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Crypto Exchanges Almost Out of Bitcoin: VanEck's Matthew Sigel
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Crypto Exchanges Almost Out of Bitcoin: VanEck’s Matthew Sigel

by admin October 4, 2025


Bitcoin is on a bullish comeback move as the coin has gained 11.61% in the last seven days, as it inches closer to its all-time high (ATH) of $124,457. Amid this positive move, Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s head of Digital Asset Research, has dropped another bullish update.

Bitcoin self-custody moves tighten liquidity

According to Sigel, crypto exchanges appear to be experiencing declining reserves. In his post on X, Sigel stated that if the trend continues, at the start of business on Oct. 6, there might be a shortage of Bitcoin across the various exchanges.

He opined that it might be good thinking to acquire some Bitcoin before a shortage hits. However, a user immediately countered VanEck’s executive by noting that such a scarcity narrative has been making the rounds in the past four years.

Sigel’s reply is instructive as he insists that a scarcity was in play. “Well, I only got the calls from the exchanges today. I told them we aren’t selling,” he wrote.

Well I only got the calls from the exchanges today. I told them we aren’t selling 🤷‍♂️

— matthew sigel, recovering CFA (@matthew_sigel) October 4, 2025

This comment suggests that large holders and institutions like VanEck are being contacted to supply exchanges with Bitcoin. If this is true, it implies that there could be a supply shock with demand staying higher than supply.

It indicates that many Bitcoin holders have moved their coins off exchanges into self-custody, typically reducing liquidity. Such a scenario is a perfect condition to further drive Bitcoin prices higher.

As of this writing, Bitcoin is changing hands at $122,179.35, which represents a 1.52% increase in the last 24 hours. The flagship coin, which earlier hit an intraday peak of $123,944.70, is currently just 1.89% away from flipping its ATH.

The price surge has kept trading volume up by 1.12% at $73.51 billion within the same time frame. The uptick in activity suggests that the “Uptober” momentum is gaining ground.

Institutional bets signal new Bitcoin price peak

Worth mentioning is that the Bitcoin market looks ready to push the coin to a new ATH as investors have committed $45.3 billion in open interest on the asset. This extreme leverage move indicates that market participants are anticipating further highs from the leading cryptocurrency.

Meanwhile, Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered analyst, believes the coin has potential to hit $200,000 by the end of 2025. Kendrick drew a positive correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. Treasury term premiums, which are on the rise as a result of the government shutdown.





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Crypto Bull Market Still Has Legs
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Speculative Retail Trading is Good for Financial Markets, Actually

by admin October 4, 2025



Traditional investment firms all have the same mantras: “time in the market beats timing,” “move slowly,” and “big money is in the waiting.” It’s an action plan that made sense 20 years ago, but today, it’s a sure strategy for getting steamrolled by forces most of these firms refuse to acknowledge.

The uncomfortable truth is that markets no longer run on just earnings reports and balance sheets; they run on stories, memes, and cultural ideas that gain momentum through social communities like X and Reddit and move faster than analysts can reliably keep track of. As much as we want to call GameStop a glitch, it’s only a preview of how markets now work. Crypto investors had an outsized role in driving this shift that spilled over into traditional markets.

And now, retail investors have evolved from spectators to active market movers and makers, armed with platforms that let them coordinate, analyze, and act upon market intelligence at scale and unprecedented speed. While not every retail investor can outpace professional analysts, the most plugged-in communities have shown they can collectively move faster than institutions still operating by outdated playbooks. Look at Reddit’s WallStreetBets users, who drove the 2021 GameStop rally that led to massive losses for short sellers, citing that retail traders were the real force behind the market upheaval. Investors who have learned to read the cultural signals and narratives alongside financial ones will stay ahead.

Markets Don’t Crash From Speculation

A Wall Street secret is that markets don’t crash because of meme stocks — they crash because of stubborn loyalty to yesterday’s winners. The historic Dot-com Bubble didn’t burst because traders shifted their attention, but because both institutional and retail investors were in denial about industry over-valuation. Instead of recognizing the underlying stories that showed early signs of tech stocks’ crumbling prices, they chose to put their trust in past performance.

Crashes happen when conviction in positions hardens into blind faith and unquestioning belief, and markets force a hard reset. Speculation keeps markets honest by forcing constant reevaluation. Retail investors do this daily by actively debating a stock or token’s prospects or deep diving into company fundamentals with fellow market participants. When they engage critically and stress-test every narrative in real time, they perform an invaluable and increasingly rare service as the active asset management industry shrinks in favor of passive investing strategies.

