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Metaplanet’s Bitcoin holdings surpass 30,000 BTC, now fourth-largest corporate holder
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Metaplanet’s Bitcoin holdings surpass 30,000 BTC, now fourth-largest corporate holder

by admin October 1, 2025



Metaplanet is cementing its position as one of the most aggressive corporate adopters of Bitcoin, steadily expanding its treasury strategy.

Summary

  • Metaplanet confirmed the acquisition of 5,268 BTC on Oct. 1, worth $615.7 million at an average price of $116,870 per coin.
  • Its total Bitcoin holdings now stand at 30,823 BTC, acquired at a cumulative cost of $3.33 billion.
  • The firm now ranks fourth among corporate Bitcoin holders worldwide, while remaining the largest listed holder in Asia.
  • Metaplanet recently expanded operations with new subsidiaries in the U.S. and Japan.

Metaplanet’s Bitcoin holdings have officially reached the 30,000 BTC milestone. The Tokyo-listed firm confirmed the acquisition of 5,268 BTC on October 1, worth about $615.7 million at an average price of $116,870 per coin. 

With this purchase, Metaplanet’s total holdings now stand at 30,823 BTC (BTC), acquired at a cumulative cost of $3.33 billion, about $107,912 per bitcoin. The company also reported a 497.1% year-to-date yield in 2025, reflecting the strength of its accumulation strategy, particularly after Bitcoin’s strong rally a few months ago.

Metaplanet has acquired 5268 BTC for ~$615.67 million at ~$116,870 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 497.1% YTD 2025. As of 10/1/2025, we hold 30,823 $BTC acquired for ~$3.33 billion at ~$107,912 per bitcoin. $MTPLF pic.twitter.com/fZ6nzJ8QGC

— Simon Gerovich (@gerovich) October 1, 2025

According to data compiled by crypto.news, the current holdings place the Japanese Bitcoin treasury firm fourth among the largest corporate Bitcoin holders. It also remains the largest holder among listed companies in Asia.

Metaplanet’s accumulation through the year has been funded mainly via international share offerings and reinvested revenue. The firm also recently secured additional capital through an overseas share offering to channel fresh funds directly into Bitcoin purchases, suggesting that further acquisitions may soon follow.

Alongside building one of the largest corporate Bitcoin treasuries, the company has also begun broadening its business structure.

Metaplanet advances Bitcoin treasury strategy with business expansion

In September, Metaplanet announced the establishment of two subsidiaries in the United States and Japan, marking the first major expansion of its business since adopting its BTC-focused treasury strategy in 2024.

The company said the U.S. subsidiary will handle income generation through derivatives trading and related services, while the Japan-based unit will focus on media, events, and other Bitcoin-related services. CEO Simon Gerovich has regularly indicated that the company’s dual-phase strategy is driven by the belief in Bitcoin as a strategic hedge and growth engine, emphasizing the long-term bet on the asset.

With its 30,000 BTC milestone, Metaplanet has now achieved its year-end target set earlier in May. It remains to be seen whether the company can maintain its current pace of accumulation to meet its longer-term goals of 100,000 BTC by 2026 and 210,000 BTC by 2027.





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October 1, 2025 0 comments
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Bug Bounties Hit Limits as AI Puts Crypto Hackers on Equal Footing

by admin October 1, 2025



In brief

  • Mitchell Amador, CEO of Immunefi, told Decrypt at Token2049 in Singapore that AI tools once limited to security firms are now accessible to groups like Lazarus, enabling massive attacks.
  • Bug bounties have paid out over $100 million but have “hit the limits” as there aren’t “enough eyeballs” to provide necessary coverage, he said
  • The $1.4 billion Bybit hack bypassed smart contract security by compromising infrastructure, exposing gaps where defenders are “not doing so hot,” Amador said.

AI has handed crypto attackers the same tools defenders use, and the results are costing the industry billions, experts say.

Mitchell Amador, CEO of Immunefi, told Decrypt during the start of Token2049 week in Singapore that AI has turned vulnerability discovery into near-instant exploitation, and that the advanced auditing tools his firm built are no longer exclusive to the good guys.

“If we have that, can the North Korean Lazarus group build similar tooling? Can Russian Ukrainian hacker groups build similar such tooling?” Amador asked. “The answer is that they can.”



