoin issuance.

Summary

  • Coinbase Ventures led a $14.6 million round in Bastion, joined by Sony, a16z, Samsung Next, and Hashed.
  • The funding pushes Bastion’s total raised above $40 million as it expands regulated stablecoin infrastructure for enterprises.
  • Backers see Bastion’s compliance-first model as key to meeting surging institutional demand for stablecoins.

According to a press release dated Sept. 24, the $14.6 million strategic round, which also attracted capital from Samsung Next and Hashed, pushes Bastion’s total funding past the $40 million mark.

The company stated that it will utilize the new capital to scale the adoption of its product suite, which is designed to enable enterprises to issue, custody, and integrate stablecoins within their existing operations while maintaining full regulatory compliance.

“Bastion is growing to meet significant demand for regulated stablecoin infrastructure from some of the world’s largest enterprises,” Bastion CEO Nassim Eddequiouaq said. “The evolution of our financial system will continue to accelerate as digital assets and stablecoin adoption proliferates, and Bastion is positioned to help businesses build world-changing financial products.”

Bastion’s roots and the broader stablecoin surge

Bastion’s origins date back to 2023, when it was founded by Nassim Eddequiouaq and Riyaz Faizullabhoy, both former executives from a16z’s crypto team. The company initially secured $25 million in a seed round led by a16z crypto, with a broader focus on web3 adoption.

Its strategic pivot to concentrate on stablecoin infrastructure reflects a clear-eyed recognition of where the most pressing institutional demand has emerged. Notably, the founders built Bastion from the ground up with regulatory compliance as its cornerstone, securing an NYDFS trust charter to serve as a foundational element of its offering.

Coinbase’s Chief Business Officer, Shan Aggarwal, framed the investment as a strategic necessity. He emphasized that trusted digital asset infrastructure is the essential foundation for the scalable financial products enterprises are now demanding.

Aggarwal noted that Coinbase continues to back builders who prioritize safety and scalability, characterizing Bastion as a “change-maker” that is turning the promise of enterprise stablecoin adoption into a tangible reality.

This investor confidence aligns with a macro surge in stablecoin adoption that has captured the attention of traditional finance. Banking giant Morgan Stanley has identified stablecoins as the fastest-growing segment in the global finance industry.

The bank’s analysis credits this explosive growth to their utility in payments and trading, projecting the market could expand from approximately $300 billion today to surpass $2 trillion by 2028. Morgan Stanley points explicitly to institutional adoption as a primary catalyst for this staggering growth, signaling a fundamental shift in how value will be moved and settled globally.



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September 24, 2025 0 comments
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Bitcoin (BTC) Mining Profitability Fell in August, Jefferies Says
NFT Gaming

AI Bet Means Big Upside for IREN

by admin September 24, 2025



IREN (IREN), one of the largest self-operated BTC$113,866.40 miners in the U.S., is breaking away from the pack, and Wall Street is taking notice.

Bernstein analysts raised their price target on IREN to $75 from $20, implying about 80% upside, as the miner doubles down on building its own AI cloud business rather than relying on co-location deals with partners like CoreWeave (CRWV).

IREN has already had a major move, ahead more than eight-fold from its 52-week low of $5.13 hit in April. The shares are higher by 365% year-over-year.

The broker now sees IREN’s AI pivot as credible, despite early skepticism about the miner’s ability to execute on a capital-intensive data center build-out and compete with AI cloud players tied to hyperscalers and Nvidia (NVDA).

IREN is guiding for rapid growth, the report noted, with $500 million in annual recurring revenue by Q1 2026 on 23,300 GPUs, up from roughly $14 million in Q1 2025.

Beyond AI, IREN retains flexibility with its 3 gigawatt (GW) power portfolio, balancing bitcoin mining and AI workloads to maximize revenue per megawatt, Bernstein analysts led by Gautam Chhugani wrote.

Its 50 EH/s mining operation generates an estimated $600 million in annualized EBITDA at current bitcoin prices, funding its AI expansion, according to the analysts.

Bernstein has shifted its valuation approach to a sum-of-parts model, assigning 87% of enterprise value to AI cloud and co-location potential at IREN’s 2GW West Texas site, with the remaining 13% coming from bitcoin mining.