The smartest retail investors ride a stock or token’s momentum but pivot as soon as the story changes. Their willingness to be wrong and adapt quickly helps prevent the kind of slow-moving institutional groupthink that leads to massive corrections, while still acknowledging that even retail communities can fall into faster, more volatile herd behavior. This mix of flexibility and collective attention makes them a uniquely influential force in today’s markets.

Retail Runs the Show – and It’s About Time

Retail stock trading is up to 20-35% of volume in the U.S. and UK alone, while crypto trade volume has also surged this past month exceeding a total market cap of $4T, but the change they’re forcing isn’t numbers — it’s intelligence. They’re networked, fast, and often spot trends before your dad’s broker does. Communities on platforms like Reddit and Discord can collectively analyze news, filings, and earnings calls, surfacing insights that sometimes catch institutional investors off guard. During the AMC rally, coordinated attention from retail communities amplified price swings and forced institutional adjustments. Today, AI-driven tools and educational platforms are making retail investors more capable and informed than ever, allowing them to process data and sentiment in real time. They might not always be right, but they’re influential enough to matter.

Taking a page out of what crypto has been doing for years, some companies are starting to get it: CEOs now engage directly with retail communities, and IR departments track social sentiment. They understand the passion retail investors have for their stocks and are more willing to stick with them through poor performance than with an institution that’s judged on quarterly performance.

Fighting Speculation is Fighting Reality

It’s 2025 and talking heads are still warning about how the gambling mentality is ruining price discovery, pointing to meme stocks and crypto volatility as proof that retail has turned markets into a casino floor. They say that embracing speculation encourages poor decision-making, market instability, and over-exposure to risk. This way of thinking misses that prices have always been driven by collective beliefs about future values. Now that more people are able to participate, it’s just happening faster.

Crypto is the ultimate example. Early critics called it pure speculation, divorced from the fundamentals of market movements, but it was actually just genuine price discovery happening at warp speed. The crypto market tested more ideas in a few years than traditional VCs could explore in a decade. While some ideas were garbage, the winners were massive.

How Do You Win in the New Game?

Don’t throw the fundamentals out the window just yet — success involves a hybrid approach of solid analysis and narrative awareness. More often than not, a great company with a boring story will underperform a decent company with a compelling narrative. Success means knowing narratives can change quickly and taking positions that capitalize on that.

By diversifying based on assets and stories, risk management is more comprehensive. It allows investors to stay plugged into the communities and platforms where market-moving conversations are happening, while being willing to admit being too certain about any position means you may be setting yourself up for a painful lesson in market dynamics. However, it’s also about being able to distinguish between market volatility and noise, and recognizing the distinction between legitimate analysis and the misinformation that can spread rapidly in these communities.

Adapt or Get Left Behind

Retail is here to stay — the technology exists and the communities keep growing. By acknowledging this is the new normal and learning to navigate social intelligence and narrative-driven momentum, all investors like will thrive. The future belongs to those who are flexible and can expand their toolkits beyond earnings reports and balance sheets to a world where information flows instantly and communities coordinate buying and selling in real time.

Speculation lets investors read both the fundamentals and social sentiment to spot undervalued assets and emerging narratives before the crowds catch on. Read the signals and adapt, or watch from the sidelines.



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EU Risk Watchdog Sounds Alarm on Stablecoin Safeguards

by admin October 4, 2025



In brief

  • EU regulators have warned that cross-border schemes could create redemption pressures in the bloc, forcing ECB intervention.
  • The EU has one of the world’s strictest crypto regimes and requires stablecoins to be fully backed by reserves.
  • The stablecoin market is currently valued at over $300 billion, dominated by U.S. dollar-based tokens.

The European Union’s top financial risk watchdog has called for urgent policy action to address vulnerabilities in stablecoins that straddle the bloc and other jurisdictions, warning of potential systemic shocks if safeguards are not strengthened.

In a statement, the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), chaired by European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, warned that “third country multi-issuer schemes – with fungible stablecoins issued both in the EU and outside – have built-in vulnerabilities which require an urgent policy response.”

Stablecoins, designed to maintain a steady value by pegging to assets like currencies or baskets of reserves, have grown into a market worth over $300 billion, according to DefiLlama data. The vast majority are dollar-based, led by Tether’s USDT, which alone commands over 58.53% dominance in the sector.