Immunefi’s AI auditing agent outperforms the vast majority of traditional auditing firms, but that same capability is within reach of well-funded hacking operations, he said.

“Audits are great, but it’s nowhere near enough to keep up with the rate of innovation and the rate of the compounding improvement of the attackers,” he said.

With over 3% of total value locked stolen across the ecosystem in 2024, Amador said that while security is no longer an afterthought, projects “struggle to know how to invest and how to allocate resources there effectively.” 

The industry has moved from “a prioritization problem, which is a wonderful thing, into it being a knowledge and educational problem,” he added.

AI has also made sophisticated social engineering attacks dirt cheap, according to Amador. 

“How much do you think that phone call costs?” he said, referring to AI-generated phishing calls that can impersonate colleagues with disturbing accuracy. “You can execute that for pennies with a well-thought-out system of prompts, and you can execute those en mass. That is the scary part of AI.”

The Immunefi CEO said groups such as Lazarus likely employ “at least a few hundred guys, if not probably low thousands working around the clock” on crypto exploits as a major revenue source for North Korea’s economy. 

“The competitive pressures stemming from North Korea’s annual revenue quotas” drive operatives to protect individual assets and “outperform colleagues” rather than coordinate security improvements, a recent SentinelLABS intelligence report found.

“The game with AI-driven attacks is that it speeds up the rate at which something can go from discovery to exploit,” Amador told Decrypt. “To defend against that, the only solution is even faster countermeasures.”

Immunefi’s response has been to embed AI directly into developers’ GitHub repositories and CI/CD pipelines, catching vulnerabilities before code reaches production, he noted, while predicting this approach will trigger a “precipitous drop” in DeFi hacks within one to two years, potentially reducing incidents by another order of magnitude.

Dmytro Matviiv, CEO of Web3 bug bounty platform HackenProof, told Decrypt that “manual audits will always have a place, but their role will shift.”

“AI tools are increasingly effective at catching ‘low-hanging fruit’ vulnerabilities, which reduces the need for large-scale manual reviews of common mistakes,” he said. “What remains are the subtle, context-dependent issues that require deep human expertise.”

To defend against AI-powered attacks, Immunefi has implemented a whitelist-only policy for all company resources and infrastructure, which Amador said has “arrested thousands of these attempted spear phishing techniques very effectively.” 

But this level of vigilance isn’t practical for most organizations, he said, noting “we can do that at Immuneify because we are a company that lives and breathes security and vigilance. Normal people can’t do that. They have lives to live.”

Bug bounties hit a wall

Immunefi has facilitated over $100 million in payouts to white-hat hackers, with steady monthly distributions ranging from $1 million to $5 million. However, Amador told Decrypt that the platform has “hit the limits” as there aren’t “enough eyeballs” to provide the necessary coverage across the industry.

The constraint isn’t just about researcher availability, as bug bounties face an intrinsic zero-sum game problem that creates perverse incentives for both sides, according to Amador. 

Researchers must reveal vulnerabilities to prove they exist, but they lose all leverage once disclosed. Immunefi mitigates this by negotiating comprehensive contracts that specify everything before disclosure occurs, Amador said.

Meanwhile, Matviiv told Decrypt that he doesn’t think “we’re anywhere close to exhausting the global pool of security talent,” noting that new researchers join platforms annually and progress quickly from “simple findings to highly complex vulnerabilities.”

“The challenge is making the space attractive enough in terms of incentives and community for those new faces to stick around.”

Bug bounties have likely reached their “zenith in efficiency” outside of net-new innovations that don’t even exist in traditional bug bounty programs, Amador added. 

The company is exploring hybrid AI solutions to give individual researchers greater leverage to audit more protocols at scale, but these remain in R&D.

Bug bounties remain essential as “a diverse, external community will always be best positioned to discover edge cases that automated systems or in-house teams miss,” Matviiv noted, but they’ll increasingly work alongside AI-powered scanning, monitoring, and audits in “hybrid models.”

The biggest hacks aren’t coming from code

While smart contract audits and bug bounties have matured considerably, the most devastating exploits are increasingly bypassing code entirely. 

The $1.4 billion Bybit hack earlier this year highlighted this shift, Amador said, with attackers compromising Safe’s front-end infrastructure to replace legitimate multi-sig transactions rather than exploiting any smart contract vulnerability.