At the revised target, IREN would trade at $7.5 million per megawatt (MW), above other AI-focused miners but still far below established data center peers like CoreWeave, suggesting further room for multiple expansion, the report added.

Read more: IREN Shares Jump 11% in Pre-Market Trading as Bitcoin Miner Doubles AI Cloud Fleet



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September 24, 2025 0 comments
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NFT Gaming

MetaMask Ethereum Token: Traders Bet on Timing as Joe Lubin Hints at Imminent Drop

by admin September 20, 2025



In brief

  • Myriad Markets gives ~32% odds MetaMask launches a token before November; Polymarket traders price higher for a 2025 drop.
  • CEO Joe Lubin has confirmed a token is coming and says the timeline may be “sooner than expected,” stoking airdrop speculation.
  • Regulatory risk looms: SEC’s lawsuit against ConsenSys could delay or shape the token’s design, distribution, and launch window.

Is MetaMask finally launching a token? Ethereum co-founder and Consensys CEO Joe Lubin said this week that the long-awaited token tied to the popular crypto wallet is “on the way” and “may come sooner than you would expect”—and Myriad traders are betting on just how soon that might mean.

At the time of this writing, a prediction market on Myriad Markets currently put the odds of MetaMask launching an official token before November 1 at about 32% Yes. No timeline has been announced, but traders don’t appear to believe that Consensys is ready to roll out the token in a matter of weeks.

(Disclaimer: Consensys is one of 22 investors in an editorially independent Decrypt, and Myriad Markets is a product of Decrypt’s parent company, DASTAN.)

Polymarket users, meanwhile, give a 46% chance that the token will launch by the end of the year.

Lubin made the latest comments in an interview with The Block this week, explaining that a native token (nicknamed MASK) would be part of MetaMask’s decentralization roadmap.

MetaMask was created by Consensys in 2016 as part of its “mesh” of Ethereum-focused projects, and it has remained one of its wholly owned products ever since. When Consensys raised its Series D funding round in 2022 at a $7 billion valuation, MetaMask (and Infura) were explicitly cited as core revenue drivers inside the company—not portfolio investments.

Consensys has been dangling the prospect of a token since 2021, when Lubin first confirmed it would be part of a broader plan to decentralize the wallet’s governance. Over the next few years, Lubin repeated that a token was coming but stressed it wouldn’t be a quick cash-grab; the team wanted to avoid a speculative frenzy and focus on “progressive decentralization.”

In the meantime, MetaMask’s official channels even warned users about scam airdrops, confirming no launch date had been set. Over the years, MetaMask rolled out staking and bridging features, while Consensys recently launched the Linea layer-2 Ethereum network and LINEA token—moves widely seen as laying the groundwork for a token economy.

MetaMask also just launched a stablecoin called mUSD, which provides some evidence that infrastructure and regulatory groundwork are being laid. The stablecoin is live on Ethereum and Linea, suggesting they are both preparing user-facing features and on-ramps for the token era.

What we still don’t know

Despite strong hints, several critical details remain unclear:

  • Timing: Lubin’s statements are vague. “Sooner than expected” is subjective and doesn’t give a firm date. We don’t know if “sooner” means weeks, months, or just “within the same year.”

  • Tokenomics and utility: What exactly the token will do is only partially described. Governance? Rewards? Access to features? There are suggestions, but no full white paper or specifications have been published.

  • Distribution/qualification: Who will receive the token? Will it be retroactive, via airdrop, or earned by activity? Those details are not yet public.

  • Regulatory risk: Any token tied to a major wallet with many U.S. users will draw regulatory scrutiny. MetaMask and Consensys will have to navigate laws around securities, know-your-customer (KYC), token issuance, and what counts as utility vs. financial return.

The takeaway

Putting this together, here’s a smart bet: MetaMask is very likely to launch a token, and apparently sooner rather than later. The existence of Myriad’s prediction market (“No” being more likely before November) shows there’s reasonable skepticism, but executive confirmations from Lubin push the probability significantly upward.

Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed by the author are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice.

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September 20, 2025 0 comments
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Crypto liquidations surpass $900m following Fed Chair's Jackson Hole speech
GameFi Guides

Markets await Fed’s first 2025 cut, experts bet “this bull market is not even close to over”

by admin September 17, 2025



Will the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025 fuel another leg higher for Bitcoin and equities, or does September’s history point to caution?