On prediction market Myriad, launched by Decrypt’s parent company DASTAN, users anticipate further rapid growth in the sector, placing a 72% chance on the stablecoin market cap topping $360 billion before February.



The EU and stablecoins

The EU has already enacted a tough crypto regulatory regime, requiring stablecoins issued within its borders to be fully backed by reserves, and some countries would like to tighten further.

But the ESRB and ECB warn that multi-issuer schemes involving non-EU players tilt the playing field. Investors facing turbulence may prefer to redeem in the EU, where protections are stricter, but reserves inside the bloc might not be sufficient, potentially forcing the ECB to intervene.

The warning reflects wider global unease over the sector from traditional finance. In June, the Bank for International Settlements flagged risks to monetary sovereignty and capital flight from emerging markets, while also pointing to repeated breakdowns in stablecoins’ ability to hold their pegs.

Other jurisdictions are pursuing different paths. In the United States, President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act in July, establishing a first formal framework for stablecoin issuance. While it bans issuers from paying interest, exchanges remain free to offer yields, sparking fierce debate between banks warning of mass deposit flight and crypto groups dismissing the threat as exaggerated.

In Hong Kong, legislation that took effect Aug. 1 has been followed by multiple regulatory warnings. Authorities noted sharp, speculation-driven market swings tied to stablecoin licensing rumors and cautioned investors against undue risks. Last month, they reiterated that no yuan-pegged stablecoins have been approved in the city.

Last month, the Bank of England proposed a cap on the amount of stablecoins that individuals and businesses could hold in the UK, with individuals limited to between £10,000 and £20,000 ($13,600–$27,200) and businesses capped at £10 million ($13.6 million). The proposal faced widespread pushback from crypto advocacy groups and businesses, with Coinbase’s vice president of international policy dismissing it as “bad for UK savers, bad for the City and bad for sterling.”

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You don’t have to be a coder to understand crypto security
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You don’t have to be a coder to understand crypto security

by admin October 4, 2025



Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.

In my interactions with people at conferences or just regular catchups, they often ask me, “Do I need to know how to code to keep my crypto safe?” To be honest, my answer is always a firm ‘no.’ Over the years, I have spent working in cryptography and wallet security, and one thing I’ve learned is that staying safe isn’t about writing code. It’s about being careful, aware, and knowing what matters.

Summary

  • Crypto security isn’t just about wallets: It’s about the rules governing how keys are stored, accessed, and used — the lock matters as much as the vault.
  • Multisig and MPC made simple: Think of them as group locks or shared approvals, reducing single points of failure and making funds harder to compromise.
  • Security goes beyond code: Policies, people, and processes — like recovery plans and oversight — are just as important as cryptography.
  • Education is key: Users don’t need to be coders; by asking the right questions and understanding basic concepts, anyone can take ownership of their crypto safety.

In fact, as digital assets enter the mainstream, whether through stablecoins, tokenized assets, or everyday wallets, understanding the basics of security is no longer optional. Just like you don’t need to be a mechanic to drive safely, you don’t need to be a coder to understand what keeps your crypto safe.

Myth #1: Security = where you store your crypto

Most new users think the security of their crypto begins and ends with “which wallet” or “which exchange” they use. But the real story is deeper.

A wallet isn’t just an app on your phone. It’s the system of rules and protections that determine how your private keys are stored, who can access them, and how transactions are approved. In simple terms, the vault is only as good as the lock, and the lock is only as good as the rules that decide who holds the keys.

Understanding this doesn’t require coding skills. It requires asking better questions:

–    Does this wallet allow multiple approvals (like multiple signatures)?

–    What happens if I lose access to my device?

–    Can a single person move funds, or is there shared control?

–    If you can ask these questions, you’re already thinking like a security architect.

Myth #2: Multisig and MPC are too technical to understand

Two of the most common terms you’ll hear in wallet security are multisig and multi-party computation. They sound intimidating, but the ideas are straightforward.

Think of the concept of multisig like a bank vault that needs three keys to open. Think of multisig like a bank vault that needs three keys to open. Different people hold different keys, and you need all or most of them together to unlock the vault.

Now, MPC is a little different. With MPC, the keys themselves are never assembled. Instead, each person contributes their part to the “action,” and the action (like approving a transaction) is completed without ever reconstructing the key. It’s like buying a group gift where nobody knows exactly how much each person paid, but the present still gets delivered.