“That wasn’t something that would have been caught with an audit or bug bounty,” he said. “That was a compromised internal infrastructure system.”

Despite security improvements in traditional areas like audits, CI/CD pipelines, and bug bounties, Amador noted that the industry is “not doing so hot” on multi-sig security, spear phishing, anti-scam measures, and community protection.

Immunefi has launched a multi-sig security product that assigns elite white-hat hackers to manually review every significant transaction before execution, which it said would have caught the Bybit attack. But he acknowledged it’s a reactive measure rather than a preventative one.

This uneven progress explains why 2024 became the worst year for hacks despite improvements in code security, as hack patterns follow a predictable mathematical distribution, making single large incidents inevitable rather than anomalous, Amador said. 

“There’s always going to be one big outlier,” he said. “And it’s not an outlier, it’s the pattern. There’s always one big hack per year.”

Smart contract security has matured considerably, Matviiv said, but “the next frontier is definitely around the broader attack surface: multi-sig wallet configurations, key management, phishing, governance attacks, and ecosystem-level exploits.”

Effective security requires catching vulnerabilities as early as possible in the development process, Amador told Decrypt. 

“Bug bounty is the second most expensive, the most expensive being the hack,” he said, describing a hierarchy of costs that increases dramatically at each stage.

“We’re catching bugs before they hit production, before they even hit an audit,” Amador added. “It would never even be included in an audit. They wouldn’t waste their time with it.”

While hack severity remains high, Amador said that “the incidence rate is going down, and the level of severity of most of the bugs is going down, and we’re catching more and more of these things in the earlier stages of the cycle.”

When asked what single security measure every project at Token2049 should adopt, Amador called for a “Unified Security Platform,” addressing multiple attack vectors.

That’s essential, as fragmented security essentially forces projects to “do the research yourself” on products, limitations, and workflows, he said. 

“We are not yet to the point where we can handle trillions and trillions of assets. We’re just not quite there at prime time.”

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Traders Eye September Jobs Report for Cues on BTC Breakout Above $120K

by admin October 1, 2025



Crypto markets remained unchanged Monday and Tuesday after last week’s $1.5 billion liquidation flush, but traders remain cautious ahead of a critical run of U.S. economic data that could set the tone for October.

Bitcoin bulls defended the $110,000 support level several times over the past week, while Ether clawed back from a sharp dip to $4,075 that coincided with nearly half a billion dollars in leveraged longs being wiped out.

Total market capitalization now sits near $3.85 trillion, about 1.3% lower than a week earlier despite a 3.5% weekend rebound.

The Fed’s most recent rate cut initially provided a modest boost to Bitcoin, but investors say the path forward depends less on past easing than on Powell’s Tuesday speech and upcoming jobs data that is scheduled to be released on Friday at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

“The crypto market is at a macroeconomic crossroads, caught between a softening labor market and resilient economic growth,” said Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, in a message to CoinDesk.

“This week’s data — Consumer Confidence, Initial Jobless Claims, and the pivotal September Jobs Report — will be critical in gauging the Fed’s next move. Any signs of further labor market cooling could reignite rate cut expectations, providing a tailwind for majors like BTC, ETH, and XRP. Conversely, strong data may extend the current period of uncertainty and pressure,” he said.

Jobs data shows how many people are getting or losing work in the U.S. economy. If fewer people are working and unemployment rises, it suggests the economy is slowing.

That usually makes the Federal Reserve more likely to cut interest rates to support growth, which can boost risk assets like stocks and crypto. But if job numbers are strong and unemployment stays low, it signals the economy is still running hot. That can keep inflation high, making the Fed less likely to cut rates.

“This macro uncertainty is likely to maintain Bitcoin’s dominance, potentially capping the upside for Ethereum and the broader DeFi sector despite their superior yield opportunities,” Ruck added.

Market structure reflects the indecision. A guage for sentiment fell to 28 on Friday, entering “extreme fear,” before bouncing back to a neutral 50 by Monday. Bitcoin has consolidated in a tight $108,000–$118,000 range, with open interest compressed and funding rates normalized after the liquidations.