Summary

  • The Fed is widely expected to announce its first rate cut of 2025, with markets pricing in a 25bp move.
  • Bitcoin is trading near $116,500 and Ethereum near $4,500, supported by declining exchange balances and record ETF inflows.
  • Historical patterns show September as a weak month for equities and crypto, while tariffs and inflation add fresh macro risks.
  • Anthony Pompliano argues the bull market has much further to run, while other analysts warn of seasonal volatility and short-term pullbacks.

First rate cut of 2025 set against a fragile backdrop

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce its first rate cut of 2025 at the conclusion of its Sep. 16–17 meeting. Markets are pricing in a 25 basis-point reduction, which would bring the federal funds rate down to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%.

A larger 50 basis-point cut is seen as unlikely, but attention will be on the Fed’s updated “dot plot,” which will indicate how many cuts policymakers expect through the rest of 2025 and the likely path of rates into 2026.

The case for easing has been building for months. Job growth has slowed noticeably. In August 2025 nonfarm payrolls rose by only 22,000, one of the weakest monthly gains in years. The unemployment rate also ticked up to 4.3% from 4.2% in July, close to its highest level since 2021.

Housing data points to softer momentum as well. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 6.39% in early September, its lowest level since October 2024. That decline spurred a pickup in refinancing activity and showed how higher borrowing costs have curbed demand.

Inflation is still above target but shows signs of stabilizing. Consumer prices in August 2025 rose 2.9% year-over-year compared with 2.7% in July, while core inflation held steady at 3.1%. On a monthly basis, headline CPI increased 0.4% and core CPI rose 0.3%.

These figures remain above the Fed’s 2% goal but are well below the peaks of 2022 and 2023, when headline inflation ran above 6%. That gap gives the Fed some room to cut without immediately risking a rebound in price pressures.

These developments shape expectations for how crypto markets may react once the Fed delivers its first cut of the year.

Bitcoin and Ethereum climb as investors bet on easing

Crypto markets have been gradually advancing in the days leading up to the Fed meeting, reflecting expectations of a rate cut.

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading close to $116,500, up about 3.5% over the past week and approaching its August peak above $124,000.

Ethereum (ETH) has gained nearly 4% in the same period, trading near $4,500, though it remains more than 9% below its August all-time high of $4,950.

On-chain data shows that the amount of Bitcoin available for immediate sale has been declining. Since Sep. 1, balances on exchanges have dropped from about 2.5 million BTC to 2.45 million. This means more than 50,000 BTC have been moved off exchanges in just over two weeks.

BTC supply on exchanges | Source: CryptoQuant

A year earlier, balances were above 3 million. Current levels mark a sharp drawdown and the lowest on record, suggesting that holders are increasingly transferring assets into private custody and easing near-term selling pressure.

ETF flows point to continued institutional demand. Between Sep. 8 and Sep. 17, U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded more than $2.8 billion in net inflows, with every trading day in that period showing positive contributions.

Ethereum ETFs also attracted strong interest, with nearly $1 billion in inflows during the same stretch. On Sep. 15 alone, spot ETH funds pulled in $360 million, surpassing Bitcoin ETFs for the day.

The next stage will hinge on how the Fed matches its rate decision with guidance. A 25 basis point cut paired with signals of more easing could lift sentiment further, with Bitcoin moving closer to $120,000 and Ethereum testing levels above $4,600.

A more guarded message that poses inflation risks or a limited path for cuts could restrain the upside, keeping Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidating while smaller tokens face greater downside pressure.

September’s historic drag meets fresh tariff headwinds

Historical data shows that September has long been one of the weakest months for U.S. equities. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged a return of about −0.68% in September, the lowest of any month in the calendar year.

The index has finished higher in only about 44% of Septembers during that span. The Nasdaq has recorded a slightly better frequency of positive outcomes but still shows a higher chance of losses than other months.

Crypto markets display a similar seasonal pattern. Bitcoin has historically struggled in September, with an average monthly decline of more than 3% since inception.

In many years the monthly low for Bitcoin has occurred within the first 10 days of September, followed by a recovery into the fourth quarter. Market participants often refer to this rebound phase as “Uptober.”