Both models are designed to reduce single points of failure. And while the implementation is technical, the logic is something anyone can understand.

Myth #3: Security is just about code

Security in crypto isn’t only about algorithms or programming. It’s also about policies, people, and processes.

Consider this: the strongest cryptography in the world won’t help if an insider at a company has unchecked access to customer funds. Similarly, a wallet with brilliant engineering can still fail if there’s no recovery plan when a user loses access.

That’s why the most secure custody systems combine mathematics with human design. They enforce rules about who can approve what, set boundaries for how much can move at once, and provide recovery options if things go wrong.

Staying informed is another key habit. Crypto changes fast. Platforms update, new scams pop up, and new opportunities arrive daily. Following credible sources, listening to experienced voices, and asking questions can help you navigate it all. As Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum’s (ETH) co-founder, once said, “Crypto is not just about trading tokens; it’s part of a broader ethos of protecting freedom and privacy.” You don’t need to code to understand that message.

In other words, crypto security is as much about coordination and trust as it is about code. The world is moving fast. Stablecoins are being adopted by payment giants. Traditional banks are exploring tokenized deposits. Every day, people are using wallets to hold digital value, sometimes without realizing the risks involved.

In this environment, security cannot remain a “black box” reserved for engineers. Users, regulators, and institutions need to understand the principles, even if they never touch the math.

The good news is that the concepts aren’t complicated when explained in plain language. We all understand the idea of locks, safes, approvals, and shared control. Crypto security builds on these same human concepts, with cryptography as the invisible engine underneath.

Ask better questions

When you’re evaluating a wallet or custody provider, don’t just ask “is it secure?” Ask:

–    How are keys stored?

–    Who has the authority to approve transactions?

–    What happens if one party is compromised?

–    Is the system designed to fail safely?

These questions don’t require coding skills. They require curiosity and a willingness to demand transparency from the infrastructure you rely on.

The beauty of cryptography is that it takes human concepts like privacy, trust, and shared control and turns them into digital systems. But for those systems to succeed, people need to trust them. And trust comes from understanding.

You don’t have to be a coder to understand crypto security. You just need to know the right questions to ask, and the right analogies to make sense of the answers. The future of digital assets depends on making these invisible systems visible and accessible to everyone.

Sharmila S

Dr. Sharmila S is the Principal Scientist at Liminal Custody, with over 18 years of expertise in cryptography, blockchain security, and multiparty computation. She leads Liminal’s cryptography research, advancing MPC protocols, threshold cryptography, and post-quantum security. Previously, she held roles at Microsoft Research India, IIT Madras, ZebPay, and several blockchain startups. She holds a PhD in cryptographic systems, with research spanning proxy re-encryption, signcryption, and aggregated signatures, and is co-inventor on a U.S. patent for key recovery. At Liminal, Dr. Sharmila architects the MPC-TSS custody infrastructure, ensuring scalability, verifiability, and resilience. A recognized thought leader, she bridges theoretical cryptography with real-world blockchain applications, reinforcing Liminal’s mission to build secure, audit-ready, and regulation-aligned digital asset infrastructure.



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Solana ETF Sees Zero Net Flows for 2 Consecutive Days
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Solana ETF Sees Zero Net Flows for 2 Consecutive Days

by admin October 4, 2025


Since the beginning of “Uptober,” Solana has seen its price go parabolic, seeing its price reclaim the $230 mark and surging as high as $236 on Oct. 3. However, its ETF-related investment product has recorded little to no activities during the period, according to data from Farside, an investment management firm based in London.

According to data provided by the source, the first U.S. spot Solana staking ETF issued by investment giant REX-Osprey has recorded its second consecutive day of zero inflows as of Oct. 3.

REX-Osprey hits $500 million milestone despite stalled $SSK inflows

While the investment fund has recently announced a major milestone in its overall ETF products where it surpassed a massive $500 million in assets under management (AUM), the zero inflows on its Solana ETF comes as a surprise and has caught the attention of investors.

Per data showcased on REX-Osprey’s daily flow sheet, it appears that no new funds entered the ETF on Oct. 2 and Oct. 3, 2025. Hence, the muted inflow streak has kept the total net inflows for the Solana ETF steady at $343.6 million since launch.