“The rebound is coming from roughly the same levels as in early September,” Alex Kuptsikevich, senior market analyst at FxPro, said in an email. “Once again, altcoins are recovering stronger than BTC. Such outperformance in the early stages of recovery often indicates the future winners of the race, which in this case are altcoins.”

Kuptsikevich noted Bitcoin’s technical levels remain pivotal: “At the end of last week, Bitcoin found support at 109,000. It was bought at roughly the same levels as the end of August and even slightly higher, which is positive for the bulls.”

“On the other hand, September’s local high is lower than the previous one, which generally indicates a decrease in volatility and a stronger movement towards a breakout beyond the $108-118K range. Movements within the range can give many false short-term signals,” he noted.

Ethereum faces its own inflection point. Analysts flagged a potential bottom, citing technical exhaustion after last week’s selloff. The token is also in focus after the launch of the first U.S. ETF with staking features, from REX Shares and Osprey Funds, with applications from BlackRock and Fidelity still under SEC review.

News around Solana added to the altcoin narrative. The network’s total value locked surged to $12.2 billion, up 57% since June, prompting fresh calls for a $300 price target. Meme coins have grown more prominent as well, with sector capitalization climbing 70% over three months.

Regulatory headlines, however, kept traders wary. The Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. regulators are probing potential insider trading tied to companies accumulating crypto reserves.
Elsewhere, ratings giant Moody’s separately warned that the rapid expansion of stablecoin use in developing countries poses risks to monetary sovereignty and financial stability.



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October 1, 2025 0 comments
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SEC on Track to Allow Stocks to Trade Like Crypto
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SEC on Track to Allow Stocks to Trade Like Crypto

by admin October 1, 2025


According to a recent report by The Information, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is considering allowing blockchain-based versions of popular stocks (for instance, Tesla or Nvidia) to trade on popular exchanges. 

The tokenized versions of stocks would be available for trading on approved cryptocurrency platforms. 

However, it is worth noting that the novel and innovative idea is still in the early stages, meaning that there is no guarantee that it will end up being implemented. 

Recently, SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce stated that the regulator was willing to work with tokenized initiatives. 

xStocks (with disclaimers) 

Meanwhile, several cryptocurrency exchanges already offer xStocks. Kraken launched tokenized equities on Solana earlier this year. The offering includes popular stocks (such as Tesla) as well as some ETFs. It was later expanded to BNB Chain. 

In September, Kraken brought its tokenized equities offering to the Ethereum mainnet. 

KuCoin and Bybit have also launched xStocks on their respective platforms. 

However, it is worth noting that many of these offerings are not currently available in the US. Moreover, there are some concerns about ownership and rights since token holders do not have full shareholder rights. 

Hence, the SEC’s formal approval for tokenized stocks could potentially end up being a game-changer for the budding market niche. It would essentially turn these stocks into a regulated securities product, and U.S.-regulated broker dealers would be able to offer them.



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SEC Halts QMMM Trading After 959% Surge on Crypto Treasury Manipulation Concerns

by admin October 1, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has temporarily suspended trading in QMMM Holdings after the stock rocketed 959% in under three weeks on the back of a splashy crypto-treasury pivot.

In its suspension order, the SEC flagged potential manipulation via social-media “recommendations” by unknown parties that appeared designed to inflate price and volume. The halt took effect Monday and is slated to run for 10 trading days while regulators dig in.

QMMM announced it would allocate a $100 million portfolio across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, and also launch a crypto analytics platform.

The news triggered a sharp rise from around $11 to an intraday peak near $207, before the stock last traded around $119.40 before the freeze.

BTC’s price trends upwards on short timeframes. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview

A Wider Crackdown on “Crypto Treasury” Pop-and-Drops

The QMMM halt comes as the SEC and FINRA expand investigations into unusual trading activities linked to corporate crypto-treasury announcements.

This year, over 200 companies have announced plans to raise funds through token purchases, often following sharp price increases before the announcements. Regulators are examining potential insider leaks and Reg FD violations related to the selective sharing of material information.

Hype-driven stock promotions and speculative treasury strategies can cause share prices to drift away from their true value, leaving late traders vulnerable when market realities catch up.

Recent reports indicate this strategy has become overcrowded, with some firms turning to financial engineering after crypto-related rallies decline, prompting the SEC to accelerate efforts to halt trading and investigate suspicious surges.