Amid this backdrop, tariff policy remains one of the biggest sources of uncertainty. In 2025 the U.S. has imposed steep levies, including a wide range of tariffs on different countries and products. These measures are feeding inflation by driving up production and input costs.

The Congressional Budget Office has revised its outlook for real GDP growth in 2025 to around 1.4%, down from earlier forecasts closer to 1.9–2.0%.

Rising tariffs and persistent inflation add to macro uncertainty, which often weighs on risk assets such as digital tokens. However, crypto can sometimes benefit in such conditions, as some investors view it as an alternative store of value when traditional markets appear fragile.

Taken together, a mix of inflation surprises, tariff escalation, weaker consumption, and economic challenges could trigger sharper volatility. Isolated shocks, by contrast, may cause short-term swings but are unlikely to disrupt the broader crypto market trend on their own.

Fed cut sparks split in market views

Anthony Pompliano, a well-known crypto investor and co-founder of Pomp Investments, believes the Fed’s rate cut will add fuel to an already strong market.

The Fed is going to cut rates this week.

Stocks, bitcoin, and gold prices are going to fly higher. pic.twitter.com/AAG6WHKSlq

— Anthony Pompliano 🌪 (@APompliano) September 15, 2025

He points out that the S&P 500 has climbed more than 30% in five months, a move that has occurred only six times since 1975.

“In 100% of these cases, the S&P 500 has ended higher in the following six and 12 months,” he said, noting an average gain of 18% in the year ahead. He added that momentum is firmly intact and “this bull market is not even close to over.”

He also highlighted the unusual backdrop for the Fed’s expected cut. Household net worth rose by $7 trillion in the second quarter of 2025, yet wealth distribution remains heavily skewed, with the top 1% holding far more than the bottom 50%.

Despite these disparities, he emphasized that “asset owners are going to be winners and savers will be losers moving forward.”

In his view, the Fed is behind the curve and should cut by 50 to 75 basis points, but even a smaller move will add liquidity and lift asset prices, from stocks to gold to Bitcoin.

Other analysts, however, are more cautious in the short term. Ted, a crypto market analyst, warns that seasonal factors such as September’s triple witching expiration could add pressure.

September triple witching expiration has been short-term bearish for the S&P 500.

Since 2000, the S&P 500 has averaged a -1.17% return in a week after triple witching expiration.

If this happens again, $BTC could drop 5%-8%, while alts could drop 15%-20%. pic.twitter.com/FvQG3Mw3Cp

— Ted (@TedPillows) September 14, 2025

“Since 2000, the S&P 500 has averaged a -1.17% return in the week after triple witching. If this happens again, Bitcoin could drop 5%-8%, while alts could drop 15%-20%,” he wrote.

For now, structural inflows and Fed easing may keep the broader trend intact, but the near-term window carries elevated volatility risk. A pullback in Bitcoin and sharper corrections in altcoins cannot be ruled out if negative catalysts align. As always, trade wisely and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.





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September 17, 2025 0 comments
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Cryptos Steady as Rate Cuts Sentiment Lingers Ahead of Jobs Report
Crypto Trends

Bulls Bet on Fed Rate Cuts To Drive Bond Yields Lower, But There’s a Catch

by admin September 14, 2025



On Sept. 17, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, lowering the benchmark range to 4.00%-4.25%. This move will likely be followed by more easing in the coming months, taking the rates down to around 3% within the next 12 months. The fed funds futures market is discounting a drop in the fed funds rate to less than 3% by the end of 2026.

Bitcoin BTC$115,729.93 bulls are optimistic that the anticipated easing will push Treasury yields sharply lower, thereby encouraging increased risk-taking across both the economy and financial markets. However, the dynamics are more complex and could lead to outcomes that differ significantly from what is anticipated.

While the expected Fed rate cuts could weigh on the two-year Treasury yield, those at the long end of the curve may remain elevated due to fiscal concerns and sticky inflation.

Debt supply

The U.S. government is expected to increase the issuance of Treasury bills (short-term instruments) and eventually longer-duration Treasury notes to finance the Trump administration’s recently approved package of extended tax cuts and increased defense spending. According to the Congressional Budget Office, these policies are likely to add over $2.4 trillion to primary deficits over ten years, while Increasing debt by nearly $3 trillion, or roughly $5 trillion if made permanent.