While the cumulative net flow for the Solana ETF remains at $343.6 million as of writing time, it appears that the $500 million milestone achieved by the investment fund yesterday was fueled by inflows from the XRP and DOGE ETFs it added to its suite of ETF products in late September.

Nonetheless, it is important to note that despite the zero inflows recorded by the Solana ETF over the last two days, the inflows witnessed by $SSK throughout September has remained impressive.

While it began trading Sept. 15 with an initial seed funding of just $0.6, $SSK saw investor demand grow rapidly, recording explosive daily inflows in days after. Notably, the Solana ETF has achieved significant daily surges in net flows as it recorded a massive $27 million on Sept. 22, $19.1 million on Sept. 18 and $18.3 million on Sept. 30.

Regardless of the stalled Solana ETF inflows, the sixth largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has continued to see its price reclaim major resistance levels, hitting an intraday high of $236. Investors are optimistic for a $260 breakout for Solana in the near term as the Uptober bull run remains in high flames.



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Bitcoin Price (BTC) News: Nearing Record High

by admin October 4, 2025



Bitcoin climbed to within close sight of new record high above $124,500, capping off a five-day rally that marks one of its strongest starts to October on record.

Trading well below $110,000 last weekend, the crypto has climbed nearly 15% this week, including about 3% over the past 24 hours to the current $123,300.

October has historically been a strong month for bitcoin, and this year appears to be no different as bullish sentiment returned in force heading into the fourth quarter.

From July through September, bitcoin’s price largely stalled, trading in a narrow range and underperforming stocks and gold, which seemingly hit new records on a daily basis.

But momentum has shifted.

“This moment is different from previous ones,” said economist Noelle Acheson, author of the Crypto is Macro Now newsletter. In a post on X, Acheson pointed to a mix of strong institutional participation and broader macroeconomic drivers as new forces shaping this cycle.

“In previous cycles we didn’t have this level of sustained global debasement,” she said, referencing the erosion of fiat currency value across major economies. Alongside that, she noted growing geopolitical uncertainty is encouraging a “gradual pivot away from the U.S. dollar towards global, hard assets,” with bitcoin positioned as a key beneficiary.

While speculative enthusiasm is often part of crypto rallies, Acheson suggested this surge is being driven by deeper structural shifts — and could have staying power. This would be notably different from recent records in July and again in August, both of which were met violent selloffs.

“FOMO is a strong force in the crypto asset world,” she said. “What looks like the beginning of a new momentum wave will be driven by factors new and old. And it will be boosted by a larger potential pool of investors.”



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Bitcoin Speculation Explodes As OI At New $45.3 Billion ATH

by admin October 4, 2025


Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Data shows the Bitcoin Open Interest has shot up to a new all-time high (ATH), implying speculative interest around BTC has surged.

Bitcoin Open Interest Has Risen Alongside Price Rally

As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Open Interest has seen a sharp surge recently. The “Open Interest” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of BTC-related positions that are currently on all derivatives exchanges.

When the value of the metric rises, it means the investors are opening fresh positions related to the asset. Generally, more positions come up with more leverage for the sector, so the cryptocurrency’s price can become more volatile following an Open Interest jump.

On the other hand, the indicator going down implies traders are either closing positions of their own volition or getting forcibly liquidated by their platform. This kind of trend can clear out leverage, which can naturally make the asset more stable.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Open Interest over the last few months:

The value of the metric appears to have sharply been going up in recent days | Source: @JA_Maartun on X

As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Open Interest has witnessed a strong increase alongside the asset’s run toward the all-time high (ATH) during the last few days.

This suggests speculative interest in the coin has gone up. The trend isn’t anything unusual, as rallies tend to attract a lot of attention, and with attention naturally comes repositioning on the derivatives market.

The scale of the rise this time, however, is definitely something worth taking note of. Rapid increases in the indicator alongside a rally can sometimes destabilize it.

Following the latest jump, the Bitcoin Open Interest has touched $45.3 billion, which is a new ATH. “That’s the highest level of leverage the market has EVER seen,” notes the analyst. It now remains to be seen whether the bullish momentum will continue regardless of the intense speculation, or if it will prove to be a warning sign.

In some other news, the BTC rally has also been accompanied by growth in the Coinbase Premium Gap, an indicator that measures the difference between the BTC prices listed on cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

As the below chart shared by Maartunn in another X post shows, the metric’s value is floating around a positive value of $108 right now.