What the QMMM Halt Means for Investors Now

For holders, the suspension locks in positions until trading resumes, and outcomes vary from an orderly reopen to potential enforcement actions if wrongdoing is discovered.

Expect increased demands for detailed disclosure: audited wallet attestations, treasury risk policies, and clear business rationales beyond simply “numbers go up.”

The QMMM episode highlights a new baseline: crypto adjacency alone won’t suffice, especially when social-media promotion is involved.

Key levels to watch after the halt include liquidity conditions, opening auction volatility, and any SEC updates clarifying the scope of the investigation. Overall, investors seeking equity exposure to digital assets may prefer experienced operators and transparent balance-sheet strategies over sudden pivots.

With regulators indicating ongoing scrutiny of the crypto-treasury relationship, due diligence, on both the tokens and the corporate narratives, has never been more important.

Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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White House pulls Brian Quintenz CFTC chair nomination
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White House pulls Brian Quintenz CFTC chair nomination

by admin October 1, 2025



Brian Quintenz is no longer President Donald Trump’s nominee to lead the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, ending weeks of speculation about the fate of his candidacy.

Summary

  • White House withdrew Brian Quintenz’s CFTC chair nomination on Sept. 30
  • Disputes with Gemini’s Tyler Winklevoss and ethics concerns stalled process
  • Trump administration now seeking new crypto-savvy CFTC candidate.

The White House confirmed the withdrawal on Sept. 30, noting that Trump will soon name a new nominee to chair the derivatives regulator.

Bloomberg first reported the move, citing a White House official who said the administration still plans to work with Quintenz in other roles. Quintenz, who serves as global policy head at a16z crypto, said he looks forward to returning to the private sector after what he called the honor of going through the confirmation process.

Nomination stalls amid disputes and delays

Quintenz, a pro-crypto figure nominated in February 2025, had been expected to bring industry expertise to the CFTC as it expands oversight of digital assets. His nomination progressed through hearings in June but stalled in July when the White House asked the Senate Agriculture Committee to pause a scheduled vote.

The delay followed lobbying by billionaire Tyler Winklevoss, a key Trump supporter, who raised concerns tied to Gemini’s ongoing CFTC enforcement case. In September, Quintenz publicly released private messages with Winklevoss, accusing the Gemini co-founder of lobbying against him.

The dispute added to existing questions raised by tribal groups, gaming lobbies, and ethics watchdogs about his role at prediction market Kalshi and pre-nomination briefings from CFTC staff. As the process dragged on, the administration began reviewing alternative candidates.

Next steps for the CFTC chair role

The decision leaves the CFTC with only acting chair Caroline Pham, following a series of commissioner resignations. The agency, which oversees trillions in swaps trading, is also expected to play a larger role in regulating crypto under legislation moving through Congress.

The Trump administration has made clear it wants the CFTC to be central to U.S. digital asset oversight. A White House official said the president remains committed to making America the global hub for crypto markets and is looking for a nominee aligned with that vision.

Potential candidates reportedly include former CFTC commissioner Jill Sommers, ex-CFTC official Josh Sterling, and SEC counsel Mike Selig.

Quintenz’s exit marks a turning point for the agency at a time when institutional and retail interest in crypto markets continues to grow. With a new nominee expected soon, the CFTC’s direction under Trump could shape the regulatory framework for digital assets well into the next decade.



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October 1, 2025 0 comments
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SEC No-Action Letter Creates Opening for More Firms to Serve as Crypto Custodians

by admin October 1, 2025



In brief

  • The SEC will not take enforcement actions against advisors and other entities for using state-chartered as crypto custodians.
  • This letter could lead to a potential opening for a greater number of organizations to serve as custodians for digital assets.
  • In July, Chair Paul Adkins unveiled “Project Crypto, an SEC initiative to dramatically lower regulatory burdens.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said in a letter on Tuesday that it did not plan to take action against registered investment advisors, issuers of crypto funds, and other entities for using state-chartered trusts to hold digital assets.

The updated guidance, a response from the SEC’s Division of Investment Management to a query filed by lawyers representing financial advisors, creates a potential opening for a greater number of organizations to serve as custodians for these assets, including affiliates of prominent crypto-focused firms such as Coinbase and Ripple.