The increased supply of debt will likely weigh on bond prices and lift yields. (bond prices and yields move in the opposite direction).

“The U.S. Treasury’s eventual move to issue more notes and bonds will pressure longer-term yields higher,” analysts at T. Rowe Price, a global investment management firm, said in a recent report.

Fiscal concerns have already permeated the longer-duration Treasury notes, where investors are demanding higher yields to lend money to the government for 10 years or more, known as the term premium.

The ongoing steepening of the yield curve – which is reflected in the widening spread between 10- and 2-year yields, as well as 30- and 5-year yields and driven primarily by the relative resilience of long-term rates – also signals increasing concerns about fiscal policy.

Kathy Jones, managing director and chief income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, voiced a similar opinion this month, noting that “investors are demanding a higher yield for long-term Treasuries to compensate for the risk of inflation and/or depreciation of the dollar as a consequence of high debt levels.”

These concerns could keep long-term bond yields from falling much, Jones added.

Stubborn inflation

Since the Fed began cutting rates last September, the U.S. labor market has shown signs of significant weakening, bolstering expectations for a quicker pace of Fed rate cuts and a decline in Treasury yields. However, inflation has recently edged higher, complicating that outlook.

When the Fed cut rates in September last year, the year-on-year inflation rate was 2.4%. Last month, it stood at 2.9%, the highest since January’s 3% reading. In other words, inflation has regained momentum, weakening the case for faster Fed rate cuts and a drop in Treasury yields.

Easing priced in?

Yields have already come under pressure, likely reflecting the market’s anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts.

The 10-year yield slipped to 4% last week, hitting the lowest since April 8, according to data source TradingView. The benchmark yield has dropped over 60 basis points from its May high of 4.62%.

According to Padhraic Garvey, CFA, regional head of research, Americas at ING, the drop to 4% is likely an overshoot to the downside.

“We can see the 10yr Treasury yield targeting still lower as an attack on 4% is successful. But that’s likely an overshoot to the downside. Higher inflation prints in the coming months will likely cause long-end yields some issues, requiring a significant adjustment,” Garvey said in a note to clients last week.

Perhaps rate cuts have been priced in, and yields could bounce back hard following the Sept. 17 move, in a repeat of the 2024 pattern. The dollar index suggests the same, as noted early this week.

Lesson from 2024

The 10-year yield fell by over 100 basis points to 3.60% in roughly five months leading up to the September 2024 rate cut.

The central bank delivered additional rate cuts in November and December. Yet, the 10-year yield bottomed out with the September move and rose to 4.57% by year-end, eventually reaching a high of 4.80% in January of this year.

According to ING, the upswing in yields following the easing was driven by economic resilience, sticky inflation, and fiscal concerns.

As of today, while the economy has weakened, inflation and fiscal concerns have worsened as discussed earlier, which means the 2024 pattern could repeat itself.

What it means for BTC?

While BTC rallied from $70,000 to over $100,000 between October and December 2024 despite rising long-term yields, this surge was primarily fueled by optimism around pro-crypto regulatory policies under President Trump and growing corporate adoption of BTC and other tokens.

However, these supporting narratives have significantly weakened looking back a year later. Consequently, the possibility of a potential hardening of yields in the coming months weighing over bitcoin cannot be dismissed.

Read: Here Are the 3 Things That Could Spoil Bitcoin’s Rally Towards $120K



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September 14, 2025 0 comments
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Capital Group Grows Bitcoin Bet to $6B Through Treasury Stock Surge
Crypto Trends

Capital Group Grows Bitcoin Bet to $6B Through Treasury Stock Surge

by admin September 14, 2025



Capital Group, a 94-year-old mutual fund powerhouse known for its conservative investment approach, has grown a $1 billion position in Bitcoin-related stocks into more than $6 billion.

Mark Casey, a portfolio manager with 25 years at Capital Group, led the firm’s move into Bitcoin. Casey, who describes his investment style as shaped by Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett, has become an advocate for Bitcoin (BTC), according to a Sunday report by The Wall Street Journal.