Looks like the indicator has grown over the last few days | Source: @JA_Maartun on X

This notable positive value implies Coinbase traders are currently participating in a higher amount of buying than Binance users, which is why Bitcoin is going for a higher rate there.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has pushed back toward its ATH as the latest continuation to its recovery run has taken its price to $122,300.

The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Bored Ape NFTs Are Not Securities, Court Rules in Landmark Decision

by admin October 4, 2025



In brief

  • A California judge dismissed a class-action lawsuit against Yuga Labs, ruling that Bored Ape Yacht Club NFTs are not securities.
  • The judge found key differences from other NFTs plausibly deemed securities, noting Bored Ape buyers used third-party marketplaces, and that creator royalties weakened financial ties between Yuga and holders.
  • The ruling gives Yuga Labs a major legal win, though Bored Ape prices remain far below their peak.

A federal judge in California has tossed out a class-action lawsuit against Yuga Labs, creator of the once-dominant Bored Ape Yacht Club NFT collection, ruling that the digital collectibles cannot be considered securities.  

The Los Angeles-based judge, Fernando M. Olguin—who was appointed to the bench in 2013 by former president Barack Obama—ruled Thursday that Bored Ape NFTs fail to meet several criteria of the test used to determine the security status of financial transactions.

Olguin ruled Bored Ape NFTs should be considered different from other NFT collections previously found to have plausibly constituted securities—particularly Dapper Labs’ NBA Top Shot NFTs and DraftKings NFTs—-given plaintiffs purchased Bored Apes on third-party marketplaces like OpenSea and Coinbase, and not on a marketplace controlled by the NFT issuer.



Bored Ape NFTs fail to trigger the necessary “common enterprise” prong of the test used by courts to determine whether an asset is a security, Olguin determined.

“In sum, plaintiffs have not alleged the type of ‘interplay’ between the alleged securities and proprietary ‘ecosystem’ that underpinned the logic of Dapper Labs and DraftKings, and therefore have not adequately alleged horizontal commonality,” he wrote. 

The judge further found that Yuga Labs’ collection of a creator royalty fee on every Bored Ape sale suggests “a de-coupling of [plaintiffs’] fortunes from those of defendants, who stood to gain even if plaintiffs sold their own NFTs at a loss.” NFT issuers rely on creator royalties as a form of revenue, collecting a baked-in fee—sometimes upwards of 10%—each time the collectible token is bought and sold.

The court’s logic contrasts sharply with legal arguments made by the SEC during the Biden administration—particularly that creator royalties indicated an asset was a security, one encouraged by its creators to be resold. 

For years, Yuga Labs has been at the front lines of a legal standoff with the federal government over the security status of NFTs, given the company’s prominence in the sector. Once red hot status symbols that have since faded in value and cultural relevance, Bored Ape NFTs have nonetheless seen a seismic $7.2 billion worth of trading volume since launching in 2021. 

Earlier this year, Yuga Labs announced the SEC had closed its yearslong investigation into the company, as a part of the Trump administration’s aggressive pro-crypto realignment. The SEC also closed a similar investigation into NFT marketplace OpenSea.

It’s one thing for the SEC to decline to pursue certain cases against NFT projects though, and another for a federal court to definitively rule on the matter, as it did in Yuga’s case this week. 

Despite the significance of the ruling, Bored Ape NFTs seem largely unaffected. The collection’s floor price—the price of the cheapest available NFT in a collection—is down 2% in the last 24 hours, to $37,337 at writing. That’s a decline of 90% from the project’s all-time high of $369,900, reached in April 2022. 

Representatives for Yuga did not immediately respond to Decrypt’s request for comment on this story.

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October Outlook: Bitcoin’s Seasonality, Macro Trends, Gold Correlation, and ETF Bonanza
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October Outlook: Bitcoin’s Seasonality, Macro Trends, Gold Correlation, and ETF Bonanza

by admin October 4, 2025


October has been historically the most bullish month for Bitcoin, which earned the month the now-overused “Uptober” moniker within the cryptocurrency community. 

The month does live up to its facetious name, given that it has managed to remain in the green for seven years in a row. 

In 2023, Bitcoin surged by 28.5% in October. In 2021, the leading cryptocurrency soared by nearly 40%.

There were only two years when Bitcoin was in the red in October (2018 and 2014). Both times, the cryptocurrency was in the middle of rather brutal bear markets that followed the speculative bubbles of 2013 and 2017. 