“Based upon….your letter, the Division of Investment Management would not recommend enforcement action….against a Registered Adviser or Regulated Fund for treating a State Trust Company as a ‘bank’ related to placement and maintenance of Crypto Assets and Related Cash and/or Cash Equivalents,” the SEC letter said, as long as certain criteria are met both by the advisor and the trust.



The SEC letter offers the latest shift from the SEC’s less forgiving approach to crypto under former Chair Gary Gensler, who sought to limit the types of organizations that could custody digital assets.

In July, current Chair Paul Adkins unveiled “Project Crypto, an SEC initiative to dramatically lower regulatory burdens for the crypto industry and to accelerate the integration of digital assets within the traditional U.S. economy.

The Investment Advisers Act of 1940 requires that advisors maintain client assets with a bank, trust or other qualified custodian holding national fiduciary duties. Crypto supporters have used this legislation to enable a wider range of crypto initiatives.

The letter is not a formal rule or regulation and therefore has “no legal force or effect” or “alter or amend applicable law,” the SEC noted.

But the agency made advisors responsible for ensuring that a registered trust is authorized by relevant banking authorities to provide crypto custody services and has written policies and procedures to protect those assets, addressing such issues as private key management.

Custodial agreements that advisors sign should also ensure that the trust will not lend or otherwise use funds without a client’s consent, and that crypto assets “will be segregated from the State Trust Company’s assets.”

Trusts may serve as custodians, provided “the Registered Adviser determines that the use of the State Trust Company’s custody services is in the best interest of the RIA Client or Regulated Fund and its shareholders,” the SEC letter said.

The letter drew praise from Bloomberg ETF Analyst James Seyffart, who in an X post wrote it was “a textbook example of more clarity for the digital asset space.”

“Exactly the sort of thing the industry was asking for over the last few years,” he wrote. “And it keeps coming.”

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Tokenization Coming for Animoca Brands Equity
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Tokenization Coming for Animoca Brands Equity

by admin October 1, 2025



Investment platform Republic revealed plans on Tuesday to tokenize shares of crypto venture firm Animoca Brands on the Solana SOL$209.32 blockchain, a move aimed at opening investor access through blockchain rails.

Animoca Brands, known for backing over 600 blockchain startups and projects, remains privately held with shares only traded in limited over-the-counter deals. Republic said its plan will create digital tokens that represent ownership in the company, which can be held in crypto wallets and traded on Republic’s own marketplace.

“This tokenization aligns strongly with Animoca Brands’ position as a Web3 leader, providing novel options for investors to tokenize and trade their holdings as well as broaden investment accessibility for a wider market,” said Yat Siu, executive chairman and co-founder of Animoca Brands.

The move could allow a wider, global set of investors to gain exposure to a private tech company without waiting for a traditional public listing. Tokenization, a red-hot trend to create blockchain-based tokens of traditional financial assets such as equity, is often touted as a tool for broadening investor access to assets previously limited to only a select few, proponents say. However, some private equity token offerings such as Robinhood’s drew concerns such as limited shareholder rights and fragmented regulations.

Republic said Animoca’s equity token will comply with existing regulatory requirements. Details on token pricing and launch timelines are expected later, the blog post said.

“This is a glimpse of the future, where retail investors worldwide can participate in opportunities once reserved for a few, and companies can tap into liquidity and distribution on a global scale,” Solana Foundation president Lily Liu said in a statement.

Read more: SEC Willing to Engage With Tokenized Asset Issuers, SEC’s Hester Peirce Says



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Crypto Market Prediction: XRP Should Not Celebrate Too Early, Did Ethereum (ETH) Secure $4,200? This Is Bitcoin's (BTC) $113,000 Chance
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Crypto Market Prediction: XRP Should Not Celebrate Too Early, Did Ethereum (ETH) Secure $4,200? This Is Bitcoin’s (BTC) $113,000 Chance

by admin October 1, 2025


The market is trying to avoid entering a prolonged downtrend and is fighting back. With Bitcoin smashing through the 50 EMA, XRP is trying to recover but failing for now, and Ethereum hitting $4,200, with solid volume growth.

Bitcoin fights back

After a period of erratic trading and downward pressure, Bitcoin has successfully pushed back above a critical level, regaining $113,000. This move occurs as Bitcoin surpasses its 50-day EMA, a dynamic resistance that has frequently held back price action in September.