“I just love Bitcoin, I just think it is so interesting,” Casey said during a podcast interview with venture firm Andreessen Horowitz. He called Bitcoin “one of the coolest things that has ever been created by people,” per the WSJ report.

Over the past four years, Capital Group has built its exposure primarily through investments in so-called Bitcoin treasury companies, public firms that accumulate and hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets.

Top 15 Bitcoin treasury firms. Source: BitcoinTreasuries.NET

Related: Ether vs. Bitcoin treasuries: Which strategy is winning

Capital Group’s biggest Bitcoin bet is on Strategy

Capital Group’s most notable holding is in Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), the software firm transformed into a Bitcoin vehicle by founder Michael Saylor.

In 2021, Capital Group acquired a 12.3% stake in Strategy for over $500 million. That stake, now diluted to 7.89% due to share issuance and some trimming, is worth about $6.2 billion following a more than 2,200% surge in Strategy’s stock over five years.

Casey said he and his colleagues analyze these companies the same way they assess firms involved in commodities like gold or oil. “We view Bitcoin as a commodity,” he told the WSJ.

Capital Group’s Bitcoin exposure also includes a 5% stake in Japan-based Metaplanet, a hotel operator-turned-Bitcoin holder, and shares of mining company Mara Holdings.

Related: Bitcoin in consolidation as treasuries eye altcoins: Novogratz

Corporate Bitcoin treasuries top 1 million BTC

As Cointelegraph reported, corporate Bitcoin treasuries now hold over 1 million BTC worth more than $117 billion, according to BitcoinTreasuries.NET.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy remains the top holder with 636,505 BTC, followed by MARA Holdings with over 52,000 BTC. Newcomers like XXI and Bitcoin Standard Treasury are quickly gaining ground, while firms like Metaplanet, Bullish and Coinbase round out the top 10.

Looking ahead, companies like Metaplanet and Semler Scientific have revealed aggressive accumulation targets, aiming to acquire 210,000 BTC and 105,000 BTC by 2027, respectively.

Magazine: Bitcoin is ‘funny internet money’ during a crisis: Tezos co-founder



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September 14, 2025 0 comments
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NFT Gaming

Oracle’s Late AI Bet Sends Shares Soaring, Ellison Tops Musk as World’s Richest Man

by admin September 10, 2025



In brief

  • Oracle’s AI pivot pays off: Shares surged over 30% as the company projected $455 billion in booked future revenue and faster cloud growth.
  • Oracle’s neutral AI stance and ability to run models like ChatGPT inside its database stack drew major enterprise demand.
  • Founder Larry Ellison’s fortune swelled by nearly $100 billion, making him the world’s richest person.

Oracle Corp. stock rocketed as much as 40% in intraday trading—a rally so dramatic, it appears to have set a record for any company valued north of $500 billion. The trigger? A bold AI strategy finally paying off.

At the heart of today’s fireworks is Oracle’s up-close-and-personal pivot into artificial intelligence infrastructure. The company revealed that its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) business now expects massive revenue growth: CEO Safra Catz said OCI revenue is expected to reach $18 billion in the current fiscal year, then grow to $32 billion in fiscal year 2027, and eventually $144 billion in the following three years.

But numbers alone don’t explain the thrill. The real signal: a massive pipeline of future business. Oracle’s “remaining performance obligations”—essentially what’s been booked but not yet recognized—soared 359% year-over-year to $455 billion, verging on a half-trillion-dollar backlog, the company reported.



CEO Safra Catz didn’t hide the enthusiasm, stating that most of the multiyear growth is already locked in, and more multibillion-dollar contracts are expected in the coming months.

“Over the next few months, we expect to sign-up several additional multi-billion-dollar customers, and RPO is likely to exceed half-a-trillion dollars,” said CEO Safra Catz.

AI is not just a buzzword—it’s infrastructure

Oracle’s AI attractiveness comes from its strategic alliances and neutral positioning in the AI arms race. It’s part of Stargate, a massive infrastructure initiative with OpenAI and SoftBank, giving Oracle preferred status as a compute-provider-of-choice.

Crucially, Oracle claims to offer AI inferencing capabilities, running models like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Grok directly within its database stack, a convenience hyperscalers have yet to match. That unique positioning—neutral, integrated, and AI-enabled—has turned once-lagging Oracle into a major contender in AI infrastructure.