After a strong start, Bitcoin seems to be on track to extend the streak. 

Macro picture

According to Polymarket bettors, there is a 94% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates at the September meeting. 

Market participants are overwhelmingly betting on a total of three rate cuts in 2025. 

Fed rate cuts, which will make borrowing cheaper, are expected to further bolster risk assets. 
At the same time, there is also a lot of uncertainty about the economic impact of the ongoing government shutdown in the U.S. 

The U.S. stock market experienced a substantial correction during the longest shutdown to date that took place from Dec. 22, 2018, to Jan. 25, 2019. Back then, Bitcoin was in the late stage of a truly grueling bear market. However, the impact of this shutdown could be dramatically different, and the cryptocurrency is currently approaching a new record high. 

Traders will have to keep a close eye on key data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics regarding employment and unemployment, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Producer Price Index (PPI), as well as the GDP data.

Bitcoin/gold correlation 

Gold has been consistently outperforming Bitcoin this year despite having a significantly bigger market capitalization. As reported by U.Today, Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer previously predicted that gold could pass the baton to its digital rival in the second half of the year, but this has yet to happen. 

While gold keeps smashing new record highs, Bitcoin’s price action remains stubbornly underwhelming as the cryptocurrency remains below its record peak.

As noted by analyst Chris Burniske,  the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio has slipped back to a historically important support level. 

This level could be a logical place for a future reversal if it actually manages to catch up with gold this year. 

ETF bonanza 

October is also on track to be a historic month for the cryptocurrency sector due to the sheer number of crypto ETFs that are expected to be approved this month. 

Issuers will be awaiting the SEC’s decisions on a slew of altcoin ETFs designed to track such cryptocurrencies as Litecoin (LTC), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), and XRP.

However, the aforementioned government shutdown might delay their approval. 



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IRS Guidance Limited in Scope but Good News for Crypto Treasury Firms
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IRS Guidance Limited in Scope but Good News for Crypto Treasury Firms

by admin October 4, 2025



New Internal Revenue Service guidance will relieve tax burdens on companies that hold cryptocurrencies and other assets, though it is limited to certain types of businesses.

The IRS published interim guidance earlier this week announcing that C Corporations — a certain type of business — generating more than $1 billion in revenue no longer need to pay taxes on unrealized capital gains under the Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax, a move which benefits firms like Strategy (MSTR) and Mara Holdings (MARA) given the sheer amount of Bitcoin BTC$122,212.15 these firms hold on their balance sheets. Both companies said they would benefit from the guidance.

As a result of Treasury and IRS interim guidance issued yesterday, Strategy does not expect to be subject to the Corporate Alternate Minimum Tax (CAMT) due to unrealized gains on its bitcoin holdings. $MSTR https://t.co/DEgluG8oEN

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) October 1, 2025

Brett Cotler, a partner at the law firm Seward & Kissel, said that this would primarily apply to larger corporations, including Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies.

“Crypto can be very volatile at times … [a] company’s going to have a tax liability but may not have the cash to pay that tax liability, so it’ll have to liquidate assets to pay it,” he said. “This proposal helps with that issue by saying ‘for those assets, you’re not recognizing them on a mark to market basis,’ so it’s definitely going to help the [firms] that are out there and it will probably also help other non-DAT corporate entities that hold crypto.”

Backing up, the corporate alternative minimum tax regime applies to certain types of corporations, imposing a minimum tax on these larger corporations. Treasury asset values are among the issues that these corporations would have had to pay taxes on, Cotler said.

Not just crypto

Companies with crypto assets are similarly subject to these rules, said Shehan Chandrasekera, head of tax strategy at CoinTracker.

“This is not a crypto specific issue. This is any company who’s making roughly a billion dollars of revenue a year would be subject to that. And that’s most of the S&P 500, even way beyond that,” he said. “It’s not saying anything about crypto specifically. But the reason why crypto is related is because if you’re marking up crypto, that will trigger unrealized gains.”

The guidance is interim but still applicable, both Cotler and Chandrasekera said, meaning companies can rely on it as they file taxes next year.

Interim guidance like this will usually become a proposed final rule and then will be finalized, Chandrasekera said. The IRS’s guidance this week isn’t finalized, but it signals where the agency is headed.

Companies won’t need to file until April of next year, and could extend to October, giving the IRS time to finalize this guidance — even with the ongoing government shutdown, which halted all non-essential work by federal employees.





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