Although the breakout is a good technical development, it is still unclear if Bitcoin will be able to sustain these gains. Bitcoin’s continuous struggle in a midterm consolidation zone is highlighted by the daily chart. Buyers intervened to protect the 100-day EMA after the market had dropped to about $111,000 earlier this week, which led to a dramatic recovery.

BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView

The 50 EMA’s successful recovery points to fresh bullish momentum, but the overhead supply is still high between $113,000 and $115,000, the starting point of earlier breakdowns. The rally has seen moderate volume, lacking the bursts of inflows typically seen during long-term breakouts. This makes it more likely that Bitcoin will be rejected at the current levels once more and fall back toward the $111,000-$112,000 range.

Bitcoin would need to clear the September swing highs around $118,000, in addition to maintaining above the 50 EMA, for a more robust bullish confirmation. This uncertainty is reflected in momentum indicators. The RSI, which is neutral and allows for movement in either direction, is at about 50.

Upward targets in the near term point toward $115,000 and $118,000, if bulls continue to exert pressure and consolidate above $113,000. On the downside, if the 50 EMA is not maintained, there may be a quick retest of the 100 EMA and, in a more severe correction, the 200 EMA close to $106,500.

Bulls now have the upper hand again, as Bitcoin has reclaimed a significant resistance zone at $113,000. However, the market may just as easily experience another retracement before attempting a more definitive breakout, given the low volume and resistance above.

XRP secures recovery

Although XRP has recovered from its September lows around $2.80, the recovery is already beginning to show signs of weakness. The token is having difficulty breaking through a significant technical barrier, the 26-day EMA, which is still acting as overhead resistance despite bulls’ optimism following the rebound. The recent upward push runs the risk of being little more than a brief relief rally if there is not a clear break above this level.

The issue is evident on the daily chart. XRP tried to rise higher after retesting the 100-day EMA as support, but the rally halted as soon as the price hit the 26 EMA. The short-term momentum is often determined by this moving average, and XRP’s failure to break through it indicates weakened buying pressure. Additionally, volume has been quiet during the recent rebound, not indicating that there was strong conviction behind the move.

XRP/USDT Chart by TradingView

To make matters more cautious, the overall structure of XRP continues to show a downward trendline that has capped each rally since the middle of July. Upward targets like $3.00-$3.10 are still out of reach until bulls decisively break through the trendline and the 26 EMA. The 200-day EMA at $2.61, the next significant support zone, could be reached by XRP if it is unable to maintain above $2.80.

Momentum indicators range from neutral to marginally pessimistic. Since the RSI is at 46 and does not appear to be oversold, there is potential for additional declines if sellers take advantage of the situation.

Ethereum’s attempt

Ethereum has recovered somewhat, returning to $4,200 following a decline to the $3,800 region last week. Bulls are somewhat reassured by the rebound, but the move’s momentum is not very strong. Technical indicators show that ETH might be running into significant resistance, which could prevent further gains.

The way that Ethereum interacts with the 26-day EMA is the most pressing problem. ETH tried to regain this short-term moving average following the recent rebound, but it was canceled at the 26 EMA, indicating a lack of short-term momentum. The market runs the risk of rolling over once more in the direction of deeper support zones unless ETH can maintain a firm close above this level.

Volume is another warning sign. Trading volume has been steadily declining despite the price recovery, indicating a thinning of participation. Usually, strong recoveries need growing volume to validate buyer conviction. The absence of volume expansion, in ETH’s case, suggests hesitancy and casts doubt on the viability of the current rally.

Ethereum is still capped on the daily chart by a descending triangle pattern made up of strong horizontal support and lower highs. Despite not fully collapsing, ETH’s inability to overcome the $4,400-$4,500 resistance cluster keeps bulls on edge. Because it is in neutral territory and does not exhibit any overbought or oversold signals, the RSI at 45 reflects this uncertainty.

To boost confidence in the near future, ETH needs to push volume higher and reclaim the 26 EMA. An additional retracement toward the 100-day EMA at $3,870, or in a bearish scenario even the 200-day EMA close to $3,620, could result from failing to do so.

Ethereum’s recovery to $4,200 is currently not a complete bullish reversal but rather a cautious one. ETH might be vulnerable in the upcoming sessions if there is not more buying interest and a clear break above resistance.