The ripple effect

In one of those rare moments where investor glee merges with spectacle, Larry Ellison vaulted past Elon Musk to become the world’s richest person, thanks to the stock surge. His net worth swelled by around $100 billion to roughly $393–400 billion.

Not everyone’s as ecstatic as Mrs. Ellison: Analysts caution the aggressive capex—Oracle expects to spend $35 billion to build data-center and supply AI chips—could dent free-cash-flow in the near term and pressure margins.

AI was the marquee act, but Oracle also highlighted four multibillion-dollar contracts with three different customers in its latest quarter. That helped lift first-quarter revenue by 12% to $14.93 billion, including a 28% jump in cloud revenue to $7.2 billion.

Analysts at Piper Sandler and Bank of America weren’t shy either, raising price targets and upgrading the stock—noting the AI-driven backlog as “too strong to be summed up simply as a blow-out.”

The bottom line

Oracle’s AI pivot has become an investor tidal wave, backed by real contracts, locked-in backlog, and infrastructure ambitions that others can’t match—at least right now.

Whether the swell leads to a sea change or tidal recession depends on execution. But for now, Oracle has Wall Street enthralled, and its AI story is delivering more than just talking points—it’s delivering stock market fireworks. And if that’s not a mixed metaphor, then nothing is.

Generally Intelligent Newsletter

A weekly AI journey narrated by Gen, a generative AI model.



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September 10, 2025 0 comments
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Tesla Proposes a Trillion-Dollar Bet That It's More Than Just Cars
Gaming Gear

Tesla Proposes a Trillion-Dollar Bet That It’s More Than Just Cars

by admin September 6, 2025


Tesla launched a limited robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, earlier this summer, but it’s unclear whether the vehicles driving around the city are technologically advanced enough to count toward that 1 million robotaxi goal. (The proposal specifies that the robotaxis must not have a “human driver,” and the vehicles in Texas have safety monitors sitting in their front passenger seats for city rides and in the driver’s seats for highway trips.)

Meanwhile, the company is reportedly falling well short of its goal to produce 5,000 units of Optimus, its humanoid robot, by the end of this year, having produced only a few hundred. Musk has said that Optimus could one day revolutionize the global economy by replacing the majority of human labor, but The Information reported in July that the Optimus team was having particular trouble with the robot’s hands. The company’s vice president of Optimus robotics, a nine-year Tesla veteran, left in June.

“For Musk to receive the full pay package, Tesla will need to be the leader of autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots in a number of countries,” says Seth Goldstein, a senior equity analyst at Morningstar, a financial services firm.

Musk’s past pay packages have been unconventional and controversial. Unlike other CEOs, Musk does not receive annual compensation or incentives but is instead paid according to Tesla’s long-term performance. His 2018 pay package, worth more than $50 billion, is still in legal limbo after a shareholder lawsuit accusing the Tesla board of insufficient transparency and independence led to a Delaware judge striking it down last year. (Tesla responded by reincorporating in Texas.) The board granted Musk an interim $29 billion stock award last month.

The proposal demonstrates that, despite Musk’s controversial moves, Tesla’s board sees him as a crucial part of the automaker’s success and that the Musk era is far from over. “This new pay package should keep Elon Musk at Tesla for at least the next decade,” says Goldstein.

The package’s goals double down on the messages of Tesla’s “Master Plan Part IV,” a lofty mission statement posted this week exclusively on X, Musk’s social platform. Tesla’s Master Plans were once cheeky blogs posted directly by Musk onto Tesla’s website, complete with back-of-the-envelope energy cost calculations. The new plan points to Tesla’s more civilizational ambitions. “Autonomy must benefit all of humanity,” one section reads; “Greater access drives greater growth,” reads another, complete with renderings of Optimus robots serving cocktails and watering plants.

But if Musk wants to change the world and make his trillion, he’ll have to stay in his lane—and out of President Donald Trump’s, for whom he once served as “First Buddy”. The board-run committee that put together the pay proposal has met with Musk 10 times since February, the Tesla board wrote in its filing. Among other things, the filing reads, the committee received “assurances that Musk’s involvement with the political sphere would wind down in a timely manner.”



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September 6, 2025 0 comments
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