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October 1, 2025 0 comments
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Satoshi Fought The Same War

by admin October 1, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

A fresh round of sparring between Bitcoin Core and Bitcoin Knots over “arbitrary data” and policy defaults is ricocheting across X, but the argument’s bones are older than many remember. As Bitcoin developer Peter Todd put it on Sunday, “Good read. tl;dr: everything that has been said about Core vs Knots has already been said almost 15 years ago.”

The 2010 Fight Over Bitcoin’s Soul That Never Ended

The historical through-line runs straight back to December 2010, when Satoshi Nakamoto shipped Bitcoin version 0.3.18. That release quietly introduced an “IsStandard()” relay and mining policy to “only include known transaction types,” a defensive move designed to reduce attack surface from exotic scripts. Satoshi’s own release note summarized the change tersely: “IsStandard() check to only include known transaction types in blocks.”

The first debate about arbitrary data in the blockchain happened in December 2010 and Satoshi was involved

On 8th December 2010, Satoshi released Bitcoin version 0.3.18, which included a standardness check, to only include known transaction types

🧵 pic.twitter.com/J95ax5Cgte

— BitMEX Research (@BitMEXResearch) September 29, 2025

The check ignited what many participants described as Bitcoin’s first real governance dispute. Within hours, forum users split over whether restricting non-standard transactions would neuter legitimate experiments like BitDNS or simply protect the young network. The thread, preserved by the Satoshi Nakamoto Institute, captures the core fault lines that have resurfaced in 2025.

On the permissive side, user “da2ce7” argued that fees would rationalize everything: “Transaction fees will pay for the generation of the chain in the future… if [others] want to include carefully crafted transactions… they must include the appropriate compensation.” Jeff Garzik fired back that such a stance “will disadvantage people who use bitcoins… as cash as intended,” because non-currency uses would bid up fees and crowd out payments.

Theymos, then pushing for minimal relay restrictions, argued miners’ incentives would bulldoze any client-level gatekeeping: “all miners have an interest in including any and all fee-carrying transactions… The restriction on relaying these transactions should be removed, at the very least.” Garzik warned that if “data spam increases TX fees to annoying levels,” currency users would decamp—and that the presence of “law-enforcement-objectionable data” would raise different, sharper risks.

Crucially, Satoshi and Gavin Andresen converged on the whitelist approach as a pragmatic security default, while leaving the door ajar for purpose-built data uses. Gavin explained that whitelisting known-safe templates was “the right thing to do,” drawing an analogy to web security’s failure modes when blacklisting is relied upon.
In a follow-up, Satoshi wrote: “I came to agree with Gavin about whitelisting when I realized how quickly new transaction types can be added,” and endorsed a path for small data commitments: “I also support a third transaction type for timestamp hash sized arbitrary data.”

If today’s back-and-forth feels like déjà vu, BitMEX Research’s weekend recap is the missing Rosetta stone. Their thread traces the debate’s timeline—RHorning’s early pushback against 0.3.18’s new standardness rules; Theymos’s insistence that miner incentives would trump relay defaults; Garzik’s resistance to “non-currency data” pricing out money use; and community unease about what happens when immutable ledgers meet illegal content.

The researchers note that Theymos even released a patch client removing restrictions at the time, underscoring how client defaults and miner policy have always been a contested, malleable layer.

There are two enduring takeaways from the 2010 record. First, the “policy vs protocol” distinction—what Bitcoin can do versus what the reference implementation should relay or mine by default—has long been a pressure valve for innovation and a magnet for controversy. Satoshi’s 0.3.18 email makes plain that IsStandard() lived in this gray zone of incentives and norms, not consensus rules.

Second, nearly every argument now deployed in Core-versus-Knots skirmishes had an ancestor in that first “coming-of-age” fight: fee-market neutrality versus application-layer bloat; the right to pay for block space versus the social cost of permanent data; and whether tightening defaults protects Bitcoin’s monetary function or stifles its utility for timestamping and proofs. The archive shows the spectrum clearly, from Theymos’s “remove the restrictions” stance to Garzik’s warning that generalized data “has the distinct probability of degrading service for digital cash.”

At press time, BTC traded at $113,071.

BTC hovers above $113,000, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.





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